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Dometic Group AB (publ) (DTCGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalLeisureSweden

ファンダメンタル

64

株価

$22.80

時価総額

$7.39B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Dometic makes the equipment that lets people cook, cool, power and stay comfortable away from a fixed home: refrigerators, air conditioners, awnings and power systems for recreational vehicles, plus similar climate and power equipment for boats under its Marine brands. It sells both to vehicle and boat manufacturers who fit the equipment during production, and through dealers to owners upgrading or replacing gear after purchase.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling hardware either to original equipment manufacturers, who install it before a vehicle or boat is sold, or through the aftermarket, where dealers and owners buy replacement or upgrade parts. Demand for both channels tracks how many new RVs, caravans and boats are being built and how much people are spending on outdoor recreation, which makes the business sensitive to consumer discretionary spending and to interest rates that affect big-ticket purchases.

競争優位性(moat)

ブランド · 狭い

Dometic's names are well established with RV and marine manufacturers who specify its equipment as original fittings, which gives it a durable relationship advantage in a niche market. The advantage is narrow because the underlying products — refrigerators, air conditioners, awnings — are not difficult for competitors to replicate, and OEM customers can and do switch suppliers when price or quality shifts.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

RVs, caravans and boats are large discretionary purchases that buyers postpone when consumer confidence weakens or credit gets more expensive, which flows directly through to Dometic's OEM orders. The company itself described 2025 as a year of tough market conditions and declining demand in the outdoor recreation industry, with only tentative signs of stabilisation by year-end.

強気材料

Buyers argue that the 2025 sales decline eased through the year, order intake improved and channel inventories began normalising, suggesting the worst of the outdoor-recreation downturn is behind the company as tariff-related cost headwinds also fade.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that a business this tied to discretionary RV and marine purchases remains exposed to consumer confidence and to whatever tariff or trade policy comes next, and that a genuine recovery in OEM demand may take longer than early signs of stabilisation suggest.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$20.15B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$310M

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.66B

自己資本合計

$22.96B

負債合計

$14.62B

流動比率

1.65

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

5.91

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$30.25

現在株価

$22.80

安全マージン

+24.6%

適正価値レンジ

$19.67 - $40.84

推定方法

Analyst Target:$40.00
DCF:$50.16
PE-based:$5.91
Graham Growth:$7.18
EPV:$27.65
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (9B / 2H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-4.01%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

23.60

ROE

1.4%

P/B レシオ

0.32

P/FCF

4.45

粗利益率

29.5%

ROIC

4.3%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.3%

WACC

4.4%

ROIC − WACC

-0.1 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • P/FCF 4.45
  • P/B Ratio 0.32
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 5.59
  • Net Margin Trend 2.0% vs -9.4%

不合格(7)

  • Price CAGR -10.05%
  • ROIC 4.3%
  • Gross Margin 29.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE 1.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -64.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

5.59

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Juan VarguesPresident & CEO66
Mr. Per CarlssonActing Chief Financial Officer61
Mr. Anton LundqvistChief Technology Officer55
Mr. Tobias NorrbyHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Anna Smieszek Ph.D.Executive VP & Group General Counsel61
Mr. Peter JanneroChief Marketing Officer56
Ms. Jenny EveliusExecutive VP & Head of Group HR56
Ms. Chialing HsuehPresident of Global Ventures62
Mr. Eric B. FetchkoPresident of Segment Marine63

監査リスク

8

取締役会リスク

5

報酬リスク

9

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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