Allianz SE (ALIZF)
NEUTRALファンダメンタル
65
株価
$510.00
時価総額
$195.01B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Allianz sells insurance and manages investments. Its Property-Casualty arm insures cars, homes and businesses against accidents and damage; its Life/Health arm sells savings and protection policies, often bundled with long-term investment products; and its Asset Management arm, which includes PIMCO, invests money for institutional and retail clients worldwide in exchange for a fee, largely independent of Allianz's own insurance results.
収益の仕組み
The insurance businesses collect premiums upfront and pay claims later, aiming for an underwriting profit and earning investment income on the funds held in between. The asset management business instead earns fees on the assets it manages for others, a stream of income that does not depend on Allianz's own underwriting results and grows or shrinks with market values and net client inflows.
セグメント別売上高
Insurance for cars, homes, businesses and other property and liability risks; the largest segment by business volume.
Savings, protection and health insurance policies, many with a long-term investment component tied to interest rates.
Fee-based investment management for institutional and retail clients, including through PIMCO; the smallest segment by revenue but a distinct, less capital-intensive business.
競争優位性(moat)
規模の経済 · 狭いA global brand, a large capital base and decades of claims data give Allianz pricing and distribution advantages that smaller insurers cannot match easily. But insurance is not a business with high switching costs for the customer, and Allianz competes against other large composite insurers with similar scale in most of its markets.
需要を左右する要因
ディフェンシブMost insurance policies are renewed out of necessity — cars must be insured, mortgages often require it — so premium volumes hold up reasonably well through economic cycles. The asset management business is more cyclical, since fee income moves with the market value of the assets it manages.
主なリスク
- Underwriting risk — The group's capital requirements under its Solvency II model are driven in significant part by underwriting risk — the chance that claims, whether from catastrophes or from life and health policies, come in higher than priced for.
- Market risk on invested assets — Premiums held to cover future claims and long-term life savings guarantees are invested in bonds, equities and other assets, so interest-rate and capital-market swings affect both investment income and the value of liabilities.
- Credit and counterparty risk — The group is exposed to the risk that bond issuers, reinsurers or other counterparties in its investment and reinsurance arrangements fail to meet their obligations, tracked as a distinct capital-requirement category.
強気材料
Buyers argue that a record operating profit and growth across all three segments show the diversified insurance-plus-asset-management model working, that scale gives Allianz pricing discipline smaller rivals cannot match, and that a fee-based asset management arm adds a stream of income that does not depend on underwriting results.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that a large, long-duration life and health book leaves Allianz exposed to interest-rate swings over decades, that a run of severe natural catastrophes could push underwriting losses well above pricing assumptions, and that regulatory capital requirements under Solvency II could tighten in ways that constrain how the group deploys capital.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Europe's other full-line insurance group, selling property & casualty, life and health cover to retail and corporate customers in the same core markets of France, Germany, Italy and Asia.
Competes head-on for global corporate and commercial property & casualty programmes, the segment Allianz serves through Allianz Commercial, as well as for retail motor and home business in Europe.
Fights for the same life and property & casualty policyholders across continental Europe, above all in Italy, Germany and Central and Eastern Europe, through a comparable agent-led distribution network.
Through its ERGO primary-insurance arm it competes for the same German life, health and property customers Allianz depends on, while both groups also underwrite large industrial risks.
Rival underwriter of large commercial, specialty and high-net-worth property & casualty risks, bidding for the same multinational corporate accounts as Allianz Commercial.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$132.70B
直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計
純利益
$18.27B
直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計
フリーキャッシュフロー
$9.31B
自己資本合計
$73.70B
負債合計
$33.71B
流動比率
1.51
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
1.57
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$576.57
現在株価
$510.00
安全マージン
+11.5%
適正価値レンジ
$374.77 - $778.37
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
10.59
ROE
19.6%
P/B レシオ
2.94
P/FCF
20.95
粗利益率
25.0%
ROIC
12.0%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
12.0%
WACC
7.2%
ROIC − WACC
+4.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(15)
- Price CAGR 12.16%
- ROIC 12.0%
- P/FCF 20.95
- P/B Ratio 2.94
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 5.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 28.1%
- Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.8%
- PEG Ratio 0.80
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.78
- Net Margin Trend 5.8% vs 5.5%
不合格(6)
- Gross Margin 25.0%
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y -5.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
データなし(6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-スコア
重大な財務上の懸念
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Oliver Bate | Chairman of the Management Board & CEO | 60 |
| Ms. Claire-Marie Thomas Coste-Lepoutre | CFO & Member of Management Board | 50 |
| Dr. Gunther Thallinger | Member of the Management Board | 53 |
| Dr. Klaus-Peter Rohler | Member of the Management Board | 61 |
| Madam Renate Wagner | Member of the Management Board | 49 |
| Mr. Christopher George Townsend | Member of the Management Board | 57 |
| Dr. Barbara Karuth-Zelle Ph.D. | COO & Member of the Management Board | 55 |
| Dr. Andreas Georg Wimmer | Member of the Management Board | 51 |
| Ms. Sirma Gencheva Boshnakova | Member of the Management Board | 54 |
| Euler Hermes | Member of the Management Board | - |
監査リスク
9
取締役会リスク
3
報酬リスク
3
株主権利リスク
1
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for ALIZF, sourced from Markets Gazette.