Liberty Media Corporation - Series C Liberty Formula One (FWONK)
NEUTRALファンダメンタル
60
株価
$105.10
時価総額
$26.31B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
FWONK tracks Liberty Media's Formula One Group, which holds the commercial rights to the Formula 1 World Championship and, since July 2025, to MotoGP as well. The group does not build cars or employ drivers — the ten F1 teams do that — it owns the rights to organize the championship, sell those broadcast and race rights, and collect a share of team-level economics under a long-term agreement with the teams and the sport's governing body, the FIA.
収益の仕組み
Formula 1 revenue comes from three main sources: fees paid by circuits to host a race, fees paid by broadcasters for media rights, and sponsorship fees from brands that pay to be associated with the sport, plus smaller hospitality and licensing revenue. A large share of that revenue is then paid out to the ten teams under the Concorde Agreement, so the group's profit depends on growing total revenue faster than the contractual team payments tied to it. MotoGP, acquired in mid-2025, adds a second, smaller motorsport with a broadly similar rights-based model.
セグメント別売上高
Fees paid by broadcasters and the F1 TV streaming subscription for the right to air Formula 1 races.
Fees paid by race circuits and host cities for the right to hold a round of the championship.
Fees from global and race-specific sponsors, boosted in 2025 by a new ten-year LVMH partnership.
Paddock Club hospitality, freight services for teams, and licensing of the Formula 1 brand.
Commercial rights to the MotoGP motorcycle racing championship, consolidated since its July 2025 acquisition.
競争優位性(moat)
特許・ライセンス · 広いThe group holds exclusive, long-term commercial rights to organize and sell Formula 1 under an agreement with the FIA that no competitor can replicate — there is only one FIA-sanctioned world championship of this kind. That legal exclusivity, not a replicable product or process, is the source of the group's pricing power over broadcasters, host circuits and sponsors.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性Media rights and race promotion fees are locked in by multi-year contracts, giving revenue more visibility than a typical consumer business, but sponsorship and hospitality spending still track corporate marketing budgets and can soften in a broader economic slowdown. Growing global fan interest, not the economic cycle, has been the main driver of recent growth.
主なリスク
- Dependence on the Concorde Agreement with the teams — The current commercial and revenue-sharing agreement with the ten teams and the FIA runs through 2030; a less favorable renegotiation at expiry would directly reduce the group's share of Formula 1 economics.
- Reliance on a single sport's popularity — The large majority of the group's revenue and value depends on continued global interest in Formula 1; a decline in fan engagement, a competitive imbalance among teams, or reputational damage to the sport would flow directly into revenue.
- Race calendar and circuit dependency — Race promotion revenue depends on host cities and circuits renewing or extending their contracts on acceptable terms, and on the events themselves taking place without cancellation from political, safety or logistical disruption.
- Integration risk from the MotoGP acquisition — MotoGP was only consolidated into the group in July 2025; integrating a second motorsport's commercial operations, media contracts and team relationships carries execution risk distinct from the established Formula 1 business.
強気材料
Buyers argue that exclusive, contractually locked commercial rights to the world's leading motorsport give the group pricing power that keeps compounding as global fan interest grows, that team payments have been falling as a share of profit even as those payments rise in absolute terms, and that the MotoGP acquisition opens a second growth avenue using the same commercial playbook.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that almost all value rests on a single sport's continued popularity and on renewing the Concorde Agreement on favorable terms after 2030, that sponsorship and hospitality revenue would soften in an economic downturn even if media contracts hold, and that integrating MotoGP so soon after acquisition could distract management or underdeliver against expectations.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
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貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$4.34B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$408M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$789M
自己資本合計
$7.76B
負債合計
$6.95B
流動比率
1.27
利払い倍率
2.32
負債/EBITDA
5.08
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$87.66
現在株価
$105.10
安全マージン
-19.9%
適正価値レンジ
$56.98 - $118.35
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
43.67
ROE
7.2%
P/B レシオ
3.14
P/FCF
29.07
粗利益率
-
ROIC
2.9%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
2.9%
WACC
7.8%
ROIC − WACC
-4.9 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(17)
- Price CAGR 13.23%
- P/FCF 29.07
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 11.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 7.5%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 31.4%
- Analyst Consensus 94% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 7.2%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.33
- Net Margin Trend 9.4% vs -65.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
不合格(6)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -63.16%
- ROIC 2.9%
- P/B Ratio 3.14
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
データなし(5)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Stefano Domenicali | President & CEO | 60 |
| Mr. Duncan Llowarch | Chief Financial Officer | - |
| Mr. Liam Parker | Chief Communications & Corporate Relations Officer | - |
| Ms. Emily Prazer | Chief Commercial Officer | - |
| Ms. Amber Conn | Investor Relations Coordinator | - |
監査リスク
8
取締役会リスク
10
報酬リスク
10
株主権利リスク
10
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for FWONK, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 2/27/2026POSITIVEWhy F1’s sponsorship boom is nearing $3 billion
Formula 1 is experiencing a golden age, with sponsorships nearing the $3 billion mark. This figure, exceeding expectations, highlights the motorsport's transformation into a premier global business platform, synonymous with luxury and premium brand partnerships. The rapid expansion of its worldwide audience and growing commercial demand are the driving forces behind this unstoppable growth. For investors, this positive trend translates into a significant strengthening of the underlying value of assets like Liberty Media Corporation, which owns the Formula One Group. The increase in sponsorship revenue not only improves operating margins but also signals greater financial stability and future growth potential, making investment in the sector more attractive. F1's ability to attract and retain high-profile partners is a key indicator of its resilience and market appeal.
- 2/25/2026NEUTRALEarnings Preview: Liberty Formula One Group
An earnings preview for Liberty Formula One Group has been announced for February 25, 2026. This type of communication precedes the official release of the company's financial results, serving as a reminder to investors of the upcoming event. For shareholders and analysts, the earnings date is a crucial moment to assess business performance, understand future strategies, and anticipate potential impacts on the stock's value. While this news itself contains no specific financial data or projections, its importance lies in signaling the approach of an event that could generate volatility and trading opportunities, depending on whether results beat, meet, or miss market expectations. Investors will closely monitor upcoming announcements for details on revenue, profits, and guidance.
via Markets Gazette