APA Corporation (APA)
POSITIVEファンダメンタル
77
株価
$41.62
時価総額
$15.15B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
APA Corporation explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. It owns no refineries or pipelines beyond what it needs to move its own output: wells are drilled, hydrocarbons extracted, and sold as raw commodities at prevailing market prices. Operations concentrate in three areas — the Permian Basin and other U.S. onshore fields, Egypt's Western Desert, where APA has explored for decades, and the North Sea offshore the United Kingdom, from which the company plans to exit production before 2030.
収益の仕組み
Revenue comes from selling oil, natural gas and NGLs at spot or contracted prices tied to benchmark indices, so it moves with global commodity markets rather than with any pricing power of APA's own. In 2025 the U.S. supplied just over half of oil revenue and about a quarter of gas revenue; Egypt contributed over a third of oil revenue and the majority of gas revenue, produced under production-sharing terms with the Egyptian state; the smaller North Sea business is being wound down ahead of the planned exit.
競争優位性（moat）
明確な優位性なし · なしOil, gas and NGLs are fungible commodities sold at whatever the market pays that day. APA cannot charge more than a competitor for the same barrel, and its main lever is finding and lifting hydrocarbons more cheaply than others in the same basins — a cost position, not a durable advantage that keeps customers or blocks new supply from entering the market.
需要を左右する要因
景気循環型Results swing with global oil and gas prices, which the company does not control and which are driven by OPEC+ supply decisions, global growth, and geopolitical shocks far outside its operations. A period of low prices squeezes cash flow and capital spending at the same time, since both are set by the same commodity cycle.
主なリスク
- Commodity price volatility — The company states that oil, natural gas and NGL prices are highly volatile and driven by factors beyond its control, and that a prolonged period of low prices could materially affect its financial condition and its ability to fund capital spending.
- Concentration in Egypt — A large share of production and reserves sits in Egypt's Western Desert, operated under agreements with the Egyptian state. Political instability, contract renegotiation or a change in the fiscal terms there would affect results well beyond what a single well or field could explain.
- North Sea wind-down costs — APA is planning to cease North Sea production before 2030 and recorded a $796 million impairment on North Sea properties in 2024. Decommissioning obligations and further write-downs on a shrinking asset base can still weigh on results during the exit.
強気材料
Buyers argue that a low-cost position in the Permian and decades of experience in Egypt let APA keep producing profitably through the cycle, that the North Sea exit removes a shrinking, capital-hungry asset, and that free cash flow can fund debt reduction once commodity prices stabilize.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that a downturn in oil and gas prices would hit a company with no pricing power directly on the bottom line, that political or fiscal changes in Egypt could reduce the share of production APA actually keeps, and that decommissioning the North Sea business absorbs cash without adding new reserves.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Diamondback is the largest pure-play Permian producer and competes head-on with APA's US segment — roughly 55% of APA's output — for the same West Texas acreage, the same drilling rigs and pressure-pumping crews, and the same crude buyers and pipeline capacity.
Occidental is the closest structural match to APA: a large US independent that pairs a major Permian Basin oil position with international production-sharing contracts in the Middle East, so the two bid against each other for Permian acreage and for host-government licences abroad.
Devon, enlarged by its May 2026 merger with Coterra, is a multi-basin US shale operator anchored in the Delaware Basin, the same sub-basin where APA's Permian production and acquisition pipeline sit.
Murphy follows the same hybrid model as APA — cash-generating onshore North American shale funding high-risk offshore exploration abroad — so the two compete for the same frontier exploration blocks and for the investors who buy that profile.
Ovintiv is a North American multi-basin independent of comparable size with a Permian core, competing with APA for the same drilling inventory, oilfield services and capital in the mid-cap E&P bracket.
Permian Resources is a Delaware Basin pure-play that competes directly with APA's US business for undeveloped acreage, bolt-on acquisitions and midstream takeaway capacity in exactly the same fairway.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$8.72B
2025/12/31に終了した会計年度
純利益
$1.43B
2025/12/31に終了した会計年度
フリーキャッシュフロー
-
自己資本合計
$6.09B
負債合計
$10.76B
流動比率
0.95
利払い倍率
13.40
負債/EBITDA
0.72
一株当たり利益（EPS）
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$69.68
現在株価
$41.62
安全マージン
+40.3%
適正価値レンジ
$45.29 - $94.07
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
9.08
ROE
23.5%
P/B レシオ
2.14
P/FCF
-
粗利益率
-
ROIC
19.4%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
19.4%
WACC
7.7%
ROIC − WACC
+11.7 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格（16）
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC 19.4%
- P/B Ratio 2.14
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 26.3%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 15.0%
- Earnings Surprise avg 19.5%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.70
- Share Dilution 1.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
不合格（3）
- Price CAGR -3.73%
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Analyst Consensus 35% Buy
データなし（8）
- Gross Margin NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Net Margin Trend (invalid data)
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル：一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質：利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式数は安定している
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. John J. Christmann IV | CEO & Director | 58 |
| Mr. Stephen J. Riney | President | 64 |
| Mr. Ben C. Rodgers | Executive VP & CFO | 45 |
| Ms. Kimberly O. Warnica J.D. | Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 51 |
| Ms. Tracey K. Henderson | Executive Vice President of Exploration | 58 |
| Mr. Robert P. Rayphole | VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller | 51 |
| Mr. Mandeep Walia | Vice President & Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Mark D. Maddox | Executive Vice President of Administration | 58 |
| Mr. Stephane M. Aka | Managing Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Scott R. Grandt | Senior Vice President of U.S. Assets & Corporate Development | - |
監査リスク
6
取締役会リスク
2
報酬リスク
9
株主権利リスク
7
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容：テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for APA, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 3/30/2026NEGATIVETop 2 Energy That May Collapse This Month
APA Corporation, an energy sector stock, is flashing warning signs for momentum investors. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that APA is highly overbought, suggesting a potential for a significant price correction. This technical indicator, which compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses, signals that the stock's price has risen too quickly and may be due for a pullback. Investors should be cautious of potential downside risk in the near term.
- 2/26/2026NEUTRALAPA (APA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Markets Gazette reports that APA Corporation (APA) held its Q4 2025 earnings call on February 26, 2026. While such events are standard for publicly traded companies, the detailed transcript content is currently unavailable. This prevents analysts from assessing the financial performance, future outlook, or any strategic announcements that could impact the stock's valuation. Investors are awaiting further information to form informed judgments on the company's trajectory within the energy sector and its portfolio implications. Without concrete data, the market remains in a holding pattern, awaiting clarity.
- 2/25/2026NEUTRALAPA Earnings Review: Q4 Summary
APA Corporation has announced its Q4 earnings review, yet specific financial details such as revenues, earnings per share, or future guidance have not been disclosed. This critical lack of information makes it challenging for investors to assess the company's current performance and its potential impact on share value. Without concrete data, the market remains in a holding pattern, with any stock movements likely driven by speculation rather than solid fundamentals. Analysts and investors will need to await the full report's publication to form informed judgments and make trading decisions.
via Markets Gazette