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TotalEnergies SE (TTFNF)

NEUTRAL
EnergyOil & Gas IntegratedFrance

ファンダメンタル

65

株価

$75.70

時価総額

$168.86B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

TotalEnergies is a French multi-energy company that finds and produces oil and natural gas, liquefies and ships gas as LNG, refines crude into fuels and petrochemicals, and increasingly builds and operates power plants and renewable energy assets. It sells across the full chain from wellhead to gas station and household electricity meter, in more than 100 countries, and has been shifting new investment toward gas and low-carbon power alongside its traditional oil business.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is organized in five businesses: Exploration & Production sells crude oil and gas at prices set by global commodity markets, Integrated LNG liquefies and sells gas under long-term contracts and spot cargoes (43.9 million tonnes sold in 2025), Integrated Power sells electricity from a growing renewables and gas-fired fleet (34.1 GW of renewable capacity), Refining & Chemicals turns crude into fuels and plastics, and Marketing & Services sells fuel and convenience products through service stations. Because oil and gas prices are set externally rather than by TotalEnergies, profit depends heavily on the cost of finding and producing each barrel relative to whatever the market happens to be paying.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Results move with global oil and gas prices, which swing with worldwide economic activity, OPEC+ production decisions and geopolitical events far outside the company's control. TotalEnergies itself lists price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas, and the evolution of demand and prices for petroleum products, among the market risk factors that drive its results.

主なリスク

  • Oil and gas price volatility — The company names price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas, and the evolution of demand and price for petroleum products, as market risk factors directly affecting its results.
  • Geopolitical tensions and external threats — The 20-F risk factor section names geopolitics and external threats as a distinct risk category, noting that heightened geopolitical tensions are pushing different regions of the world down increasingly divergent paths that affect operations and markets.
  • Energy transition uncertainty — Energy transition is named as its own risk category; the company states that achieving ambitious climate scenarios currently seems out of reach given the state of geopolitical tensions, which affects the pace and profitability of its low-carbon investments.
  • Operational risk — The 20-F lists operational risks as a distinct category alongside market and geopolitical risk, covering the hazards inherent in exploring for, producing, transporting and refining hydrocarbons across a large global asset base.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$196.38B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$17.84B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$13.53B

自己資本合計

$110.89B

負債合計

$62.92B

流動比率

1.06

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

1.59

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

適正価値

適正価値

$98.75

現在株価

$75.70

安全マージン

+23.3%

適正価値レンジ

$64.19 - $133.31

推定方法

Analyst Target:$81.64
DCF:$156.27
PE-based:$52.86
Graham Growth:$111.36
EPV:$123.11
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (19B / 10H / 3S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-2.01%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

11.13

ROE

14.5%

P/B レシオ

1.52

P/FCF

12.48

粗利益率

37.7%

ROIC

11.4%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

11.4%

WACC

5.8%

ROIC − WACC

+5.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • Price CAGR 5.20%
  • ROIC 11.4%
  • Gross Margin 37.7%
  • P/FCF 12.48
  • P/B Ratio 1.52
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 14.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.52

不合格(5)

  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 7.2% vs 8.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

2.52

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Patrick PouyanneChairman & CEO62
Mr. Jean-Pierre SbraireChief Financial Officer60
Ms. Marie-Noëlle SemeriaSenior VP & Group CTO-
Mr. Michel HourcardSVP of Development & Ops Techniques - Exploration/Production & SVP of Scientific & Technical Center-
Mr. Renaud LionsSenior Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Bernard PinatelPresident of Downstream and President of Marketing & Services63
Ms. Catherine RemyPresident of People & Social Engagement47
Mr. Martin DeffontainesSenior Vice President of Talent Management60
Mr. Stephane MichelPresident of Gas, Renewables & Power52
Mr. Laurent VivierSenior Vice President of Middle East & North Africa - Exploration and Production55

監査リスク

10

取締役会リスク

5

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

5

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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