The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO)
POSITIVEファンダメンタル
76
株価
$64.00
時価総額
$3.72B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
The Vita Coco Company pioneered packaged coconut water in 2004 and is today one of the largest coconut and plant water brands in the world, as well as a large supplier of private-label coconut water and coconut oil to retailers. Its branded portfolio is led by Vita Coco coconut water — the U.S. category leader with more than 40% market share (Circana, 52 weeks ended 28 December 2025) and more than 80% share in the U.K. (Circana UK, 52 weeks ended 27 December 2025) — plus coconut juice, coconut milk, Vita Coco Treats and the protein drink PWR LIFT. Coconut water accounted for 96% of revenue in 2025. The company owns no factories: it sources from roughly 16 third-party coconut water plants across six countries (Philippines, Brazil, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Sri Lanka) and six co-packing facilities in three countries, an asset-light model run by 336 employees. Products are sold in over 35 countries, with the U.S., U.K. and Germany as the main markets, through club, grocery, drug, mass, convenience, e-commerce and on-premise channels. It is a Delaware public benefit corporation and a Certified B Corporation, listed on Nasdaq since October 2021.
収益の仕組み
Vita Coco makes money selling finished beverages to distributors and retailers, who resell them to consumers; it does not manufacture. Contract manufacturers near the coconut-growing regions produce the goods, which ship directly to third-party warehouses in the selling markets. In North America the company goes to market through a direct-store-delivery network, direct-to-warehouse shipments to large retailers, broadline distributors and its own direct-to-consumer channel; abroad it uses a mix of direct retail sales, importers and distributors, and a joint venture with the Jebsen Group in China. Revenue comes in three streams disclosed in the filing: branded Vita Coco coconut water, private-label coconut water and coconut oil produced for large retailers under their own brands, and 'Other' (coconut milk, oil, juice, PWR LIFT and residual brands). There are generally no long-term contracts or minimum purchase commitments with retail-direct customers beyond promotional arrangements, and private-label business is rebid regularly. In 2025 consolidated gross margin was 36.5%, down about 2 percentage points from 38.5% in 2024 because of higher product costs and tariffs.
セグメント別売上高
Operations primarily in the United States and Canada, selling Vita Coco coconut water and non-coconut-water products (coconut oil, milk, juice, PWR LIFT) to club stores, grocery, mass, convenience and e-commerce customers, plus private-label supply to large U.S. retailers. Net sales were $508.8 million of the $609.8 million consolidated total in fiscal 2025.
Operations primarily in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific, including the group's procurement arm, anchored by the United Kingdom where Vita Coco leads the coconut water category, plus private-label supply to European retailers. Net sales were $101.0 million in fiscal 2025.
競争優位性(moat)
ブランド · 狭いVita Coco's advantage is brand recognition in a category it effectively created: it holds more than 40% share of U.S. coconut water and more than 80% in the U.K. per Circana data cited in the 10-K, backed by over 20 U.S. and over 210 foreign registered trademarks and by two decades of relationships with coconut processors across six sourcing countries — relationships hard to replicate given that coconut water must be packed within hours of harvest. The limits are real, though: the company admits it generally has no long-term contracts or minimum volumes with retail-direct customers, it competes against Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Nestlé with far deeper pockets, and it supplies the private-label products that compete with its own brand on the same shelf. That is a defensible position, not an unassailable one.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性Demand is driven by consumer interest in hydration and in drinks with less added sugar and fewer artificial ingredients — a structural trend the company believes is growing — and by how far the coconut water category itself expands in each market, since Vita Coco's growth depends more on category penetration and new households than on the economic cycle. Two things make it less than fully defensive: coconut water is a premium-priced alternative to cheaper drinks, so consumers can trade down to private label (including the private label Vita Coco itself supplies), and shelf space depends on retailers' choices. Sales are also seasonal, with the highest volumes normally in the second and third quarters, the warmer months in its main markets. In 2025 growth came from both volume and price: Vita Coco coconut water net sales rose to $496.3 million from $393.6 million, while private label fell to $88.7 million from $109.2 million as a large customer pulled back regions.
