Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS)
NEUTRALファンダメンタル
66
株価
$331.04
時価総額
$87.00B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Cadence sells the software chip designers use to design, simulate and verify a semiconductor before it is manufactured — a step nearly every advanced chip made today passes through, since a mistake caught after production means scrapping an entire batch of wafers. It also licenses pre-built circuit blocks that customers can drop into their own chip designs, and has expanded into simulation software for physical systems beyond chips, such as vehicles and aircraft.
収益の仕組み
Most revenue is ratable: customers pay recurring licence and maintenance fees to keep using the software and receive updates, rather than a one-time purchase, which makes revenue relatively predictable from quarter to quarter. A smaller portion comes from hardware emulation systems and services sold up-front. No single customer accounted for 10% or more of revenue in 2025, since the customer base spans nearly every chip designer in the world.
セグメント別売上高
The software and hardware used to design and verify semiconductors — Cadence's original and still dominant business.
Simulation software for physical electronic systems beyond the chip itself, expanded through recent acquisitions like BETA CAE.
Pre-built, pre-verified circuit blocks that customers license instead of designing from scratch, saving development time.
競争優位性（moat）
スイッチングコスト · 広いA chip design team standardizes its entire workflow, training and file formats around one vendor's tools, and re-platforming to a competitor mid-project risks a failed chip that costs tens of millions of dollars to fix. Combined with an industry structure where essentially only Cadence and Synopsys can offer a full tool suite at the leading edge, this makes customer relationships extremely sticky once established.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性Because most revenue is recurring licence and maintenance fees rather than one-time hardware sales, Cadence's results are steadier than the semiconductor industry it serves. But the underlying driver is still customer R&D spending, which slows when chipmakers cut budgets in a downturn, and China's 13% share of 2025 revenue has already shown how quickly export rules can disrupt demand in one region.
主なリスク
- China export controls — China generated 13% of 2025 revenue. A temporary US licence requirement in 2025 already cut deliveries of software to Chinese customers before being rescinded, and similar restrictions could be reimposed without warning.
- Export control settlement and compliance obligations — In July 2025 Cadence pleaded guilty to a conspiracy charge and settled with the DOJ and BIS over export violations that occurred between 2015 and 2021, and now carries ongoing audit and compliance obligations under a three-year probationary agreement.
- Cyclicality of customer R&D spending — Even with recurring revenue, a downturn in semiconductor company budgets slows new licence sales and can delay renewals, since Cadence's growth ultimately tracks its customers' willingness to invest in new chip designs.
- Emerging domestic competitors in China — China's stated policy to become self-sufficient in semiconductors is funding domestic EDA vendors such as Huada Empyrean, which could erode Cadence's position in that market over time even without further export restrictions.
顧客集中度
No single customer accounted for 10% or more of total revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023 — the customer base is broad, spread across the semiconductor and electronic-systems industries.
強気材料
Buyers point to a duopoly-like industry structure alongside Synopsys, deep switching costs once a chip team standardizes on a toolchain, and a growing System Design and Analysis business diversifying beyond core EDA through acquisitions.
