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AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

ファンダメンタル

70

株価

$13.04

時価総額

$2.81B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

AvePoint is a US-based software company, headquartered in Jersey City with principal operating offices in Richmond, Virginia, that sells data protection, governance and resilience software for cloud collaboration environments. Its product is the AvePoint Confidence Platform, a modular platform-as-a-service organised into three suites: Control (data governance, access and entitlement visibility, SaaS licence and cost optimisation), Resilience (backup-as-a-service, ransomware recovery, lifecycle management and classification-driven protection) and Modernization (migration of legacy systems into cloud, AI-ready environments). The platform connects to Microsoft 365, Google, Salesforce, AWS, Box and Dropbox, as well as tools such as GitHub, Jira, Okta, Docusign and Confluence. As of 31 December 2025 the company served more than 28,000 end customers in over 100 countries and employed 3,443 people; its shares trade on both Nasdaq and the Singapore Exchange. It holds FedRAMP Moderate authorisation, SOC 2 Type II, ISO 27001/27017/27018 and, since 2025, Japan's ISMAP certification.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from four sources that AvePoint reports separately: SaaS subscriptions to its cloud platform; term licences with a distinct support component for on-premise or hybrid deployments; professional services (implementation, training, consulting, customisation and managed services); and maintenance on legacy perpetual licences. SaaS, term licence and support, and maintenance are all treated as recurring. SaaS and term licences are usually billed annually and priced per user seat or by the volume of data protected, with SaaS recognised rateably over the contract term while the licence part of a term contract is recognised up front. In fiscal 2025 SaaS revenue grew 38% and represented 76% of total revenue, up from 70% in 2024, while the legacy maintenance line shrank; total annual recurring revenue reached $416.8 million, up 27%. Selling is split between a direct sales force aimed at large accounts and an indirect, two-tier channel of roughly 6,000 managed service providers, resellers and system integrators, plus listings on the Google Cloud, Azure and AWS marketplaces; managed service providers get a dedicated 'Elements' edition. By customer size, enterprises with more than 5,000 seats generated 52% of annual recurring revenue, mid-market 28% and small business 20%. The first quarter is historically the weakest and the fourth the strongest.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

AvePoint's own filing describes a reinforcing dynamic in which broader platform adoption across workloads, users and geographies increases switching costs and supports retention, as the platform becomes embedded in how a customer governs and recovers its data. Backup and governance sit close to the customer's compliance obligations, so ripping the platform out means re-establishing policies, permission maps and recoverable archives — real friction. Certifications that are slow and costly to obtain, notably FedRAMP Moderate, Japan's ISMAP and IRAP, also gate access to government and regulated buyers. The advantage is narrow rather than wide, however: the company itself lists three competitor groups — legacy backup vendors, data security and posture management specialists, and smaller cloud data management vendors — and much of the platform's value depends on integrations with third-party ecosystems it does not control, most of all Microsoft, whose own product decisions can absorb or displace adjacent functionality.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Demand rests on structural forces rather than on the economic cycle: growth in unstructured enterprise data, which AvePoint says is roughly 80% of all data, tightening privacy and data protection regulation, ransomware and business continuity requirements, and the push to make data governed and clean enough for AI and autonomous agents to work on. Backup, compliance retention and access governance are close to obligatory once adopted, which makes the recurring base fairly sticky, and 2025 annual recurring revenue rose 27%. The company nevertheless discloses that reductions in IT spending or a weaker global economy could limit growth, that customers may delay or downsize purchases if the platform is perceived as costly or hard to migrate to, and that the licence-and-support and legacy maintenance lines are already shrinking as the mix moves to SaaS. Revenue is also seasonal, with the first quarter historically the lowest and the fourth the highest, so single quarters do not read as a trend.

