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Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (STBFY)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicJapan

ファンダメンタル

63

株価

$4602.00

時価総額

$1.41T

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Suntory Beverage & Food makes and sells non-alcoholic drinks and some food products under a portfolio of brands rather than one global name: Suntory Tennensui water and Boss coffee in Japan, Orangina and Lucozade in Europe, and Pepsi bottling and BRAND'S health drinks in parts of Asia. It is majority-owned by Japan's Suntory Holdings and sells in around 120 countries, with manufacturing spread across each region it serves rather than centralised in Japan.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling packaged drinks — bottles, cans, cartons — through retailers, vending machines and food service, region by region. Because beverages are heavy and perishable relative to their price, bottling and distribution happen close to where products are sold, so each region largely funds its own plants and logistics. Profitability depends on brand strength letting the company charge a premium over private-label alternatives, and on raw material and packaging costs that move with commodity prices.

セグメント別売上高

Japan42.86%

Mineral water, coffee, tea, carbonated and sports drinks sold domestically under the Suntory brand — the largest single market.

Asia Pacific22.96%

Soft drinks, energy drinks and health products across Vietnam, Thailand, Oceania and other Asian markets, including Pepsi bottling in some countries.

Europe22.75%

Orangina and Schweppes carbonated drinks, Oasis and Ribena juices, and Lucozade energy and sports drinks, sold mainly in France, the UK and Spain.

Americas11.43%

The group's smallest geographic segment, covering beverage sales across North and South America.

競争優位性(moat)

ブランド · 狭い

Suntory Beverage & Food's portfolio includes well-established regional brands — Tennensui, Boss, Orangina, Lucozade — built over decades of advertising and shelf presence, which lets it charge more than unbranded alternatives in each market. The moat is narrow rather than wide because it competes region by region against equally entrenched local brands and global rivals like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, none of which it can dislodge everywhere at once.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

Non-alcoholic drinks and everyday food items are habitual purchases that hold up better than discretionary categories during downturns. Volume can still soften when consumers trade down to cheaper brands, and currency swings across four regions add another layer of variability, but underlying demand for water, coffee and soft drinks does not disappear in a recession the way demand for durable goods can.

強気材料

Buyers argue that a geographically diversified portfolio of strong regional beverage brands gives Suntory Beverage & Food pricing power and resilience that a single-market bottler lacks, and that its exposure to growing Asian markets offers upside beyond its mature Japanese base.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that operating bottling and distribution separately in four regions keeps margins structurally thinner than a truly global platform, and that currency swings across those regions can erase local operating gains once results are translated back into yen.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.81T

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$89.66B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$90.17B

自己資本合計

$1.35T

負債合計

$16.01B

流動比率

1.31

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.07

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$5886.30

現在株価

$4602.00

安全マージン

+21.8%

適正価値レンジ

$4054.60 - $7718.00

推定方法

Analyst Target:$4820.91
DCF:$8956.00
PE-based:$4281.02
Graham Growth:$7887.64
EPV:$4821.27
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (2B / 10H / 6S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-0.61%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

15.73

ROE

8.0%

P/B レシオ

1.04

P/FCF

15.64

粗利益率

36.9%

ROIC

9.9%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

9.9%

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

+2.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(14)

  • ROIC 9.9%
  • Gross Margin 36.9%
  • P/FCF 15.64
  • P/B Ratio 1.04
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.5%
  • PEG Ratio 1.41
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.12

不合格(7)

  • Price CAGR -0.49%
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 6.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 11% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 5.2% vs 5.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

2.12

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Josuke KimuraPresident, CEO & Representative Director64
Mr. Naoto OkinakaSenior Managing Executive Officer, Chief Strategy, Finance & Business Growth Officer and Director58
Haruhisa InadaManaging Executive Officer-
Akiyo SatoManaging Executive Officer-
Shigeki KogisoManaging Executive Officer-
Mr. Shigeaki KazamaManaging Executive Officer and Head of SBF Japan's Production & SCM Headquarters-
Pierre DecroixSBF Europe CEO-
Makoto FujimotoSenior Managing Executive Officer-
Yuji MoriManaging Executive Officer-
Jahanzeb KhanCEO of SBF Asia Pacific-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

5

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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