Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)
NEUTRALファンダメンタル
71
株価
$82.28
時価総額
$333.16B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Netflix produces and licenses TV shows and films and streams them to paying members over the internet, with no physical discs or theatres involved. It operates worldwide, offering the same core service everywhere but adapting price, local-language content and, in most markets, an ad-supported cheaper tier to fit what each region can pay.
収益の仕組み
Nearly all revenue comes from monthly membership fees, so growth depends on adding subscribers and raising prices without pushing them to cancel. A smaller and growing slice comes from advertising sold against the cheaper ad-supported plan. Content costs are largely fixed once a show is made, so each additional subscriber watching it adds revenue at very little extra cost, which is why profitability rises faster than the subscriber count.
セグメント別売上高
The largest and most mature region, with the highest price per member of anywhere Netflix operates.
The second-largest region by revenue, growing faster than UCAN as membership and pricing both climb.
A mature but lower-priced market for Netflix, with membership growth now the main lever left for revenue.
The smallest region but the fastest-growing, now matching Latin America in revenue for the first time.
競争優位性（moat）
規模の経済 · 狭いNetflix's largest advantage is spreading a multi-billion-dollar content budget across roughly 300 million paying households, letting it outbid smaller streamers for content while charging a comparatively modest monthly fee. That scale is real but not permanent: well-funded rivals with their own content libraries — Disney, Amazon, Apple — can and do compete for the same subscribers and the same shows.
需要を左右する要因
ディフェンシブA monthly streaming subscription is a small, discretionary expense that most members keep even when tightening their budget elsewhere, which has made Netflix's subscriber base historically resilient through downturns. The bigger swing factor is not the economy but whether the current content slate is strong enough to keep people from cancelling.
主なリスク
- Content and sports rights costs — Netflix is bidding against deep-pocketed rivals for the same films, series and live sports rights. Rising content costs, including a growing push into live events, pressure margins if they outpace subscriber and price growth.
- Streaming competition — Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Apple TV+ and others compete for the same subscription budget and the same viewing hours, and several bundle streaming with other services Netflix cannot match.
- Currency exposure — With most subscribers now outside the United States, revenue and reported earnings move with exchange rates in ways management does not fully control.
- Slowing subscriber growth in mature markets — UCAN and EMEA are large, penetrated markets where most of the future growth Netflix needs must come from price increases and advertising rather than new members, both of which have limits.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Netflix's global scale and content budget remain unmatched among pure streamers, that the ad-supported tier and password-sharing crackdown opened new avenues for revenue without needing endless subscriber growth, and that margins still have room to expand as the business matures.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that subscriber growth in the largest, most profitable markets is running out of room, that content and live-sports costs keep climbing as competitors bid for the same titles, and that a business built on discretionary spending is more exposed to a downturn than its recent history suggests.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$48.37B
直近12か月（2026/6/30まで）
純利益
$13.65B
直近12か月（2026/6/30まで）
フリーキャッシュフロー
$9.46B
自己資本合計
$26.62B
負債合計
$28.98B
流動比率
1.14
利払い倍率
16.94
負債/EBITDA
2.27
一株当たり利益（EPS）
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$79.03
現在株価
$82.28
安全マージン
-4.1%
適正価値レンジ
$51.37 - $106.69
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
25.16
ROE
41.3%
P/B レシオ
11.05
P/FCF
29.87
粗利益率
49.1%
ROIC
24.5%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
24.5%
WACC
12.3%
ROIC − WACC
+12.2 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格（22）
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 5.47%
- Price CAGR 20.46%
- ROIC 24.5%
- Gross Margin 49.1%
- P/FCF 29.87
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 29.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 48.0%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 12.6%
- Analyst Consensus 76% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.71
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.88
- Share Dilution -1.4%
- Net Margin Trend 28.2% vs 24.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
不合格（5）
- P/B Ratio 11.05
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -7.1%
データなし（1）
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-スコア
財務健全性が高い
利益の質
中程度：利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Theodore A. Sarandos | Co-CEO, President & Director | 60 |
| Mr. Gregory K. Peters | Co-CEO, President & Director | 54 |
| Mr. Spencer Adam Neumann | Chief Financial Officer | 55 |
| Mr. David Hyman J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Secretary | 59 |
| Mr. Clete Willems | Chief Global Affairs Officer | 45 |
| Ms. Natalie Gutteridge | VP of Corporate Legal & Operations | - |
| Mr. Jeffrey William Karbowski | Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Ms. Elizabeth Stone | Chief Product & Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Spencer Wang | Vice President of Finance, Corporate Development & Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Dani Dudeck | Chief Communications Officer | - |
監査リスク
10
取締役会リスク
3
報酬リスク
6
株主権利リスク
5
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容：テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for NFLX, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 12d agoPOSITIVEBill Ackman once exited his Netflix stake in a huff. He’s buying the streaming giant again, as well as these five stocks.
Prominent investor Bill Ackman, through his hedge fund Pershing Square, has re-entered a significant position in Netflix Inc. This move comes after a previous exit, signaling a renewed conviction in the streaming giant's prospects. Pershing Square has acquired stakes in five other undisclosed stocks over the past six months, indicating a broader strategic shift or rebalancing within Ackman's portfolio. The re-investment in Netflix suggests Ackman believes the company's valuation has become attractive, potentially driven by anticipated subscriber growth, content strategy adjustments, or improved profitability metrics. Investors will monitor Netflix's upcoming earnings reports for confirmation of these positive trends.
- 7/20/2026NEUTRALNetflix Returns to the High-Grade Bond Market After 2024 Debut
Netflix Inc. is returning to the US high-grade bond market, marking its first issuance since its debut two years ago. This move comes amid increasing investor scrutiny driven by slowing sales growth. The company aims to raise capital, but the timing and context suggest a potentially challenging environment for debt issuance. Investors will be watching the terms of the bond offering closely to gauge market appetite and Netflix's financial strategy in response to its growth trajectory.
- 7/17/2026NEGATIVENetflix is getting stingier with its viewing data, and Wall Street isn’t happy
Netflix shares are experiencing a downturn following a period of mixed financial results and a strategic shift away from detailed 'What We Watched' reporting. This reduction in data transparency is reportedly unsettling Wall Street analysts and investors. The company's decision to curtail the release of granular viewing statistics, previously a key insight into content performance and subscriber engagement, is perceived as a negative development. Investors may interpret this as a lack of confidence in current content performance or an attempt to obscure potential weaknesses, leading to increased uncertainty and a sell-off.
- 7/17/2026NEUTRALNetflix is paying up for costly sports rights. Is the company making the right bets?
Netflix's strategic investment in costly live sports rights is facing investor scrutiny. While the company asserts that live programming is key to attracting new subscribers, broader engagement trends have reportedly disillusioned shareholders. This divergence in perspective highlights a critical debate for investors: whether the substantial expenditure on sports content will ultimately translate into sustainable subscriber growth and profitability, or if it represents a misallocation of capital that could pressure future earnings and stock performance.
- 7/17/2026POSITIVENetflix used AI to produce 17 minutes of a documentary ‘twice as fast and at half the cost’—as streaming competition drives up content spending to $20 billion
Netflix highlighted significant AI-driven efficiencies in its Q2 earnings call, reporting that AI was used to produce 17 minutes of a documentary 'twice as fast and at half the cost.' This development comes amidst intense competition in the streaming sector, which has driven content spending to an estimated $20 billion. While the company emphasized that creative aspects remain human-led, the successful integration of AI for production tasks suggests potential for substantial cost savings and accelerated content delivery. Investors may view this as a positive sign for future profitability and operational agility.
via Markets Gazette