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Evolution AB (publ) (EVGGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalGamblingSweden

ファンダメンタル

58

株価

$839.00

時価総額

$155.01B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Evolution supplies live-dealer casino games and computer-generated (RNG) casino games to online gambling operators around the world, rather than running its own casino or taking bets from consumers directly. It builds and staffs television-style studios where real dealers run roulette, blackjack and game-show-style formats streamed live to players on partner websites, and separately develops slot-style games generated entirely by software. Its customers are the licensed gambling operators who put Evolution's games on their own platforms.

収益の仕組み

Evolution is paid a share of the betting revenue its games generate for the gambling operators that license them — a business-to-business model with no direct consumer transactions or marketing spend of its own. Most of that revenue still comes from live-dealer games, the format the company pioneered and where its studio scale is hardest to replicate; a smaller and growing share comes from RNG games following recent studio acquisitions. Full-year 2025 group revenue was essentially flat at €2.07 billion.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

Running live-dealer studios profitably requires enough volume across many tables and languages to spread fixed costs like staffing, real estate and broadcast technology — a scale advantage the largest live-casino supplier holds over smaller rivals. It is not unassailable: RNG games face lower barriers to entry, and gambling operators can and do work with more than one games supplier at once.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Demand follows overall online gambling activity, which grows steadily with internet penetration and the legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets, but is less tied to the broader economic cycle than most consumer sectors since gambling spending persists in downturns. Regulatory swings in individual countries — new taxes, advertising limits or market restrictions — can move revenue faster than the economic cycle does.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Evolution's live-dealer studio scale and first-mover advantage are difficult for smaller suppliers to replicate, that legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets extends its growth runway, and that a business-to-business licensing model without direct consumer acquisition costs supports high margins.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that 2025's roughly flat revenue points to a maturing core live-casino market in its largest regions, that regulatory tightening in individual European markets can remove revenue with little warning, and that RNG games face lower barriers to entry than the live-dealer format that built the company's lead.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.00B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$997M

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$915M

自己資本合計

$4.09B

負債合計

$90M

流動比率

2.04

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.07

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$791.37

現在株価

$839.00

安全マージン

-6.0%

適正価値レンジ

$514.39 - $1068.35

推定方法

Analyst Target:$735.17
DCF:$378.85
PE-based:$639.34
Graham Growth:$3026.51
EPV:$61.98
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (5B / 8H / 12S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-1.86%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

155.41

ROE

26.7%

P/B レシオ

37.90

P/FCF

169.34

粗利益率

100.0%

ROIC

22.3%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.3%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(12)

  • Price CAGR 30.74%
  • ROIC 22.3%
  • Gross Margin 100.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 58.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.4%
  • PEG Ratio 0.44
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23

不合格(9)

  • P/FCF 169.34
  • P/B Ratio 37.90
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 20% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 51.4% vs 60.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

1.23

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Jens von BahrCo-Founder, Chairman & President54
Mr. Martin CarlesundGroup Chief Executive Officer55
Mr. Fredrik ÖsterbergCo-Founder & Director55
Mr. Joakim AnderssonChief Financial Officer51
Amy RichesHead of Marketing-
Ms. Louise Wivén-NilssonChief Human Resources Officer53
Mr. Todd HaushalterChief Product Officer & Games Operations47

監査リスク

8

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

6

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

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