FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS)
POSITIVEファンダメンタル
78
株価
$229.19
時価総額
$9.92B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
FirstCash Holdings is the largest operator of pawn stores in the United States, Latin America and the United Kingdom, running over 3,300 pawnshops as of December 31, 2025, including 1,837 in Latin America (1,732 of them in Mexico) and 286 in the U.K. acquired with H&T on August 14, 2025. A pawn store lends small amounts of cash against personal property — jewelry, electronics, tools, appliances, sporting goods, musical instruments — held as collateral, and resells the merchandise it acquires when collateral is forfeited or bought outright from customers over the counter. The loans are non-recourse: the customer is under no legal obligation to repay, the company pursues no collections, sues nobody and reports nothing to credit bureaus, recovering only by reselling the pledged item. Alongside the pawn business, FirstCash owns American First Finance (AFF), a retail point-of-sale payment business that finances purchases for credit-constrained shoppers at roughly 16,400 active merchant locations and e-commerce platforms across about 30 retail verticals.
収益の仕組み
Revenue comes from four streams. Retail merchandise sales — $1.67 billion in 2025, the largest single line — are the resale of pre-owned goods in the pawn stores. Pawn loan fees, $853.7 million, are the service charges on the loans themselves. Wholesale scrap jewelry sales, $262.6 million, come from melting gold that is not worth reselling as jewelry; roughly 75% of pawn loans are collateralized by jewelry, mostly gold, and jewelry is 62% of inventory, so gold prices move both margins and loan sizes. On the AFF side, leased merchandise income of $559.0 million comes from lease-to-own agreements — AFF buys the goods from the merchant and leases them to the shopper over six to 24 months — and interest and fees on finance receivables of $311.2 million come from retail installment sales agreements bought from merchants and from bank-originated installment loans that AFF services. In 2025, lease-to-own was 43% of AFF's gross transaction volume, bank-originated loans 45% and installment sales agreements 12%.
セグメント別売上高
Pawn stores in 29 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, lending against and reselling pre-owned consumer goods to value-conscious, unbanked, under-banked and credit-constrained customers. It generated $1,753.4 million of revenue and $452.6 million of segment pre-tax operating income in 2025.
1,837 pawn stores in Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador and Colombia, mostly large-format full-service stores that lend on and sell a wide range of merchandise, serving a largely unbanked population. It generated $889.5 million of revenue and $177.4 million of segment pre-tax operating income in 2025.
American First Finance provides lease-to-own, retail installment and bank-partner loan options at the checkout of about 16,400 merchant locations and e-commerce sites, for shoppers who do not qualify for prime credit. It generated $870.2 million of revenue and $169.1 million of segment pre-tax operating income in 2025, but only 15% of consolidated net revenue, since its cost of revenue — depreciation of leased goods and loss provisions — is far heavier than the pawn segments'.
286 H&T stores on the high streets of England, Scotland and Wales, smaller in format and lending mainly against gold jewelry. The 2025 figures cover only August 14 to December 31, the period after the acquisition closed, so the share understates a full year: $150.7 million of revenue and $52.5 million of segment pre-tax operating income.
競争優位性(moat)
規模の経済 · 狭いFirstCash is the largest pawn operator in each of its three regions, and scale is worth something in this business: a dense store network buys inventory cheaply from thousands of walk-in customers, licences and store-level compliance are a fixed cost spread over more locations, and the company can absorb small operators — it added 344 stores in 2025 alone. In Latin America the filing argues competition is genuinely limited, because local rivals are small stores focused on gold and small electronics while FirstCash runs large full-service formats. But the advantage is narrow, not wide. Pawn customers choose the store nearest them and switching costs are nil; the filing lists competition from other pawnshops, banks, credit unions, online lenders, buy-now-pay-later firms, lease-to-own companies, thrift shops, online marketplaces and social media resale platforms; and in Mexico the company competes directly with government-sponsored non-profit pawn foundations. AFF has less protection still — it depends on merchants choosing to keep offering its products.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性Pawn demand is often described as counter-cyclical, but the filing itself is more careful, and the two halves of the business behave differently. Pawn lending rises when household cash is tight, and the company notes that its customers are unbanked, under-banked or credit-constrained. Yet the company also warns that a sustained deterioration of economic conditions could reduce demand or profitability, and — the opposite case — that government stimulus programs, tax refunds, tax credits and other transfer payments put cash in customers' pockets and depress pawn demand; it flags this explicitly as a risk after a severe public health or safety emergency. Retail sales are a second dependency: the merchandise on the shelves comes mostly from forfeited collateral, so if pawn loan demand falls, inventory falls and retail sales follow. AFF is more straightforwardly cyclical, because unemployment and thinner household budgets show up directly as lease and loan losses. Seasonally, pawn loan balances build in the third and fourth quarters, retail sales peak in the fourth quarter with holiday shopping and again, more mildly, in the first quarter when U.S. tax refunds arrive and customers redeem their pledges.
