NOV Inc. (NOV)
NEUTRALファンダメンタル
51
株価
$19.90
時価総額
$7.13B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
NOV designs, manufactures and services the equipment used to drill and produce oil and gas wells, from drill bits and drill pipe to complete land rigs and offshore production systems. It also rents tools and provides field services such as tubular inspection and solids control. A growing minority of its work — carbon capture equipment, offshore wind installation vessels, geothermal drilling tools — serves energy transition markets, though oil and gas activity still drives most of its revenue.
収益の仕組み
Revenue comes from selling and renting physical equipment and from services billed by the job, not from subscriptions. NOV recognizes revenue when equipment ships or a service is performed; large capital-equipment orders carry a backlog delivered over one to three years and often require customer down payments. About 66% of 2025 revenue came from outside the United States. Margins depend heavily on the volume of oil and gas drilling worldwide, since fixed manufacturing costs are spread over a swinging order book.
セグメント別売上高
Capital equipment for drilling and production — land rigs, offshore systems, fracturing and well-intervention equipment — sold under multi-year contracts, plus spare parts and repair for the installed base.
Consumable and rented products for drilling and completion — drill bits, drill pipe, downhole tools — plus inspection, solids-control and digital services billed by the job.
競争優位性(moat)
明確な優位性なし · なしNOV competes with national, regional and foreign manufacturers across every product line, and states in its own filings that some rivals have greater financial and technical resources. Its business depends on winning individual contracts rather than on a durable structural advantage, and its scale in a fragmented industry offers no clear pricing power over well-funded competitors.
需要を左右する要因
景気循環型Demand tracks worldwide oil and gas drilling activity, which in turn follows oil and gas prices, capital budgets of exploration companies, and OPEC production decisions — all of which NOV says it cannot control. The industry has swung between shortage and oversupply repeatedly; a backlog of $4.34 billion in equipment orders can still be delayed or cancelled if customer economics deteriorate.
主なリスク
- Dependence on oil and gas drilling activity — NOV states that demand for its products and services depends primarily on the level of worldwide oil and gas drilling, which has historically been highly volatile and can swing sharply within a short period.
- Revenue concentrated outside the United States — About 66% of 2025 revenue came from operations outside the United States, exposing NOV to political instability, sanctions, currency swings and expropriation risk in the many countries where it does business.
- Fixed-price contract risk — NOV's capital-equipment backlog includes multi-year, fixed-price contracts. Cost overruns, supplier delays, tariffs or inflation in materials can erode margins on work already committed, and some customers cannot cancel for convenience but can still delay payment.
- Supply chain and tariff exposure — The company depends on third-party vendors for raw materials and components; shortages, higher prices, shipping delays or new tariffs — including Section 232 steel tariffs — can raise costs or interrupt production.
- Climate policy and sentiment pressure on oil and gas demand — Future laws restricting greenhouse gas emissions, carbon taxes, or negative investor and customer sentiment toward fossil fuels could reduce demand for oil and gas — and therefore for NOV's products — regardless of the company's own actions.
強気材料
Buyers argue that NOV's shift toward carbon capture, offshore wind and geothermal work diversifies it beyond oil and gas, that its $4.34 billion equipment backlog provides revenue visibility, and that consolidation among oilfield-equipment makers has left it with scale few competitors can match.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that NOV's fortunes remain tied to volatile oil and gas capital spending it cannot influence, that intense competition from well-funded rivals limits its pricing power, and that fixed-price, multi-year contracts expose it to cost overruns if inflation or tariffs raise input costs faster than expected.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$8.69B
直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)
純利益
$91M
直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$876M
自己資本合計
$6.27B
負債合計
$4.97B
流動比率
2.47
利払い倍率
4.42
負債/EBITDA
2.76
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$46.44
現在株価
$19.90
安全マージン
+57.1%
適正価値レンジ
$30.18 - $62.69
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
79.04
ROE
2.3%
P/B レシオ
1.14
P/FCF
9.66
粗利益率
19.5%
ROIC
3.5%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
3.5%
WACC
8.2%
ROIC − WACC
-4.7 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(11)
- P/FCF 9.66
- P/B Ratio 1.14
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 7.5%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 11.98
- Share Dilution -6.3%
不合格(15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -11.83%
- Price CAGR -5.88%
- ROIC 3.5%
- Gross Margin 19.5%
- Operating Margin 4.5%
- CapEx intensity
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 1.5%
- Analyst Consensus 46% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -36.6%
- Net Margin Trend 1.0% vs 6.7%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
データなし(2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Jose A. Bayardo | President, CEO & Chairman | 53 |
| Mr. Rodney C. Reed | Senior VP & CFO | 44 |
| Mr. Craig L. Weinstock J.D. | Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 66 |
| Mr. Joseph W. Rovig | President of Energy Equipment | 64 |
| Ms. Christy H. Novak | VP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 52 |
| Mr. David Reid | Chief Marketing Officer & CTO | - |
| Mr. Alex Philips | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Ms. Bonnie Houston | Chief Administrative Officer | - |
| Amie D'Ambrosio | Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Mike Loucaides | Chief Health, Safety, Security & Environmental Officer | - |
監査リスク
6
取締役会リスク
5
報酬リスク
2
株主権利リスク
3
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for NOV, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 4/15/2026NEGATIVEOil-Gear Maker NOV Cuts Earnings Guidance as Iran War Hikes Costs and Snarls Deliveries
NOV Inc., a major US oilfield equipment manufacturer, has significantly lowered its first-quarter earnings forecast. The downward revision is attributed to escalating operational costs and disruptions in equipment delivery chains, directly impacted by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This development signals increased financial pressure on the company due to geopolitical instability and supply chain vulnerabilities, potentially affecting investor sentiment and future revenue projections.
via Markets Gazette