Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD)
POSITIVEファンダメンタル
72
株価
$229.58
時価総額
$32.78B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Steel Dynamics makes steel primarily from recycled scrap metal in electric-arc-furnace mills, rather than from iron ore in traditional blast furnaces, and sells it as flat and long steel products to construction, automotive, energy and manufacturing customers. It also owns a large scrap-metal recycling operation that feeds its own mills, a steel-fabrication business that turns raw steel into finished joists and decking, and a newer aluminum recycling and rolling operation.
収益の仕組み
Revenue comes from selling steel, fabricated steel products, recycled scrap and, increasingly, aluminum by the ton, so results move with steel and metal prices as much as with volumes sold. Because its mills run on scrap rather than iron ore, and its own recycling operations supply much of that scrap, Steel Dynamics has a lower and more flexible cost base than integrated steelmakers, which supports profitability even when steel prices are weak, though it remains a commodity business with thin control over the price it charges.
セグメント別売上高
Flat-rolled and long steel products made mainly from recycled scrap at electric-arc-furnace mills; by far the largest source of revenue and profit.
Collection and processing of scrap metal, sold to outside customers as well as feeding Steel Dynamics' own mills.
Steel joists, girders and decking made for non-residential construction projects, a step further down the value chain from raw steel.
Corporate functions and smaller operations not allocated to the four main reportable segments.
A newer recycled-aluminum flat-rolled products business, including a large new mill commissioned in 2025.
競争優位性(moat)
コスト優位性 · 狭いRunning mills on recycled scrap through electric-arc furnaces, backed by an in-house recycling network, gives Steel Dynamics lower capital and operating costs per ton than older integrated steelmakers using blast furnaces. That structural cost edge helps it stay profitable through the cycle, but steel remains a commodity: competitors run similar mini-mill technology, and none of them can charge more than the going market price for a ton of steel.
需要を左右する要因
景気循環型Steel demand tracks construction, automotive production and broader industrial activity, all of which expand and contract with the economy, and steel prices themselves swing widely with global supply and demand and with trade policy. Steel Dynamics' results have historically moved up and down sharply with these cycles, even though its lower cost base helps it stay profitable in the troughs where higher-cost competitors lose money.
主なリスク
- Steel price cyclicality — Steel prices move with global supply, demand and trade policy, and a sustained price downturn compresses margins across all of Steel Dynamics' operations at once, since steel, scrap and fabrication all move together.
- Trade policy and tariff exposure — Steel Dynamics' results are affected by US and foreign tariffs, quotas and trade disputes, which can help domestic producers when they restrict imports but can also invite retaliation or be reversed by future policy changes.
- Large capital projects and execution risk — Steel Dynamics is investing heavily in new capacity, including its aluminum business; cost overruns, delays or weaker-than-expected demand for the new output would reduce the return on that spending.
- Energy cost exposure — Electric-arc furnaces consume large amounts of electricity, so rising power costs directly raise production costs in a business that cannot easily pass higher costs through in a commodity market.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Steel Dynamics' low-cost, scrap-based mills keep it profitable through steel-price downturns that hurt higher-cost integrated competitors, that vertical integration into scrap recycling and fabrication captures margin at multiple stages, and that the new aluminum business opens a large adjacent market for the same cost advantages.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that steel remains a cyclical commodity where even the lowest-cost producer suffers when prices fall industry-wide, that heavy capital spending on new capacity, including aluminum, raises the risk of a poorly timed expansion, and that trade-policy support for domestic steelmakers could be reduced or reversed.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$20.54B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$1.61B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$502M
自己資本合計
$8.96B
負債合計
$7.49B
流動比率
3.18
利払い倍率
18.22
負債/EBITDA
2.06
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$377.51
現在株価
$229.58
安全マージン
+39.2%
適正価値レンジ
$245.38 - $509.63
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
20.82
ROE
13.2%
P/B レシオ
3.49
P/FCF
34.39
粗利益率
14.7%
ROIC
11.0%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
11.0%
WACC
11.6%
ROIC − WACC
-0.7 pp
ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 7.97%
- Price CAGR 20.45%
- ROIC 11.0%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 10.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 17.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 13.6%
- Analyst Consensus 64% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.93
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.98
- Share Dilution -5.0%
- Net Margin Trend 7.8% vs 6.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
不合格(7)
- Gross Margin 14.7%
- P/FCF 34.39
- P/B Ratio 3.49
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg 2.0%
データなし(1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Mark D. Millett | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | 65 |
| Mr. Barry T. Schneider | President & COO | 56 |
| Mr. Christopher A. Graham | Senior Vice President of Flat Roll Steel Group | 61 |
| Mr. David A. Lipschitz | Investor Relations Director | - |
| Mr. James S. Anderson | Senior Vice President of Long Products Steel Group | 64 |
| Mr. Miguel Alvarez | Senior Vice President of Aluminum Group | 57 |
| Mr. Richard A. Poinsatte C.P.A. | Executive VP & Treasurer | 58 |
| Ms. Tricia Meyers | Investor Relations Manager | - |
監査リスク
4
取締役会リスク
4
報酬リスク
5
株主権利リスク
3
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for STLD, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/16/2026POSITIVE$100 Invested In Steel Dynamics 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
An investment of $100 in Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) made 20 years ago would have grown to a substantial amount today, reflecting the company's strong performance and shareholder returns over the past two decades. This long-term growth indicates robust operational execution, strategic expansion, and effective capital allocation, likely driven by consistent demand in the steel sector and the company's ability to adapt to market cycles. For investors, this historical performance underscores STLD's potential as a long-term wealth-generating asset, highlighting its resilience and capacity for value creation.
- 5/20/2026POSITIVEHere's How Much $100 Invested In Steel Dynamics 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
An investment of $100 in Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) five years ago would have grown to approximately $345 today, representing a substantial return of over 245%. This performance significantly outpaced the broader market, highlighting the company's robust growth and operational efficiency during the period. Factors contributing to this impressive valuation include strong demand for steel products, strategic capacity expansions, and effective cost management, all of which have bolstered investor confidence and share price appreciation.
- 4/20/2026POSITIVESteel Dynamics Revenue Grows Most Since 2022, Beating Estimates
Steel Dynamics Inc. reported first-quarter revenue growth that exceeded analyst estimates, marking the fastest expansion since 2022. This surge was propelled by a significant increase in steel prices and a record 3.6 million tons of steel shipments, which also contributed to a strong profit rebound. The company's performance indicates a robust recovery in demand and pricing power within the steel sector, offering a positive outlook for investors.
via Markets Gazette