主なリスク
- Regulation could restrict or eliminate the products themselves — The company says its products are subject to extensive regulation in the U.S., Latin America and the U.K., and that all consumer finance and lease-to-own companies serving credit-constrained consumers face increasing regulatory scrutiny. It warns that licensing rules, customer identification requirements, disclosure obligations and caps on interest rates or loan service fees continue to be proposed, and that adoption of such rules could restrict, or even eliminate, the availability of pawn transactions and buy/sell agreements at some or all of its locations. Certain states already limit what AFF may charge for a customer to acquire ownership at the end of a lease, and more states could follow.
- AFF depends on its merchant partners, and on a few large ones — The filing states that AFF's transaction volume depends on merchant partners, that its growth is driven by the success of existing merchants and its ability to retain and attract relationships, and that the loss of business, transaction volumes or platform support from one or more of its top merchant partners could have a material adverse effect on the AFF business. It adds that many of AFF's merchants operate brick-and-mortar locations exposed to competition from online or lower-cost rivals.
- A fall in the gold price hits both inventory and lending capacity — At December 31, 2025 the company held about $302.1 million of jewelry inventory, primarily gold, equal to 62% of total inventory, and roughly 75% of its pawn loans were collateralized by jewelry. It warns that a significant and sustained decline in the price of gold would reduce the value of that inventory and of the gold pledged as collateral, compressing margins on jewelry sales and on scrap, and reducing the amounts it can lend against a given item.
- Currency swings in Latin America and the U.K. — The company lists among its risks that its financial position and results may change significantly due to fluctuations in currency exchange rates in Latin American markets and in the U.K. Nearly a quarter of 2025 revenue is earned in Latin America, mostly in Mexican pesos, and translated back into dollars.
- Country risk in Latin America — With 1,837 stores in Latin America, the filing cites increased risks from geo-political events, political instability, corruption, economic volatility, property crime, drug cartel and gang-related violence, social unrest, enforcement of property rights, tax and banking policies, and uncertainty over how local and U.S. law is applied. It specifically flags Mexico's 2024 constitutional reform moving to popularly elected judges, saying there is no guarantee as to the impact on its Mexican operations.
- Debt load — At December 31, 2025 the company had $2,224.0 million of outstanding principal indebtedness and $178.0 million of availability under its credit facilities, subject to financial covenants. It warns that its existing and future indebtedness could affect its financial health, its ability to obtain financing, its ability to react to changes in the business and its ability to meet its obligations, and separately that adverse changes in interest rates could hurt operating results.
- Reputation: being called predatory — The company lists as a risk that media reports, statements by regulators and elected officials, and the general public perception that pawnshops and lease-to-own and retail finance products for credit-constrained consumers are predatory or abusive could have a material adverse effect on its businesses. It also flags that the sale and pawning of firearms and ammunition exposes it to reputational and litigation risk.
- Acquisition integration — Growth has come substantially from buying stores — 344 locations added in 2025, including the 286-store H&T acquisition in the U.K. The company lists as a risk the inability to identify attractive acquisition targets, to realize the anticipated benefits and to integrate completed acquisitions, including transitioning acquired businesses onto its information technology platform.
顧客集中度
The pawn business has no customer concentration at all: revenue is millions of small individual transactions across more than 3,300 neighborhood stores. AFF is where concentration lives, and the filing does not quantify it. It says a significant portion of AFF's gross transaction volume has historically been concentrated with certain large merchant partners, many of them in the furniture vertical, and that AFF has spent several years diversifying away from them, resulting in less concentration by merchant and by vertical. The published evidence is the vertical mix: furniture fell from 48% of gross transaction volume in 2023 to 37% in 2024 and 23% in 2025, while automotive rose to 25%, elective medical to 18% and jewelry to 11%, with other verticals at 23%. The company gives no figure for the share held by its largest individual merchants, so no number is stated here.
強気材料
Buyers argue that the pawn business is the durable part and it is compounding: the U.S. and Latin America pawn segments together produced $630.0 million of the $851.6 million of 2025 segment-level pre-tax operating income, on a revenue base that grew to $3,661.0 million from $3,388.5 million in 2024, and the company keeps adding stores — 344 locations in 2025 — in an industry still made up mostly of independents. They point to the H&T acquisition as an entry into a U.K. and European market the company itself calls highly fragmented, with only four and a half months of H&T in the 2025 numbers and a full year still to come. They note that the loans are non-recourse and fully collateralized, so a bad pawn loan means reselling an item rather than chasing a debtor, and that jewelry inventory can be liquidated quickly — a point the company makes about its own financial flexibility. On AFF they argue the mix is healthier than it was: furniture, the vertical that caused past concentration, is down to 23% of transaction volume from 48% two years earlier, and AFF's segment pre-tax income of $169.1 million was earned on lower revenue than 2024's, suggesting tighter underwriting.
