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SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. (DINRF)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsJapan

ファンダメンタル

58

株価

$13305.00

時価総額

$2.49T

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

SCREEN Holdings makes the machines chipmakers use to clean silicon wafers between manufacturing steps — a process repeated dozens of times as a chip is built, since even microscopic contamination ruins the finished product. It also sells smaller businesses making equipment for printed circuit boards and for graphic-arts and precision machinery. Its main customers are the world's largest semiconductor manufacturers, who buy the equipment as part of building or upgrading a fab.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling capital equipment to chip fabs, plus ongoing spare parts and maintenance service on machines already installed. A single wafer-cleaning tool is an expensive, highly engineered purchase, so orders arrive in large, lumpy batches tied to a customer's decision to build or expand a fab rather than as steady, predictable sales.

セグメント別売上高

Semiconductor Production Equipment80.2%

Wafer-cleaning and related process equipment sold to chipmakers; SCREEN holds an estimated 45% global share in wafer cleaning specifically.

Other Equipment Businesses19.8%

Equipment for printed circuit board manufacturing, plus graphic-arts and precision machinery lines, together a small share of the group.

競争優位性(moat)

特許・ライセンス · 狭い

Decades of process know-how in wafer cleaning, reflected in an estimated 45% global market share in that specific step, make SCREEN's equipment difficult to displace once a fab has qualified it for a production line — requalifying with a rival supplier is costly and slow. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because larger rivals such as Tokyo Electron, Lam Research and Applied Materials compete hard in adjacent and overlapping process steps.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Orders follow the semiconductor industry's capital-spending cycle: when chipmakers are confident about future demand they commit to new fabs and equipment orders surge, and when memory or logic prices fall they delay spending and orders can collapse within a couple of quarters. Because the core segment alone is 80% of sales, this single cycle dominates the company's results.

主なリスク

  • Concentration in one equipment cycle — With the Semiconductor Production Equipment segment worth about 80% of sales and almost all of profit, a downturn in chipmakers' capital spending hits the whole company at once, with no other large segment to offset it.
  • China export controls — Export restrictions imposed since mid-2023 have already cut China-sourced revenue at Japan's major chip equipment makers, including SCREEN, by roughly 10%, and further tightening could remove one of the industry's largest markets.
  • Competition from larger rivals — SCREEN competes directly with Tokyo Electron in coating, developing and cleaning tools, and indirectly with Applied Materials, Lam Research and KLA in adjacent process steps, several of which have greater scale and R&D budgets.

強気材料

Buyers argue that record SPE order intake and a projected 19.7% revenue increase for the next fiscal year show demand from AI-driven chip investment more than offsetting the China slowdown, and that SCREEN's leading share in wafer cleaning gives it pricing power as capacity expands worldwide.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that a company this dependent on a single equipment cycle and increasingly locked out of China faces years of volatile results, and that larger, better-funded competitors in adjacent process steps could gradually erode SCREEN's cleaning-equipment lead.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$591.65B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$85.81B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$46.14B

自己資本合計

$497.11B

負債合計

$6.04B

流動比率

2.12

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.05

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$12961.31

現在株価

$13305.00

安全マージン

-2.7%

適正価値レンジ

$8424.85 - $17497.76

推定方法

Analyst Target:$18043.75
DCF:$6136.22
PE-based:$12254.36
Graham Growth:$25038.84
EPV:$3150.08
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (12B / 8H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-49.54%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

28.98

ROE

18.9%

P/B レシオ

5.00

P/FCF

53.89

粗利益率

38.1%

ROIC

11.0%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

11.0%

WACC

14.7%

ROIC − WACC

-3.8 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • Price CAGR 22.23%
  • ROIC 11.0%
  • Gross Margin 38.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 18.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 18.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.16
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.03

不合格(8)

  • P/FCF 53.89
  • P/B Ratio 5.00
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -21.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.2% vs 15.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

1.03

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Toshio HiroeRepresentative Chairman of the Board66
Mr. Masato GotoPresident, CEO & Representative Director63
Manabu IshimuraCFO, Managing Executive Officer & Head of Financial Strategy-
Hiroshi TomitaCTO, Senior Executive Officer & Head of R&D Strategy-
Junko ShimaExecutive Officer and Head of Legal & IP Strategy-
Ms. Chiho OtobeSenior Executive Officer & Head of Communication Strategy-
Yasuhito ShiraishiSenior Executive Officer & GM of Human Resources Strategy Division-
Mr. Shunichi HasegawaHead of the CSR Promotional Department-
Mr. Akihiko MiyagawaSenior Exec Officer, Head of Corp Planning, GM of Corp Strategy Div. & Director-
Yoshihide HigakiExec. Officer, Head of Corporate Marketing Office and In Charge of Marketing & R&D Strategy Division-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

6

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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