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Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG)

NEUTRAL
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

Fundamental

60

Price

$39.52

Market Cap

$2.45B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. It operates in two segments, Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS), and Logistics. The ITS segment offers intermodal and dedicated trucking services, including freight transportation, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated and regional trucking services. The Logistics segment provides transportation management, freight brokerage, shipment optimization, load consolidation, mode selection, carrier management, load planning and execution, warehousing, fulfillment, cross-docking, and consolidation and final mile delivery services. It also provides trucking transportation services, including dry van, expedited, less-than-truckload, and refrigerated and flatbed services. As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of approximately 2,300 tractors, 3,200 employee drivers, 500 independent owner-operators, and 4,700 trailers; and owned approximately 50,000 dry and 53-foot containers, as well as 900 refrigerated 53-foot containers. It serves a range of industries, including retail, consumer products, automotive, and durable goods. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.73B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2025)

Net Income

$105M

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2025)

Free Cash Flow

$144M

Total Equity

$1.64B

Total Liabilities

$1.18B

Current Ratio

1.47

Interest Coverage

11.22

Debt/EBITDA

1.50

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$49.02

Current Price

$39.52

Margin of Safety

+19.4%

Fair Value Range

$31.86 - $66.17

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$41.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$85.62
Earnings multiple (P/E):$44.65
Graham growth formula:$16.81
Earnings power value (EPV):$16.53
Justified P/B:$8.40
Dividend discount (Gordon):$6.94
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$78.38
Revenue multiple:Not enough data to compute it
Analyst Consensus:Buy (10B / 9H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-1.69%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

23.24

ROE

6.3%

P/B Ratio

0.88

P/FCF

13.23

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

4.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

9.8%

ROIC − WACC

-5.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 6.41%
  • P/FCF 13.23
  • P/B Ratio 0.88
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.53
  • Share Dilution -4.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 2.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (10)

  • EPS CAGR 0.46%
  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Operating Margin 3.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 6.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 1.5%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.7%
  • PEG Ratio 19.77

Unavailable (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.53

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-4.3%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. David P. YeagerExecutive Chairman72
Mr. Phillip D. YeagerPresident, CEO & Vice Chairman of the Board37
Mr. Todd HeeterInterim CFO & Interim Treasurer52
Mr. Dennis MathewsChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Dhruv BansalExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer49
Mr. Garrett Anthony Holland CFASenior VP of Investor Relations-
Mr. Eric A. BraunEVP, Chief Legal Officer & Company Secretary-
Mr. Michael DalySenior Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy-

Audit Risk

10

Board Risk

8

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for HUBG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for HUBG.