主なリスク

  • Dependence on technology partners whose platforms AvePoint plugs into — The company states that most of its customers integrate its products with, or as an enhancement of, third-party solutions, so the usefulness of the platform depends on its ability to keep integrating with them. If those providers change the features of their solutions, suffer outages, performance problems or security incidents, or if AvePoint fails to retain the relationships, customer satisfaction, reputation, revenue and results could be harmed.
  • Recent growth may not continue and renewals are hard to predict — AvePoint warns that the strong growth of recent periods may not be sustained, and that its ability to predict the rate of customer renewals — and the effect of those renewals on revenue and operating results — is limited, since customers have no obligation to renew. It also notes that if consumption-based pricing spreads, revenue will become harder to forecast.
  • Reliance on resellers and distributors, especially for small business customers — The filing states that success with small business customers depends in part on resale and distribution partnerships, and that the business would be harmed if AvePoint fails to maintain or expand those partner relationships. Partner performance also affects the AvePoint brand, because a poor customer experience with a partner reflects back on the company.
  • Cuts to IT spending and weakness in the wider economy — The company says unfavourable conditions in its industry or the global economy, or reductions in IT spending, could limit growth and hurt results, since its revenue depends on customers' willingness to spend on information technology. It adds that revenue may be disproportionately affected if customers come to see its products as costly or too difficult to launch or migrate to.
  • Dependence on third-party hyperscaler hosting, and on its cost — The Confidence Platform is delivered through cloud infrastructure operated by third-party hyperscalers across geographically distributed data centres. A significant portion of operating costs consists of third-party data hosting and transmission services; if those costs rise because of vendor consolidation, regulation or contract renegotiation, AvePoint may not be able to pass the increase on. Interruptions, latency or poor service from those providers would impair delivery of the platform.
  • A breach of AvePoint's own security would undercut the product it sells — The company processes and stores customer data, including backups customers create with its products, and personal information of customers and employees. It states that if its security measures are compromised, its products may be perceived as not secure, customers may curtail or stop using them, its reputation may be harmed, and it may face fines, penalties and claims. It seeks to cap its contractual liability but cannot be certain those caps will hold, and insurers could deny coverage.
  • Global operations and currency exposure — Being a global company creates operational challenges the filing lists at length, including compliance with foreign privacy rules such as the GDPR, the EU Data Act and the EU AI Act, differing labour regulations, anti-corruption exposure under the FCPA and equivalent laws, and export control and sanctions rules. Only about 36% of fiscal 2025 revenue was denominated in US dollars against roughly 50% of expenses, so movements in exchange rates can significantly affect reported revenue, results and cash flows. The company also flags that tariffs, sanctions and trade barriers may weigh on the business.
  • Acquisitions may distract management and dilute shareholders — AvePoint has completed six acquisitions since 2022 and expects deals to remain an important growth driver. It warns that acquisitions and investments may divert management attention, result in additional dilution to stockholders, and that it may be unable to integrate acquired businesses and technologies successfully or achieve the expected benefits.
  • Rapid technology change could leave the products behind — The company operates in a market characterised by exponential growth in enterprise data, rapid technological advance and shifting customer requirements. It states that if it fails to adapt to changing technology, evolving industry standards and changing customer preferences, its products and services may become less competitive, and that it cannot guarantee it will anticipate future market needs.

顧客集中度

The customer base is highly fragmented. As of 31 December 2025 AvePoint served more than 28,000 end customers across more than 100 countries, and the filing states that no customer accounted for more than 10% of revenue in 2025, 2024 or 2023, nor for more than 10% of billings or of accounts receivable. The 10-K does not disclose a combined share for the largest customers, so no figure can be given. Concentration sits elsewhere: revenue leans on a channel of roughly 6,000 managed service providers, resellers and system integrators — the main route to small and mid-sized customers — and on integrations with a handful of large cloud ecosystems, Microsoft above all. By geography, three countries each exceeded 10% of consolidated revenue in fiscal 2025: the United States, Germany and Singapore.

強気材料

Buyers argue that the mix shift has already happened and is paying off: SaaS revenue grew 38% in fiscal 2025 to reach 76% of total revenue, annual recurring revenue reached $416.8 million, and the company crossed from a $15.4 million operating loss in 2023 to $7.2 million of operating income in 2024 and $33.0 million in 2025, with $85.3 million of cash generated from operations. They point to a genuinely diversified base — more than 28,000 end customers, no customer above 10% of revenue, and roughly balanced revenue across North America, EMEA and Asia-Pacific — which limits the damage any single loss can do. They see the AI wave as a demand accelerant rather than a threat, on the reasoning the company itself sets out: the more work is delegated to AI and autonomous agents, the more valuable it becomes to have data that is classified, permissioned, auditable and recoverable, which is exactly what the Control and Resilience suites sell. They also credit the roughly 6,000-partner channel and the marketplace listings as a way to reach small and mid-sized customers cheaply, the new tiered 'good-better-best' bundling as a lever for expanding within accounts, and certifications such as FedRAMP Moderate and Japan's ISMAP as hard-to-copy access to government buyers.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that AvePoint sits on top of ecosystems it does not own. The company itself says most customers use its products as an enhancement of third-party solutions and that a change in those providers' features could limit what it can deliver — a dependence that is heaviest on Microsoft, whose own native governance and backup capabilities can absorb adjacent functionality without warning. They note that the declared moat rests on switching costs the company asserts rather than on anything contractual, in a market where it names three groups of competitors including well-funded backup and data-security specialists. They worry about the quality of the growth: two of the four revenue lines are shrinking, term licence and support fell 7.1% and legacy maintenance fell 54.5% in fiscal 2025, so headline growth depends entirely on SaaS continuing at pace, and management explicitly warns that recent growth rates may not be indicative of the future and that renewal rates are hard to predict. Services carry very thin gross margins — $53.8 million of revenue against $49.8 million of cost in 2025 — so the mix matters to profitability. They also point to the reliance on roughly 6,000 channel partners whose performance the company does not control but whose failures reflect on its brand, to six acquisitions since 2022 with integration and dilution risk, to hosting costs that are a significant share of operating expense and set by hyperscalers, and to currency exposure, with only about 36% of revenue in US dollars against roughly 50% of expenses.