弱気材料
Sellers fear the regulatory tail: the company itself writes that new rules could restrict or even eliminate pawn transactions and buy/sell agreements at some or all of its locations, that rate and fee caps continue to be proposed, and that some states already cap what AFF can charge a customer to own the leased goods. They fear the gold exposure cuts both ways — 62% of inventory and roughly 75% of pawn collateral is jewelry, so a sustained fall in the gold price would hit margins and loan sizes at once, and the recent strength of pawn results is hard to separate from a strong bullion market. They fear AFF: it brought in $870.2 million of revenue but only 15% of consolidated net revenue, because depreciation on leased goods and $283.1 million of combined lease and loan loss provisions eat most of it, and its volumes depend on merchants who can walk. They point to $2,224.0 million of debt against $178.0 million of remaining credit-facility availability, to a growth record built substantially on acquisitions that must still be integrated, to the peso translation risk on a quarter of revenue and the country risks the filing spells out for Mexico, and to the reputational risk the company lists of being publicly cast as predatory.
Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
The other large listed pawn chain, lending against the same pledged goods and reselling them in the same U.S. and Latin American neighborhoods, through EZPAWN in the United States and Empeño Fácil in Mexico.
Mexico's oldest and largest pawn institution, competing branch by branch for the same Mexican customer who pledges jewellery or electronics for short-term cash — the market where FirstCash has over 1,700 of its stores.
A Mexican pawn network offering the same collateral-backed small loans at lower rates in Mexico City and central Mexico, where FirstCash's Latin American stores are concentrated.
Competes head-on with FirstCash's AFF unit for the same retail partners, offering lease-to-own payment plans at the point of sale to shoppers who cannot get ordinary credit.
Its Acima platform sells the same no-credit-needed lease-to-own solution to furniture, electronics and tyre retailers that AFF targets in the United States and Mexico.
An online lease-to-own provider bidding for the same e-commerce and omnichannel merchants, and the same subprime shopper, that AFF finances at checkout.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$1.85B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$388M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$531M
自己資本合計
$2.28B
負債合計
$3.02B
流動比率
4.89
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
3.43
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$354.39
現在株価
$229.19
安全マージン
+35.3%
適正価値レンジ
$230.36 - $478.43
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
26.99
ROE
14.5%
P/B レシオ
4.42
P/FCF
18.69
粗利益率
112.5%
ROIC
-
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
6.2%
ROIC − WACC
-
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 9.85%
- Price CAGR 16.97%
- Gross Margin 112.5%
- P/FCF 18.69
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 17.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 17.6%
- Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.4%
- PEG Ratio 0.99
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.73
- Share Dilution -1.4%
- Net Margin Trend 21.0% vs 19.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
不合格(4)
- P/B Ratio 4.42
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
データなし(4)
- ROIC NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-スコア
財務健全性が高い
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Rick L. Wessel | Vice Chairman & CEO | 66 |
| Mr. Thomas Brent Stuart | President, COO & Director | 55 |
| Mr. R. Douglas Orr | Executive VP, CFO, Treasurer & Secretary | 64 |
| Mr. Raul R. Ramos | Senior Vice President of Latin American Operations | 59 |
| Mr. Howard F Hambleton | AFF President | 52 |
| Mr. Brian D. Hostetler | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 41 |
| Mr. Gar Jackson | Investor Relations-Global IR Group | - |
| Mr. Peter H. Watson J.D. | Senior Vice President of Compliance & Government Relations | 76 |
| Mr. Sean D. Moore | Senior Vice President of Store Development & Facilities | 48 |
監査リスク
7
取締役会リスク
6
報酬リスク
2
株主権利リスク
7
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for FCFS, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 4/24/2026POSITIVEFirstCash Analysts Boost Their Forecasts Following Better-Than-Expected Q1 Earnings
FirstCash Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:FCFS) delivered a strong first quarter, surpassing analyst expectations and prompting an upward revision of price targets by market analysts. The company's stock saw a significant surge of 4.1%, closing at $220.98. This performance indicates robust operational execution and positive market sentiment, suggesting continued growth potential. Investors should note the increased analyst confidence as a potential catalyst for further stock appreciation.
via Markets Gazette