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ABG Sundal Collier Holding ASA (ABGSF)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesCapital MarketsNorway

ファンダメンタル

50

株価

$7.44

時価総額

$3.87B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

ABG Sundal Collier is a Nordic investment bank and stockbroker headquartered in Oslo, with offices across Norway, Sweden, Denmark and other European financial centres. It advises companies on mergers, acquisitions and capital raises, and it trades and researches Nordic-listed stocks on behalf of institutional investors. It does not take deposits or lend like a commercial bank: its income is service fees and trading commissions, tied to how much dealmaking and share trading happens in the Nordic market.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from three activities: advising on equity and debt issuance (Corporate Financing), advising on mergers, acquisitions and restructurings (M&A), and buying and selling Nordic shares on clients' behalf while publishing research on them (Brokerage). Fees are earned per transaction or per trade rather than as a recurring subscription, so income rises and falls with how active Nordic companies and investors are — a slow year for IPOs or takeovers shows up directly in revenue.

セグメント別売上高

M&A and Advisory38.2%

Fees for advising on mergers, acquisitions, restructurings and similar corporate transactions across the Nordic region.

Corporate Financing33.9%

Advisory and execution fees for helping companies raise equity and debt — share issues, bond placements and related capital markets work.

Brokerage and Research27.9%

Commissions from executing trades in Nordic-listed shares for institutional clients, alongside equity research that supports that trading.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

ABG Sundal Collier competes with larger international investment banks and other Nordic brokers on every mandate; nothing locks a client into using it again for the next deal. Its edge, if any, is local relationships and sector knowledge in a fragmented, relationship-driven business rather than a structural barrier competitors cannot cross.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Income depends on how much capital-raising and dealmaking Nordic companies are doing: in 2025 M&A advisory revenue rose 44% while Corporate Financing (equity and debt issuance) fell 7%, and Brokerage held broadly stable — a mix that can swing sharply from one year to the next with market conditions.

主なリスク

  • Revenue tied to capital markets activity — Fee income depends on the volume of IPOs, share issues and M&A deals in the Nordic market; a quiet year for dealmaking reduces revenue directly, as seen in the swings across its 2025 segments.
  • Market and trading risk — The firm is exposed to market, credit, liquidity, operational and currency risk from its trading and brokerage activities, which can produce losses independent of client fee income.
  • Exposure to macro and geopolitical shocks — The company names political instability, trade tensions and geopolitical conflict among the risks that could unsettle the markets and clients it depends on, even though it considers its home markets stable.

強気材料

Buyers argue that ABG Sundal Collier's local Nordic relationships and lean cost base let it win advisory mandates that Nordic issuers might otherwise send to larger international banks, and that 2025's swing back toward strong M&A activity shows the business scaling profitably as capital markets recover.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that the business has no structural moat protecting it from larger competitors, that its revenue is inherently lumpy and hard to forecast because it tracks the Nordic deal cycle, and that a slowdown in capital markets activity would hit fee income quickly with little recurring revenue to cushion the fall.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Pareto Securities ASNot tracked

Oslo-headquartered independent full-service investment bank that bids for the same Nordic equity and bond mandates, M&A advisory work and institutional brokerage clients as ABG Sundal Collier.

Arctic Securities ASNot tracked

Independent Norwegian investment bank competing head-on for ECM, high-yield bond and M&A mandates from the same Nordic corporate issuers, often sitting alongside or against ABGSC in the same bookrunner syndicates.

DNB Bank ASA (DNB Carnegie)DNB.OL

After absorbing Carnegie into DNB Markets, its DNB Carnegie division is the largest Nordic investment bank and competes directly with ABGSC on corporate finance, M&A advisory and equity research and brokerage.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB)SEB-A.ST

Its Large Corporates & Financial Institutions arm competes for the same Nordic IPO, capital-raising and M&A mandates and for the same institutional equity commissions, especially in Sweden and Denmark.

Nordea Bank AbpNDA-FI.HE

Nordea's investment banking and markets unit pitches for the same Nordic corporate issuers and sponsor clients on equity, debt and advisory mandates that ABGSC targets.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.40B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$360M

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$1.03B

負債合計

$546M

流動比率

1.07

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$9.20

現在株価

$7.44

安全マージン

+19.1%

適正価値レンジ

$6.72 - $11.68

推定方法

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$12.49
PE-based:$9.18
Graham Growth:$5.16
EPV:$9.97
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (4B / 2H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-25.74%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

10.74

ROE

42.1%

P/B レシオ

3.81

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

100.0%

ROIC

26.7%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

26.7%

WACC

7.0%

ROIC − WACC

+19.7 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(7)

  • ROIC 26.7%
  • Gross Margin 100.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 21.9%
  • Current Ratio
  • ROE 38.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy

不合格(8)

  • Price CAGR 3.47%
  • P/B Ratio 3.81
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -24.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 0.0% vs 17.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Jonas StromChief Executive Officer-
Mr. Geir B. OlsenChief Financial Officer47
Ms. Jessica BlinkHead of Legal-
Mr. John A. Schj. OlaisenHead of Research-
Mr. Kristian B. FyksenHead of Investment Banking & CEO ABGSC Norway-
Mr. Olof CederholmCo-Head of Equities-
Mr. Hans Øyvind HaukeliCo-Head of Equities-
Mr. Douglas Leigh MillerHead of Compliance-
Ms. Anna TroppHead of Communication & Sustainability-
Mr. Thomas B. LindquistPartner & Head of Investment Banking - Denmark53

監査リスク

7

取締役会リスク

10

報酬リスク

10

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ABGSF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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