ランキングに戻る

Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. (TKCBF)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsJapan

ファンダメンタル

65

株価

$1646.50

時価総額

$352.50B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Tokai Carbon makes carbon-based industrial materials that other manufacturers need but consumers never see: carbon black used to strengthen rubber in tires, graphite electrodes that conduct the electricity in steel-recycling furnaces, and specialty fine-carbon products used in semiconductor and industrial equipment. It also builds and lines the furnaces some of its own customers use. The company sells worldwide to tire makers, steelmakers and electronics manufacturers rather than to end consumers.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling tonnes of industrial material under multi-year supply agreements with large manufacturers, so volume and price both move with how much steel, tires and electronics its customers are producing. Carbon black is the largest business by far, tied closely to global tire output. Because production requires large, capital-intensive plants, profitability depends on keeping those plants running near capacity and on passing through swings in raw material and energy costs.

セグメント別売上高

Carbon black45.55%

A reinforcing filler for rubber products, mainly tires, plus black pigments and conductive materials — the group's largest business by far.

Smelting and lining19.2%

Construction and lining of industrial furnaces, mainly for steelmaking and non-ferrous metal smelting customers.

Fine carbon17.38%

Specialty carbon products, including silicon carbide materials and coatings, used in semiconductor and industrial equipment.

Graphite electrode11.7%

Graphite electrodes that conduct electricity in electric arc furnaces, used mainly to recycle scrap steel.

Industrial furnaces and related products3.64%

Equipment and related products for industrial furnace customers, a smaller line adjacent to the smelting and lining business.

Other businesses3.05%

Smaller product lines that do not belong to the five main segments.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Carbon black volumes track global tire and automobile production, and graphite electrode volumes track how much scrap steel is recycled through electric furnaces — both of which slow sharply in industrial downturns. The company's 2025 results, in which net sales fell but operating income rose after cost cuts and structural reforms, illustrate how far profitability can swing even without a change in the top line.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Tokai Carbon's structural reforms and cost cuts have already turned around profitability in its weaker segments, that carbon black demand is tied to a tire market that keeps replacing itself regardless of new vehicle sales, and that its diversification across six product lines cushions any single end market's downturn.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that a business this tied to global steel and tire production will keep swinging with the industrial cycle, that capital-intensive plants leave little room to cut costs further once volumes fall, and that the graphite electrode and smelting segments have already shown how quickly profitability can turn negative.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$324.33B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$18.61B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$2.94B

自己資本合計

$339.22B

負債合計

$217.20B

流動比率

2.25

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

3.45

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$1681.48

現在株価

$1646.50

安全マージン

+2.1%

適正価値レンジ

$1092.96 - $2270.00

推定方法

Analyst Target:$2075.00
DCF:$511.14
PE-based:$1646.01
Graham Growth:$4580.18
EPV:$826.12
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (6B / 2H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-48.99%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

18.94

ROE

6.8%

P/B レシオ

1.11

P/FCF

119.87

粗利益率

24.7%

ROIC

4.6%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.6%

WACC

7.3%

ROIC − WACC

-2.7 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(14)

  • Price CAGR 15.06%
  • P/B Ratio 1.11
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 64.7%
  • PEG Ratio 0.26
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.74
  • Net Margin Trend 6.2% vs -39.2%

不合格(7)

  • ROIC 4.6%
  • Gross Margin 24.7%
  • P/FCF 119.87
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

2.74

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Hajime NagasakaPresident, CEO & Chairman75
Hirai NaokiExecutive Officer, Finance and Accounting Dept Manager and Head of Finance & Accounting Dept-
Mr. Toshiaki FukudaAdvisor-
Mr. Masafumi TsujiManaging Executive Officer, GM of Graphite Electrode Division & Director62
Kazuhiko MatsubaraAdvisor-
Mr. Katsuyuki YamaguchiExecutive Officer, GM of R&D Strategy Department & Director61
Kazuhito KataokaExecutive Officer & GM of Business Incubation Department-
Kouji MiuraExecutive Officer & GM of Chita Laboratory-
Mr. Akihiko SatoExecutive Officer & Director60
Kazuyoshi HainoExecutive Officer & Special Technical Advisor of Tokai COBEX-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

8

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for TKCBF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for TKCBF.