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Evergy, Inc. (EVRG)

NEUTRAL
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

ファンダメンタル

50

株価

$81.39

時価総額

$18.66B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Evergy owns two regulated electric utilities, Evergy Kansas Central and Evergy Metro, that generate and deliver power to homes and businesses across Kansas and parts of Missouri, including the Kansas City area. Like other regulated utilities it does not compete for customers within its territory; instead it builds and maintains power plants and grid infrastructure and asks state regulators to approve the rates it can charge to recover those costs.

収益の仕組み

Customers pay metered rates set through regulatory rate cases, in which Evergy asks state commissions to approve charges that let it recover its costs and earn a set return on capital invested in generation and grid assets. In 2025 Evergy Kansas Central sought roughly $196 million in additional annual retail revenue through such a filing, and new rates from an earlier case added about $128 million during the year — illustrating how earnings growth is tied to the pace and outcome of these regulatory proceedings rather than to selling more electricity.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

Duplicating a power grid and generation fleet to compete for the same customers is not economically realistic, so Evergy operates as a practical monopoly within its service territory. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because state regulators, not the company, decide the prices it can charge and the profit it is allowed to earn.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

Electricity is a necessity that households and businesses keep buying regardless of economic conditions, so baseline demand is stable and driven mainly by weather and population trends rather than the business cycle. New large industrial and data-center customers, which Evergy has highlighted as a growth source, add a variable, less predictable layer on top of that stable base.

主なリスク

  • Outcome and timing of rate cases — Earnings growth depends on Kansas and Missouri regulators approving the rate increases Evergy requests to recover its investments; a smaller or delayed approval slows growth directly.
  • Large capital investment program — Funding grid upgrades and new generation requires ongoing debt and equity financing; higher interest rates or construction cost inflation raise the cost of that program and pressure returns.
  • Weather dependence — Unusually mild winters or summers reduce heating and cooling demand and can lower revenue in a given period independent of the underlying customer count.
  • Large-load customers may not materialize as planned — New large industrial and data-center load is a highlighted growth driver, but such projects can be delayed, scaled back or cancelled, leaving planned grid investment ahead of actual demand.

強気材料

Buyers argue that a regulated monopoly with predictable rate-case-driven earnings, now supplemented by new large industrial and data-center customers, offers steady growth largely insulated from the broader economic cycle.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that regulators could approve smaller or slower rate increases than the capital plan assumes, and that some of the large new customers driving the growth narrative fail to materialize at the scale currently projected.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$5.76B

直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)

純利益

$882M

直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-752M

自己資本合計

$10.22B

負債合計

$23.68B

流動比率

0.45

利払い倍率

2.44

負債/EBITDA

5.74

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$74.57

現在株価

$81.39

安全マージン

-9.1%

適正価値レンジ

$58.14 - $91.00

推定方法

Analyst Target:$91.95
DCF:$53.83
PE-based:$73.90
Graham Growth:$71.93
EPV:$27.08
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (13B / 7H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+4.01%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

21.65

ROE

8.4%

P/B レシオ

1.85

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

-

ROIC

4.1%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.1%

WACC

5.8%

ROIC − WACC

-1.8 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/B Ratio 1.85
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 27.1%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 76.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 65% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.22
  • Share Dilution 1.4%

不合格(11)

  • EPS CAGR 4.66%
  • Price CAGR 3.69%
  • ROIC 4.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -5.5%
  • PEG Ratio 3.38
  • Net Margin Trend 15.3% vs 15.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

データなし(4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-スコア

3/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

2.22

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

1.4%

株式数は安定している

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. David A. Campbell J.D.CEO, President & Chairman of the Board57
Mr. W. Bryan Buckler CPAExecutive VP & CFO52
Ms. Heather A. Humphrey J.D.Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary54
Mr. Charles A. CaisleyExecutive Vice President of Utility Operations & Chief Customer Officer52
Mr. Cleveland O. Reasoner IIISenior VP & Chief Nuclear Officer59
Mr. Matthew B. GummigVP & Chief Accounting Officer39
Mr. Charles L. KingSenior VP & Chief Technology Officer59
Mr. Peter Francis FlynnDirector of Investor Relations-
Ms. Katie McDonaldVice President of Public Affairs-
Ms. Lesley Lissette ElwellSenior VP & Chief People Officer53

監査リスク

7

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

4

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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