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Bosideng International Holdings Limited (BSDGY)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalApparel ManufacturingHong Kong

ファンダメンタル

84

株価

$4.48

時価総額

$51.79B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Bosideng designs, sources and sells down-filled winter jackets in China under its namesake brand, which it states has led the Chinese down-apparel market by sales volume for 25 consecutive years. It does not own the factories that sew most of its garments: it designs the products and manages outside manufacturers, then sells through its own retail stores, department-store counters and e-commerce. Alongside its core down-jacket brand, it makes smaller apparel lines and manufactures garments for other brands on an outsourced basis.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is heavily seasonal, concentrated in the cold months when consumers buy winter jackets, and comes overwhelmingly from selling branded down apparel at retail rather than from its smaller OEM manufacturing-for-others business. A smaller ladieswear line and a diversified-apparel business round out the mix but remain minor. Because the core product is weather-dependent and mostly sold within China, results are sensitive both to how cold a given winter is and to Chinese consumer spending more broadly.

セグメント別売上高

Branded down apparel83.7%

Down-filled jackets sold under the Bosideng and related in-house brands, the company's core and by far largest business.

OEM management13%

Garments manufactured for other apparel brands on an outsourced basis rather than sold under Bosideng's own name.

Ladieswear2.5%

Women's apparel sold under separate in-house brands, distinct from the core down-jacket business.

Diversified apparel0.8%

Smaller apparel lines outside down jackets and womenswear, the smallest reported segment.

競争優位性(moat)

ブランド · 狭い

Bosideng states it has led the Chinese down-apparel market by sales volume for 25 consecutive years, a long-run brand position built through decades of marketing and retail presence that a new entrant could not quickly replicate. The advantage is narrower outside China, however, where the brand has little recognition and the company depends heavily on a single, seasonal domestic product category.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Demand is driven by winter weather and Chinese consumer discretionary spending: a mild winter or a weak Chinese consumer directly reduces how many jackets shoppers buy, since down apparel is a seasonal, semi-discretionary purchase rather than a year-round necessity. The OEM manufacturing business adds a second layer of cyclicality tied to overseas brands' own order volumes and tariff exposure.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Bosideng's 25-year leadership of the Chinese down-apparel market by volume, combined with revenue and profit growth in FY2024/25, shows a brand strong enough to keep taking share in a market it already dominates.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that the business depends heavily on China's domestic consumer and on cold winters, that its smaller OEM segment faces tariff and geopolitical headwinds, and that its overseas footprint remains too small to diversify away from a single seasonal product category in a single country.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$27.46B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$4.02B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$4.77B

自己資本合計

$21.36B

負債合計

$1.67B

流動比率

2.11

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.27

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割安

適正価値

$7.93

現在株価

$4.48

安全マージン

+43.5%

適正価値レンジ

$5.16 - $10.71

推定方法

Analyst Target:$5.47
DCF:$14.53
PE-based:$3.56
Graham Growth:$15.63
EPV:$3.89
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (25B / 1H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+4.43%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

12.90

ROE

22.8%

P/B レシオ

2.84

P/FCF

10.85

粗利益率

57.2%

ROIC

19.6%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

19.6%

WACC

9.0%

ROIC − WACC

+10.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(17)

  • Price CAGR 21.20%
  • ROIC 19.6%
  • Gross Margin 57.2%
  • P/FCF 10.85
  • P/B Ratio 2.84
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 19.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 23.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 96% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.65
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
  • Net Margin Trend 14.6% vs 13.6%

不合格(4)

  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

1.40

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Dekang GaoFounder, Chairman & CEO73
Ms. Dong MeiExecutive President & Executive Director57
Mr. Jinsong RuiSenior VP & Executive Director53
Ms. Qiaolian HuangVP & Executive Director60
Mr. Xiaodong GaoVP & Executive Director49

監査リスク

6

取締役会リスク

8

報酬リスク

10

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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