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DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalAuto PartsJapan

ファンダメンタル

66

株価

$1921.50

時価総額

$4.87T

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

DENSO makes the components that go inside cars rather than complete vehicles: air-conditioning and thermal-management systems, engine and powertrain parts, electronics, electrification hardware like inverters and motors, and semiconductors. It is headquartered in Japan and supplies carmakers worldwide, with Toyota — also its largest shareholder — as its single biggest customer by a wide margin.

収益の仕組み

DENSO sells parts as an original-equipment supplier under contracts tied to specific vehicle models, so revenue tracks how many cars carmakers actually build and how much content DENSO wins on each one. Prices are negotiated per component and typically decline over a model's life under automakers' cost-reduction pressure, so DENSO depends on new wins and efficiency gains to protect margins.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

DENSO's revenue follows global vehicle production, which rises and falls with consumer confidence, credit conditions and automakers' own inventory cycles. Because contracts are tied to specific models, a model's production cut or delay shows up directly in DENSO's results with little lag.

主なリスク

  • Dependence on Toyota group sales — DENSO discloses that fluctuations in Toyota group sales could materially affect its performance, even though it states it negotiates terms with Toyota group companies on the same basis as with other customers.
  • Semiconductor and supply-chain fragility — Recent shortages of automotive semiconductors exposed how dependent DENSO's production is on a resilient global supply chain; a disruption at a chip or raw-material supplier can constrain output across several of its product lines at once.
  • Competition in electrification components — As electrification becomes central to vehicle powertrains, DENSO faces rivals such as LG Magna e-Powertrain and CATL in inverters and battery-related systems, an area where it does not hold the same long incumbency it has in traditional components.

顧客集中度

主要顧客が売上高の48.6%を占める

For the fiscal year ended March 2026, sales to the Toyota group accounted for 48.6% of DENSO's net sales, according to the company's own related-party disclosure. Toyota also holds roughly 22% of DENSO's voting rights.

強気材料

Buyers argue that DENSO's decades-long relationships with Toyota and other carmakers give it a stable base of contracted volume, and that its shift toward electrification, safety and semiconductor content lets it grow revenue per vehicle even as overall car production stays flat.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that near-half dependence on a single customer group leaves DENSO exposed to Toyota's own production decisions, that new electrification rivals lack the cost-down pressure of legacy component businesses, and that a global auto downturn would hit DENSO with little room to diversify away from it.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$7.54T

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$440.53B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$76.84B

自己資本合計

$5.49T

負債合計

$3.02T

流動比率

2.09

利払い倍率

17.41

負債/EBITDA

1.32

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割安

適正価値

$3874.49

現在株価

$1921.50

安全マージン

+50.4%

適正価値レンジ

$2518.42 - $5230.56

推定方法

Analyst Target:$2124.44
DCF:$7348.85
PE-based:$1739.66
Graham Growth:$8385.58
EPV:$1716.37
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (12B / 12H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+10.07%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

11.86

ROE

8.1%

P/B レシオ

0.95

P/FCF

67.99

粗利益率

15.5%

ROIC

6.5%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

7.5%

ROIC − WACC

-1.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 16.15%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 0.95
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 8.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.37
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.15
  • Net Margin Trend 5.9% vs 5.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(7)

  • Price CAGR 4.71%
  • Gross Margin 15.5%
  • P/FCF 67.99
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -12.0%
  • Share Dilution 36.9%

データなし(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.15

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

36.9%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Shinnosuke HayashiPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. Yasushi MatsuiCRO, CCO, Chief Safety & Environment Officer & Representative Director61
Mr. Yasuhiko YamazakiEVP, Chief Strategy Officer, CHRO & Representative Director62
Mr. Seiji MaedaCFO & Head of Corporate Management Headquarters-
Tadashi AraiAccounting Manager-
Masanori SugiuraOperating Exec. Officer & Head of Corporate Legal, IP and Public Affairs Headquarters of Audit Dept.-
Yasuhisa SakuraiSenior Executive Officer, Head of Sales & Marketing Group of Corporate Strategy Headquarters-
Chitaka KambeSenior Executive Officers & Head of General Administration and Human Resources Headquarters-
Mr. Kenichiro ItoCEO of EU Area & Senior Executive Officer63
Mr. Jiro EbiharaSr Exec Off, Chief Monozukuri Officer & Head of Purchasing Group, Corp Strategy Headquarters61

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

5

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

5

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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