ランキングに戻る

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)

POSITIVE
TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

71

株価

$313.24

時価総額

$388.12B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Lam Research designs and builds the specialized machines chipmakers use to etch precise patterns into silicon wafers and deposit ultra-thin material layers on them — two of the most critical and difficult steps in manufacturing advanced semiconductors. It sells this equipment to a small group of the world's largest memory and logic chip manufacturers, then earns ongoing revenue servicing, upgrading and supplying spare parts for machines already installed and running in customers' factories.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling large, expensive systems — recognized when a customer accepts delivery and installation — plus a growing recurring stream of spare parts, service contracts and upgrades on the large base of machines already installed in factories. Because chipmakers only buy new equipment when expanding or upgrading capacity, systems revenue swings sharply with the semiconductor industry's spending cycle, while the customer-support business is comparatively steady and grows with the installed base.

セグメント別売上高

Systems64.07%

New wafer-fabrication equipment sold to chipmakers building or expanding factories, mainly for etch and deposition process steps.

Customer Support and Other35.93%

Spare parts, equipment upgrades and service contracts on machines already installed and running in customer factories.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Once a chip factory qualifies Lam's etch and deposition tools into its manufacturing process, switching to a rival's machine risks re-validating an entire production line at huge cost and delay, so incumbency inside an existing fab is sticky. The edge is narrow, not wide: a handful of very large customers have real bargaining power and also buy from Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Semiconductor capital spending is one of the most cyclical patterns in any industry, swinging between shortage-driven capacity expansion and inventory-driven pullbacks every few years as memory and logic chipmakers time their factory investments together. Lam's systems revenue rises and falls with a small number of very large customers' capex budgets rather than with steady, broad-based demand.

主なリスク

  • Customer concentration among a few chipmakers — A small number of very large memory and logic manufacturers account for most equipment purchases; a delay or cut in any one company's capex plan can move results significantly.
  • Semiconductor spending cyclicality — The industry alternates between periods of aggressive capacity expansion and sharp pullbacks; Lam's systems orders can fall sharply and with little warning when customers pause investment.
  • US export controls to China — Restrictions on selling advanced semiconductor equipment to Chinese customers have already limited some sales, and the rules can tighten further with little notice.
  • Dependence on a limited supplier base — Certain critical components come from a limited number of suppliers; a shortage or quality issue at one of them can delay Lam's own equipment deliveries.
  • Competition from other equipment makers — Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and other equipment makers compete for the same customers and the same process steps, limiting how much pricing power Lam can exercise.

顧客集中度

Lam does not name individual customers in the results reviewed here, but wafer-fabrication equipment spending is concentrated among a handful of very large memory and logic chipmakers, so any one customer's capex plan can materially move results.

強気材料

Buyers argue that the industry's shift to more complex 3D chip structures requires more etch and deposition steps for every new wafer, structurally increasing how much equipment like Lam's each new factory needs regardless of which chipmaker wins the broader AI race.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that a downturn in a handful of very large customers' capital budgets, or tighter export restrictions on China, can cut Lam's orders sharply and with little warning, given how concentrated its customer base already is.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$23.23B

直近12か月(2026/6/28まで)

純利益

$7.27B

直近12か月(2026/6/28まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$4.89B

自己資本合計

$12.47B

負債合計

$11.06B

流動比率

2.63

利払い倍率

52.27

負債/EBITDA

0.48

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割高

適正価値

$208.42

現在株価

$313.24

安全マージン

-50.3%

適正価値レンジ

$135.47 - $281.37

推定方法

Analyst Target:$371.35
DCF:$71.70
PE-based:$185.36
Graham Growth:$209.59
EPV:$34.86
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (35B / 6H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+5.99%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

53.85

ROE

58.3%

P/B レシオ

31.12

P/FCF

79.35

粗利益率

50.5%

ROIC

36.8%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

36.8%

WACC

14.7%

ROIC − WACC

+22.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 40.38%
  • ROIC 36.8%
  • Gross Margin 50.5%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 35.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 67.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 85% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.81
  • Share Dilution -2.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 31.3% vs 29.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

