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Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesFinancial ConglomeratesUnited States

ファンダメンタル

49

株価

$169.44

時価総額

$10.04B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Freedom Holding is a financial-services group built around retail brokerage, mostly serving individual investors in Kazakhstan and neighboring Central Asian and Eastern European markets rather than in the US or Western Europe. From that brokerage base it has expanded into its own bank (Freedom Bank KZ), an insurance business, and a grab-bag of consumer services such as telecom and retail, sold to the same growing base of retail customers.

収益の仕組み

Brokerage revenue comes from trading commissions and fees plus interest earned on margin loans to retail clients, which has grown quickly as the client base has expanded. Banking revenue is interest and fee income from Freedom Bank KZ's lending and deposits. Insurance revenue is premiums net of claims. The other segment bundles telecom, payments and retail sales, cross-sold to the same brokerage and banking customers to keep them inside the group's ecosystem.

セグメント別売上高

Brokerage35%

Trading commissions, fees and margin-lending interest from a fast-growing base of retail brokerage accounts.

Insurance30.1%

Underwriting income from pension, accident and other insurance products sold to the group's regional customer base.

Banking24.7%

Interest and fee income from Freedom Bank KZ's expanding retail loan and deposit book.

Other7%

Lifestyle, telecom and payment services cross-sold to the group's brokerage and banking customers.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

Freedom Holding's growth has come from being an early, well-capitalized entrant across brokerage, banking and insurance in a region where financial services were previously underdeveloped, not from a structural barrier competitors cannot cross. As the market matures and profitability draws attention, banks and brokers with more capital could contest the same customers.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Brokerage commissions and margin-lending interest move with trading activity and asset prices, which rise and fall with regional economic conditions and investor sentiment; banking revenue is similarly tied to credit demand and interest rates. A downturn in Central Asian markets would compress trading volumes and increase loan losses at the same time.

主なリスク

  • Geographic concentration in Central Asia — Most revenue is generated in Kazakhstan and neighboring Central Asian and Eastern European markets, so political instability, currency moves or an economic downturn in that region would affect the group disproportionately.
  • Exposure to Russia-related sanctions — The company has had historical business ties to Russia and operates in a region exposed to secondary sanctions risk tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which could restrict operations or access to international financial systems.
  • Regulation across many jurisdictions — The group holds brokerage, banking and insurance licenses across several exchanges and countries; regulatory non-compliance in any one of them could damage the group's reputation or license to operate more broadly.
  • Credit risk from margin lending — A large part of interest income comes from margin loans to retail clients and from the bank's loan portfolio; a market downturn or economic stress could raise defaults and credit losses quickly.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Freedom Holding is capturing an underserved, fast-growing retail financial market in Central Asia years before larger Western institutions get there, that its diversification across brokerage, banking and insurance smooths any single segment's weakness, and that rapid customer growth across every division points to years of runway still ahead.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that revenue concentrated in Kazakhstan and neighboring markets leaves the group exposed to regional political and sanctions risk, that operating across so many regulated activities and jurisdictions raises the chance of a compliance misstep, and that fast growth in margin lending could turn into credit losses if regional markets turn down.

2025会計年度のセグメントデータ情報源: Freedom Holding Corp. Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.40B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$148M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-14M

自己資本合計

$1.49B

負債合計

$11.67B

流動比率

0.65

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割安

適正価値

$253.25

現在株価

$169.44

安全マージン

+33.1%

適正価値レンジ

$164.61 - $341.89

推定方法

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$422.65
PE-based:$32.07
Graham Growth:$18.03
EPV:$89.15

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

65.05

ROE

10.3%

P/B レシオ

6.54

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

95.8%

ROIC

-

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

-

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 46.01%
  • Gross Margin 95.8%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 42.8%
  • Share Dilution 0.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.2% vs 3.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(8)

  • P/B Ratio 6.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -237.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -4.32

データなし(10)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Analyst Consensus (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

-4.32

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

0.9%

株式数は安定している

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Timur Ruslanovich TurlovCEO & Chairman of the Board37
Mr. Askar Bolatovich TashtitovPresident & Director46
Mr. Jason M. KerrChief Legal Officer53
Mr. Azamat YerdessovChief Executive Officer of Freedom Life40
Mr. Valeriy KimChief Financial Officer36
Mr. Tukanov Renat SautzhanovichChief Technology Officer44

監査リスク

9

取締役会リスク

8

報酬リスク

6

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for FRHC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/11/2026POSITIVE
    Kazakh Tycoon Turlov’s Freedom Raises $300 Million for Expansion

    Kazakhstan billionaire Timur Turlov's Freedom Holding Corp. successfully raised $300 million through a share sale. This capital infusion is earmarked for accelerating the company's international expansion initiatives. The successful fundraising indicates strong investor confidence in Freedom Holding's growth strategy and its future prospects in global markets. Investors will be watching closely to see how this capital is deployed to drive further market penetration and revenue growth.

  • 6/2/2026NEGATIVE
    Billionaire Kazakh Brokerage CEO Gets SEC Enforcement Warning

    The CEO of Kazakhstan-based Freedom Holding Corp. has received a Wells Notice from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This formal warning indicates the SEC is considering enforcement action against the company or its executive. Such regulatory scrutiny can lead to investigations, fines, and reputational damage, potentially impacting the company's stock performance and investor confidence. Investors should monitor developments closely for any potential legal or financial repercussions.

via Markets Gazette