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 84.1Score: 66Market cap: $5.41B

Commvault Cloud sells Microsoft 365 and SaaS backup plus cyber-resilience to the same large enterprises and public-sector buyers AvePoint targets with its Resilience suite.

P/E: —Score: 53Market cap: $4.69B

Varonis competes on the governance side of AvePoint's Control suite, selling permission control and sensitive-data discovery across Microsoft 365 and other SaaS estates.

Veeam Software Group GmbHNot tracked

Veeam Data Cloud for Microsoft 365 is the most widely deployed rival to AvePoint's Resilience suite, chased through the same MSP and reseller channel for the same SaaS backup budgets.

Rubrik, Inc.RBRK

Rubrik competes for enterprise Microsoft 365 and SaaS data-protection contracts, pitching ransomware recovery and data-security posture to the same IT and security decision-makers.

Quest Software Inc.Not tracked

Quest's On Demand suite covers Microsoft 365 and Entra ID migration, governance and recovery — the same three jobs AvePoint sells as Modernization, Control and Resilience.

Keepit A/SNot tracked

Keepit is a dedicated SaaS-backup vendor covering Microsoft 365 and adjacent applications, competing head-on for mid-market and MSP-served customers.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$466M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$71M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$82M

自己資本合計

$479M

負債合計

$310M

流動比率

2.00

利払い倍率

20.20

負債/EBITDA

0.74

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$11.00

現在株価

$13.04

安全マージン

-18.5%

適正価値レンジ

$7.15 - $14.84

推定方法

Analyst Target:$16.71
DCF:$6.43
PE-based:$8.80
Graham Growth:$5.05
EPV:$1.33
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (15B / 5H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+101.90%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

42.71

ROE

7.3%

P/B レシオ

6.41

P/FCF

27.73

粗利益率

73.4%

ROIC

7.5%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

7.5%

WACC

11.2%

ROIC − WACC

-3.7 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 7.5%
  • Gross Margin 73.4%
  • P/FCF 27.73
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 9.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 10.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 50.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.46
  • Net Margin Trend 15.3% vs -2.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(5)

  • Price CAGR 4.43%
  • P/B Ratio 6.41
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Share Dilution 27.6%

データなし(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.46

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

27.6%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Xunkai GongCo-founder & Executive Chairman63
Dr. Tianyi JiangCo-Founder, CEO & Director50
Mr. James Caci CPAChief Financial Officer60
Mr. Brian Michael Brown J.D.Chief Legal & Compliance Officer, Secretary and Director52
Mr. Stuart RobertsonChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Sophia WuChief Accounting Officer48
Mr. John PelusoChief Technology Officer-
Ms. Dana Louise Simberkoff Cipp, J.D.Chief Risk, Privacy & Information Security Officer-
Ms. Clara LimChief Administrative Officer-
Mr. James ArestiaVice President of Investor Relations-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

9

報酬リスク

7

株主権利リスク

8

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for AVPT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/27/2026NEUTRAL
    AvePoint (AVPT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Investors in AvePoint (AVPT) are keenly awaiting the release of the Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While specific details are not yet available, this event is a critical juncture for understanding the company's financial performance and future outlook. Analysis of the transcript will be essential for evaluating revenues, earnings, and management guidance, all fundamental elements for guiding investment decisions. The market will closely monitor any indications regarding new strategies, product innovations, or market expansions that could influence the stock's value in the upcoming period.

  • 2/20/2026NEGATIVE
    AvePoint Stock Down 47% as One Fund Slashes Stake by $65.9 Million

    AvePoint's stock has plummeted by 47% following news that a fund has slashed its stake by $65.9 million. This indicates a significant loss of confidence from a major investor, potentially due to concerns about future performance or valuation.

via Markets Gazette