主なリスク
- Almost the whole business is one product — The company states that coconut water accounted for 96% of revenue in 2025 and expects it to remain the bulk of revenue, income and cash flow. Any material negative change in consumer demand for its products or for coconut water generally, or a failure of the category to grow, could materially and adversely affect the business.
- Two customers are 44% of sales, with no long-term commitments — The largest distributor customer and the largest retail-direct customer together accounted for approximately 44% of total net sales as of 31 December 2025. The company generally has no long-term contracts or minimum purchase volumes with retail-direct customers; the agreement with the largest one can be terminated without cause on notice and imposes no minimum purchase. Private-label business is rebid regularly and changes can be abrupt — one significant customer withdrew regions during 2025, cutting private-label volumes.
- Tariffs and import costs on a fully imported supply chain — All coconut water is sourced internationally. Tariffs imposed on most U.S. imports during 2025, including coconut water, raised cost of goods sold; a U.S. executive action from November 2025 granted exemptions for coconut water products, but the company warns these may be temporary, revoked with limited notice or not renewed, which would raise duty rates, compress gross margins and force price or sourcing changes it may not be able to pass on to customers.
- Supply chain disruption and availability of coconuts — The 10-K lists interruptions in the supply chain, inflation and shipping costs, the ability to forecast and manage inventory, reduced or limited availability of coconuts and other raw materials meeting quality standards, and volatility in packaging material prices among its principal risks. The majority of products are packaged with materials from a single supplier, Tetra Pak.
- Intense competition from far larger beverage groups — The company competes across the non-alcoholic beverage category with sports drinks, energy drinks, enhanced waters and other functional beverages, against groups such as The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo and Nestlé that have substantially greater financial resources and stronger brand recognition, as well as against coconut water brands including Goya, Harmless Harvest, Zico and C20 and retailers' own private-label lines.
- Dependence on the Americas segment — Financial performance is largely dependent on the Americas segment, roughly 83% of consolidated net revenue in 2025 and the source of most operating cash flow. The company states the International segment would be unable to make up any significant shortfall if the Americas, and specifically the U.S. market, were to slow or decline.
- Food safety, recalls and brand reputation — Among its principal risks the company lists lawsuits, product recalls or regulatory enforcement actions connected to real or perceived food safety and food-borne illness incidents, other safety concerns, advertising inaccuracies, digital marketing practices or product mislabeling, as well as its ability to develop and maintain its brands and company image and to keep pace with changing consumer preferences.
- Climate change affecting coconut growing regions — The company identifies climate change, or measures taken to address it, as a principal risk that may negatively affect its business and operations — relevant given that its raw material comes from tropical farming regions in six countries and its supply chain partners are deliberately located as close as possible to those growing areas.
顧客集中度
主要顧客が売上高の44%を占める
The company discloses that its largest distributor customer and its largest retail-direct customer together accounted for approximately 44% of total net sales as of 31 December 2025, and that no other customer or distributor exceeded 10%. In the notes the two are shown individually at 25% and 19% of net sales for 2025 (23% and 25% respectively in 2024), and one of them represented 30% of accounts receivable at year-end. The names are not disclosed. Concentration on the supply side is lower: the three suppliers above 10% of purchases represented 18%, 13% and 10% in 2025.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Vita Coco owns the category it invented — over 40% share in the U.S. and over 80% in the U.K. — inside a niche that is still small relative to the wider functional beverage market, leaving room to grow by educating consumers, adding households and extending into adjacent products such as Vita Coco Treats and coconut milk. They point to fiscal 2025, when consolidated net sales rose to $609.8 million from $516.0 million and branded coconut water sales grew to $496.3 million from $393.6 million on both volume and price, while the company deliberately let lower-margin private-label volume go. They also like the asset-light structure: no factories, 336 employees, 16 third-party plants across six countries that can be reallocated when weather or logistics hit one origin, which keeps capital needs low and the balance sheet cash-generative. On top of this, they note the tariff exemption granted in November 2025 removed a cost the company had been absorbing during the year.
