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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareBiotechnologyUnited States

ファンダメンタル

35

株価

$146.44

時価総額

$54.46B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.23B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$-3.15B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-2.06B

自己資本合計

$8.65B

負債合計

$3.69B

流動比率

2.29

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

General case割安

適正価値

$294.26

現在株価

$146.44

安全マージン

+50.2%

適正価値レンジ

$191.27 - $397.25

推定方法

Analyst price target:$91.39
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$564.76
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):Not enough data to compute it
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$20.94
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (9B / 18H / 3S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+7.28%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-32.6%

P/B レシオ

9.38

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

23.4%

ROIC

-31.1%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-31.1%

WACC

10.2%

ROIC − WACC

-41.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(7)

  • Price CAGR 32.51%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 30.3%
  • Share Dilution 1.3%

不合格(12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -31.1%
  • Gross Margin 23.4%
  • P/B Ratio 9.38
  • Operating Margin -149.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE -39.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 30% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend -141.4% vs -94.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

データなし(8)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-スコア

3/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

1.3%

株式数は安定している

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Stéphane Bancel M.B.A.CEO & Director52
Dr. Stephen Hoge M.D.President49
Mr. James M. MockChief Financial Officer48
Ms. Shannon Thyme Klinger J.D.Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary54
Dr. Jerh Collins Ph.D.Chief Technical Operations & Quality Officer59
Ms. Lavina Talukdar CFASenior VP & Head of Investor Relations51
Chris RidleyVP & Global Head of Communications-
Ms. Tracey FranklinChief People & Digital Technology Officer45
Dr. Charbel Haber M.P.H., Ph.D.Senior VP & Head of Global Regulatory Science-
Mr. Patrick Norman BergstedtSenior Vice President of Commercial Vaccines63

監査リスク

7

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

10

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for MRNA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5d agoPOSITIVE
    Moderna, Merck Cancer Vax Gives Hope

    Moderna Inc. and Merck & Co. have achieved a significant milestone in cancer treatment with their mRNA-based cancer vaccine. A late-stage trial demonstrated that the vaccine successfully prevented the recurrence of melanoma, offering substantial hope for patients and a new chapter for mRNA technology. This breakthrough, detailed in Bloomberg Opinion, highlights the potential of vaccines in training the immune system to combat cancer. For investors, this development could signal a strong future for Moderna's oncology pipeline and validate the long-term potential of mRNA applications beyond infectious diseases, potentially driving significant stock appreciation.

  • 6d agoNEUTRAL
    Moderna’s personalized mRNA shot could reshape the fight against skin cancer — but it may also be overhyped

    Moderna's personalized mRNA cancer vaccine for melanoma has generated significant excitement among medical professionals and patients, signaling a potential paradigm shift in skin cancer treatment. However, market analysts caution that the current enthusiasm may be overblown, suggesting a need for tempered expectations. While the technology holds promise, its ultimate efficacy and market penetration remain subjects of debate. Investors should monitor clinical trial results and regulatory approvals closely, as the long-term impact on Moderna's stock price is contingent on overcoming these hurdles and demonstrating clear clinical and commercial advantages over existing therapies.

  • 6d agoPOSITIVE
    Moderna, Merck Shares Soar on Cancer Vaccine Trial Success

    Moderna Inc. and Merck & Company Inc. shares experienced significant surges following the announcement of a successful Phase 3 clinical trial for their experimental personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, in combination with Merck's Keytruda. The trial demonstrated a significant extension in recurrence-free survival for high-risk melanoma patients post-surgery. Moderna's stock jumped as much as 177% to $174.93, adding approximately $30 billion in market capitalization, while Merck's shares climbed 12% to an all-time high of $153.13. This breakthrough, marking the first statistically significant improvement over checkpoint inhibitors with an individualized treatment, could pave the way for market entry as early as next year, pending regulatory discussions. Further trials are underway for other cancer types.

  • 6d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Moderna -20% dopo rally record, emergono dubbi sulla valutazione

    Moderna Inc. shares experienced a sharp 20% decline, closing at $138 after reaching a record high. This pullback occurred as investors took profits following positive Phase 3 trial results for a cancer vaccine. Despite analysts raising price targets, some valuations remained below Wednesday's close, indicating concerns that the stock may have already priced in much of the clinical progress. The significant retracement suggests that the market is reassessing Moderna's valuation in light of its recent rapid ascent.

  • 7d agoPOSITIVE
    Moderna Surges as Stocks Rise & Long-Term Yields Retreat | Closing Bell

    Moderna Inc. experienced a significant surge in its stock price during the U.S. market close, coinciding with a broader market rally and a retreat in long-term yields. While the article does not provide specific figures for Moderna's performance, its inclusion in the 'Closing Bell' segment suggests notable investor activity. The retreat in long-term yields typically benefits growth stocks like those in the biotechnology sector, potentially indicating a favorable macroeconomic environment for Moderna. Investors may interpret this as a positive sign for the company's future prospects, especially given its pipeline and ongoing developments.

via Markets Gazette