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Royalty Pharma plc (RPRX)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareBiotechnologyUnited States

ファンダメンタル

62

株価

$62.34

時価総額

$35.43B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Royalty Pharma buys the right to a slice of future sales of approved or late-stage prescription drugs, paying pharmaceutical and biotech companies or academic institutions upfront cash in exchange for a percentage royalty on the medicine's sales for years to come. It does not discover, manufacture or sell any drug itself: its entire business is acquiring and holding a large, diversified portfolio of these royalty contracts, collecting a payment from the drugmaker every time the underlying medicine is sold.

収益の仕組み

Revenue, which the company calls royalty receipts, is simply the royalty percentage applied to each partner drug's sales, so it rises and falls with how well the underlying medicines sell and how many years of patent protection remain before generic competition erodes them. Royalty Pharma has no salespeople or marketing spend tied to the drugs themselves; its own costs are mainly interest on debt used to fund royalty purchases and the team that sources and prices new deals, so profitability depends heavily on paying the right price for each royalty stream upfront.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

Royalty Pharma is the largest dedicated buyer of drug royalties, which gives it access to the biggest and most attractive deals, a lower cost of capital than smaller rivals, and decades of underwriting data on how drug sales evolve after launch. That scale is a real edge in winning deals, but it does not protect any single royalty stream from patent expiry or from a drug simply underperforming.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

Royalty receipts depend on prescription drug sales, which are largely insulated from the broader economic cycle since patients keep taking medicines they need regardless of the economy. The bigger driver of any single year's results is the product mix in the portfolio — how a handful of large royalties like the cystic fibrosis franchise or Trelegy are performing — rather than macroeconomic conditions.

主なリスク

  • Patent expiry and generic competition — Every royalty stream has a finite life tied to the underlying drug's patent protection; once patents expire and generics enter, royalty receipts from that product can fall sharply within a year or two.
  • Clinical, regulatory and commercial risk of underlying drugs — Royalty Pharma has no control over how the drugmakers it partners with run clinical trials, market their products or compete for prescriptions, so a disappointing launch or a safety issue with a partner drug directly cuts its receipts.
  • Deal-sourcing and capital-allocation risk — Future growth depends on continuing to find and win new royalty deals at attractive prices; if competition for these deals increases or the pipeline of available royalties dries up, growth slows even if the existing portfolio performs well.
  • Reliance on debt to fund royalty purchases — Royalty Pharma finances part of its portfolio with borrowed money, and higher interest rates or reduced access to credit markets raise the cost of funding new deals and can compress returns.

顧客集中度

Royalty Pharma does not disclose revenue by paying company, but states that no single product accounted for more than 26% of 2025 Portfolio Receipts, spreading the risk across dozens of royalty streams.

強気材料

Buyers argue that a diversified portfolio of dozens of royalty streams smooths out the risk of any single drug disappointing, that recent deals on products like Voranigo and the cystic fibrosis franchise show Royalty Pharma can still find growth, and that royalty income is largely insulated from the economic cycle.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the company's largest royalties will eventually face patent expiry and generic competition that new deals cannot fully replace, that its growth model depends on continuing to find attractively priced deals in an increasingly competitive market, and that the debt used to fund past acquisitions leaves less room to maneuver if interest rates stay high.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.54B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$812M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$9.71B

負債合計

$9.91B

流動比率

2.80

利払い倍率

4.19

負債/EBITDA

5.75

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割高

適正価値

$38.44

現在株価

$62.34

安全マージン

-62.2%

適正価値レンジ

$24.98 - $51.89

推定方法

Analyst Target:$64.75
DCF:$33.67
PE-based:$20.17
Graham Growth:$13.91
EPV:$26.81
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (14B / 2H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-22.95%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

32.80

ROE

7.9%

P/B レシオ

2.43

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

-

ROIC

6.2%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.2%

WACC

6.9%

ROIC − WACC

-0.7 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 6.16%
  • ROIC 6.2%
  • P/B Ratio 2.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 59.6%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 12.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.67
  • Share Dilution -3.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(6)

  • Price CAGR 3.44%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 32.0% vs 44.4%

データなし(6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

3.67

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-3.7%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Pablo LegorretaFounder, Chairman of the Board & CEO62
Mr. Terrance P. CoyneExecutive VP & CFO-
Mr. Christopher HiteChairman of Partnering & Investments58
Dr. Marshall Jonathan Urist M.D., Ph.D.Head of Research & Investments49
Mr. Greg ButzExecutive Vice President of Partnering & Investments-
Mr. Eric Cornelius SchneiderSenior VP & Chief Technology Officer-
Dr. James Folmar Reddoch Ph.D.Executive VP of Investments & Chief Scientific Officer55
Mr. George Grofik C.F.A., CPASenior VP and Head of Investor Relations & Communications-
Mr. Arthur Richard McGivern J.D.Executive VP of Investment & Chief Legal Officer50
Ms. Molly SawayaExecutive VP & Head of Human Capital-

監査リスク

2

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

7

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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