弱気材料
Sellers fear a company whose fortunes rest on a single product in a single category: coconut water is 96% of revenue, and the Americas segment is about 83% of it, with the company itself stating that International could not offset a U.S. slowdown. They point to the customer file — two customers at roughly 44% of net sales, no long-term contracts or minimum volumes with retail-direct accounts, and a private-label business that is rebid regularly and can move abruptly, as it did in 2025 when a significant customer withdrew regions and private-label sales fell to $88.7 million from $109.2 million. They also fear margin pressure from a supply chain that imports everything: consolidated gross margin fell about two percentage points to 36.5% in 2025 on higher product costs, tariffs and domestic freight, and the company warns that the coconut water tariff exemption may be temporary or revoked with limited notice. Behind all of it sits competition from Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Nestlé with far greater resources, and from the retailers' own private-label lines — some of which Vita Coco manufactures itself.
Generated on 2026年8月22日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年8月22日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Also named in Vita Coco's 10-K, PepsiCo competes through Gatorade and Propel for the sports-drink and functional-hydration dollars Vita Coco positions itself against.
Named by Vita Coco in its 10-K as a key rival brand, Harmless Harvest sells premium organic coconut water to the same US natural- and premium-grocery shoppers.
ZICO, relaunched after being bought back from Coca-Cola, is the historic number-two US coconut water brand and fights Vita Coco for the same shelf space and the same hydration consumer.
Cited by Vita Coco itself, C2O sells single-ingredient Thai coconut water through the same US grocery, natural and convenience channels.
Goya sells lower-priced coconut water alongside its Hispanic food range, competing directly for the multicultural US shoppers Vita Coco says it over-indexes with.
Vita Coco lists Coca-Cola among its competitors in the broader non-alcoholic category, where BodyArmor, Powerade and smartwater compete for the same hydration occasion and the same retail shelf.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$706M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$109M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$39M
自己資本合計
$332M
負債合計
$130M
流動比率
3.36
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
0.17
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$64.39
現在株価
$64.00
安全マージン
+0.6%
適正価値レンジ
$46.88 - $81.90
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
34.81
ROE
21.5%
P/B レシオ
9.07
P/FCF
29.22
粗利益率
41.1%
ROIC
25.8%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
25.8%
WACC
8.8%
ROIC − WACC
+16.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(22)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 39.71%
- Price CAGR 41.50%
- ROIC 25.8%
- Gross Margin 41.1%
- P/FCF 29.22
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 19.1%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 31.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 14.4%
- Analyst Consensus 76% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 25.1%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.20
- Share Dilution 0.7%
- Net Margin Trend 15.5% vs 11.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
不合格(4)
- P/B Ratio 9.07
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- PEG Ratio 2.27
データなし(2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式数は安定している
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Michael Kirban | Co-Founder, Executive Chairman & President | 50 |
| Mr. Martin F. Roper | CEO & Director | 62 |
| Mr. Ira Liran | Co-Founder & Director | 46 |
| Mr. Corey Baker | CFO & Interim Chief Accounting Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Jonathan Burth | Chief Operating Officer | 43 |
| Mr. Charles Van Es | Chief Commercial Officer | 48 |
| Ms. Alison Klein | General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | - |
| Ms. Jane Prior | Chief Marketing Officer | 46 |
監査リスク
2
取締役会リスク
9
報酬リスク
5
株主権利リスク
8
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for COCO, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/15/2026NEGATIVETop 2 Defensive Stocks That May Plunge This Quarter
Consumer staples stocks, including Vita Coco, are flashing warning signs for momentum traders. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for these stocks is indicating overbought conditions, with readings above 70. This suggests that Vita Coco, which has recently outperformed, may be due for a significant price correction. Investors should be cautious of potential pullbacks in the near term as the market may be overextended.
via Markets Gazette