不合格(5)

  • P/FCF 79.35
  • P/B Ratio 31.12
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG Ratio 3.41

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

8/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

0.81

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

-2.3%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Timothy M. ArcherPresident, CEO & Director58
Mr. Douglas R. BettingerExecutive VP & CFO58
Mr. Seshasayee VaradarajanExecutive VP & COO50
Ms. Ava A. Harter J.D.Senior VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary55
Ms. Christina C. CorreiaChief Accounting Officer & Group VP55
Mr. Vahid Vahedi Ph.D.Senior VP, Chief Technology & Sustainability Officer59
Mr. Ram GaneshVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Steve FineGroup VP & Chief Communication Officer-
Ms. Mary Teresa HassettSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer51
Dr. Karthikeyan RammohanSenior Vice President of Global Operations & Enterprise Solutions56

監査リスク

3

取締役会リスク

2

報酬リスク

4

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for LRCX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/24/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Lam Research Stock In The Last 15 Years

    Owning Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) stock over the past 15 years would have yielded substantial returns. While specific figures are not provided in the snippet, the title implies a significant positive performance, likely outperforming broader market indices. This historical performance suggests strong business execution, technological leadership in the semiconductor equipment manufacturing sector, and effective capital allocation by the company. Investors who held LRCX would have benefited from the secular growth trends in semiconductors, driven by demand for advanced computing, AI, and mobile devices.

  • 4/22/2026NEUTRAL
    Lam Research Q3 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript

    Lam Research Corporation's Q3 2026 earnings call transcript has been released. While specific financial figures and forward-looking statements are detailed within the full transcript, the mere publication of the earnings call details does not inherently signal a positive or negative market movement. Investors will need to analyze the content for key metrics such as revenue, earnings per share, guidance, and management commentary on market conditions and future demand for wafer fabrication equipment. The transcript provides the raw material for analysis, but the market's reaction will depend on the substance of the information disclosed.

  • 4/14/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Lam Research 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $1000 in Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) made 20 years ago would have grown to an estimated $137,000 today, reflecting a remarkable compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25%. This substantial appreciation is driven by the company's consistent performance in the semiconductor equipment manufacturing sector, marked by technological innovation and strong demand cycles for wafer fabrication equipment. Investors who held LRCX through various market conditions have benefited from its strategic positioning in a high-growth industry, underscoring the long-term wealth creation potential of well-chosen technology stocks.

  • 3/27/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Lam Research 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) made 20 years ago would have grown to a substantial amount today, underscoring the company's significant long-term growth trajectory. While the exact current valuation is not provided in this snippet, historical performance data indicates exceptional returns for shareholders. This performance is likely driven by consistent innovation and market leadership in the semiconductor manufacturing equipment sector, a critical industry for technological advancement. Investors who held LRCX over the past two decades have benefited from the company's ability to capitalize on the increasing demand for advanced chip technologies.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Lam Research Shares Hit Intraday High After Key Trading Signal

    Lam Research shares (LRCX) hit an intraday high after a significant trading signal flashed at $219.24. The stock reacted with a nearly 3% surge. This event suggests potential bullish interest from market participants, possibly triggered by technical analysis or unexpected order flows. For investors, this signal indicates a possible trend reversal or strengthening positive momentum, warranting further observation to confirm the sustainability of the move.

  • 3/3/2026NEUTRAL
    Price Over Earnings Overview: Lam Research

    Lam Research Corporation, a key player in the semiconductor equipment sector, is the focus of an analysis comparing its price to earnings. While specific figures are not provided in this excerpt, the emphasis on the price-to-earnings ratio suggests an ongoing valuation. Investors closely monitor these ratios to assess whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued relative to its profit-generating capacity. A thorough examination of this metric is crucial for determining the company's financial health and future prospects in the dynamic chip market.

via Markets Gazette