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Shui On Land Limited (SOLLF)

NEUTRAL
Real EstateReal Estate - DevelopmentChina

ファンダメンタル

48

株価

$0.41

時価総額

$3.24B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Shui On Land develops and manages large-scale urban regeneration projects in mainland China, anchored by its Xintiandi and Lakeville brands in central Shanghai. The company builds residential, office and retail properties on redeveloped land, then either sells the residential units or keeps the commercial space to lease and manage long term. As of the end of 2025 its investment property portfolio was valued at RMB57.6 billion, spanning about 1,258,000 square metres of gross floor area.

収益の仕組み

Shui On Land earns money two ways: selling newly built apartments and offices under presale contracts, with revenue recognized when units are delivered to buyers, and collecting rent from tenants of the retail and office space it keeps and operates itself, mainly under the Xintiandi brand. In 2025 it recorded RMB7,916 million in contracted property sales — bookings for future delivery — and RMB3,625 million in rental and related income, up 2% from the prior year.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Property development in China has been cyclical and, more recently, in a prolonged downturn: nationwide sales volume and value fell 8.7% and 12.6% year-on-year during the period covered by Shui On Land's 2025 results, and the company describes industry-wide liquidity as likely to remain tight. Its rental income from completed, leased commercial space is comparatively steadier, growing even as development sales softened.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Shui On Land's shift toward rental income and asset-light partnerships is cushioning it against the broader Chinese property downturn, that its Xintiandi commercial portfolio in central Shanghai commands premium rents, and that a RMB57.6 billion investment-property base provides a tangible asset backing for the shares.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the company still depends on selling new residential units in a Chinese property market where nationwide volumes and prices keep falling, that it reported a net loss for 2025 driven by non-cash fair-value adjustments and impairments, and that tight sector-wide liquidity could pressure its ability to fund new projects.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$4.09B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$-1.78B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$7.52B

自己資本合計

$42.45B

負債合計

$33.56B

流動比率

1.10

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

26.68

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割安

適正価値

$11.28

現在株価

$0.41

安全マージン

+96.4%

適正価値レンジ

$7.33 - $15.22

推定方法

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$22.07
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$0.48
アナリスト・コンセンサス:売り (0B / 3H / 4S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-26.98%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-4.3%

P/B レシオ

0.09

P/FCF

0.43

粗利益率

51.7%

ROIC

0.5%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.5%

WACC

0.8%

ROIC − WACC

-0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(9)

  • Gross Margin 51.7%
  • P/FCF 0.43
  • P/B Ratio 0.09
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 35.5%

不合格(9)

  • Price CAGR -12.53%
  • ROIC 0.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -4.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -2.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.47
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

データなし(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-スコア

1/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

0.47

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Dr. Hong Sui Lo GBS, J.P.Executive Chairman77
Ms. Jessica Ying WangCEO & Executive Director51
Ms. B. Y. LoExecutive Vice Chairman43
Mr. He Hau SungCFO, Chief Investment Officer & Executive Director58
Mr. Kim Lun Uy LL.B, P.C. L.LDirector of Legal Affairs & Company Secretary62
Mr. K. M. LeeDirector of Human Resources68
Mr. Pit Kwong WongChief Economist & Director of Development Research69
Mr. Kain Bon ChanChief Sustainability Officer and Director of Planning & Development.51
Mr. Allan B. ZhangChief Executive Officer of Shui On Xintiandi Limited46

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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