弱気材料
Sellers note that China already accounts for 13% of revenue and already suffered a temporary export-license shock in 2025, that the company pleaded guilty to an export-control violation with ongoing compliance obligations, and that further US-China trade restrictions could recur without warning.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$5.53B
直近12か月（2026/3/31まで）
純利益
$1.17B
直近12か月（2026/3/31まで）
フリーキャッシュフロー
$1.59B
自己資本合計
$5.47B
負債合計
$4.68B
流動比率
1.47
利払い倍率
13.12
負債/EBITDA
0.35
一株当たり利益（EPS）
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$232.42
現在株価
$331.04
安全マージン
-42.4%
適正価値レンジ
$151.07 - $313.77
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
73.64
ROE
20.3%
P/B レシオ
13.28
P/FCF
60.94
粗利益率
-
ROIC
12.4%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
12.4%
WACC
10.7%
ROIC − WACC
+1.7 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格（17）
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 28.89%
- ROIC 12.4%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 28.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 22.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 14.6%
- Analyst Consensus 91% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.36
- Share Dilution -0.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
不合格（8）
- P/FCF 60.94
- P/B Ratio 13.28
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg 2.4%
- PEG Ratio 4.64
- Net Margin Trend 21.2% vs 22.2%
データなし（2）
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル：一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質：利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. Anirudh Devgan Ph.D. | CEO, President & Director | 55 |
| Mr. John M. Wall | Senior VP & CFO | 54 |
| Dr. Chin-Chi Teng Ph.D. | Senior VP and GM of the Digital & Signoff Group | 59 |
| Dr. Paul Cunningham Ph.D. | Senior VP & GM of the System and Verification Group | 47 |
| Mr. Paul Scannell | Senior Vice President of Global Customer Success Team | 59 |
| Mr. Ariel Sella | Co-Founder | - |
| Mr. Tarak Ray | Chief Information Officer & Senior VP | - |
| Mr. Richard Gu | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Marc Taxay J.D. | Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 56 |
| Ms. Yoon Kim | Corporate VP of Global Human Resources | - |
監査リスク
3
取締役会リスク
2
報酬リスク
3
株主権利リスク
1
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容：テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for CDNS, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 4/27/2026NEUTRALCadence Design Systems Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Cadence Design Systems reported its Q1 2026 earnings, with the full transcript available for analysis. While specific financial figures and forward-looking guidance are detailed within the transcript, the provided information does not include a summary of key performance indicators or management outlook. Investors should consult the complete transcript for a comprehensive understanding of the company's financial health, strategic initiatives, and future prospects. The earnings call is a crucial event for assessing the company's performance against expectations and its trajectory in the electronic design automation market.
- 4/27/2026POSITIVECadence Design Systems Beats Q1 Estimates During 'Accelerating' AI Demand
Cadence Design Systems Inc. reported first-quarter 2026 results that surpassed analyst expectations, driven by robust demand from the artificial intelligence sector. The company's performance indicates strong momentum, with AI applications continuing to fuel growth in its core business segments. Investors will be closely watching the company's guidance for the upcoming quarters, as sustained AI demand could translate into significant revenue upside and further stock appreciation. The positive earnings report suggests Cadence is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing technological shift.
- 4/24/2026NEUTRALCadence Design Systems Targets Faster Chip Design Cycles To Keep Pace With AI
Cadence Design Systems is set to release its first-quarter financial results, with analyst expectations leaning towards a revenue beat but an earnings miss. Rosenblatt Securities maintains a 'Buy' rating on the stock. This mixed outlook suggests potential upside in top-line growth, possibly driven by strong demand for AI-related chip design tools, but also hints at potential margin pressures or higher operating costs impacting profitability. Investors will be closely watching the guidance for the upcoming quarters to gauge the company's trajectory in the rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
- 4/23/2026NEUTRALThe chip exec who powered the AI boom says America’s $39 trillion debt is the same mistake that kills great companies
Anirudh Devgan, CEO of Cadence Design Systems, a key player in AI chip design software, has voiced concerns regarding the United States' substantial national debt, equating it to a fiscal error that can cripple even strong companies. Devgan highlighted the paradox of a nation with immense strengths yet operating at a deficit. While his company is a direct beneficiary of the AI boom, his commentary points to broader macroeconomic risks that could indirectly impact the tech sector and overall market stability. Investors should monitor the national debt situation for potential long-term implications on economic growth and corporate profitability.
- 4/20/2026POSITIVEWhy Cadence’s ‘ChatGPT moment’ may have already arrived
Cadence Design Systems is poised for significant growth driven by the burgeoning field of agentic AI, according to a recent analyst report. The company's electronic design automation (EDA) systems are crucial for developing complex AI models, positioning Cadence to benefit directly from increased demand in this rapidly expanding sector. This 'ChatGPT moment' suggests a substantial uplift in revenue and market share for Cadence as AI development accelerates. Investors should monitor Cadence's ability to capitalize on this trend, as it represents a key inflection point for the company's future valuation.
- 4/14/2026POSITIVE$100 Invested In Cadence Design Systems 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
An investment of $100 in Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) 15 years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong long-term growth trajectory. While specific figures are not provided in the title, such a statement implies substantial outperformance against market benchmarks. This sustained growth likely stems from Cadence's critical role in the semiconductor design ecosystem, providing essential electronic design automation (EDA) software and services. Investors looking at the company's history may find its consistent performance a compelling reason for future investment, especially given the ongoing demand for advanced chip designs.
via Markets Gazette