Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)
NEUTRALファンダメンタル
66
株価
$203.05
時価総額
$13.42B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Texas Roadhouse operates and franchises casual-dining steakhouse restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers brands, serving hand-cut steaks and other American comfort food at moderate prices. Most locations are company-owned rather than franchised, which is unusual for a restaurant chain this size: Texas Roadhouse prefers to run its own stores and keep the full profit rather than share it with franchisees, franchising mainly in markets it chooses not to enter directly, including internationally.
収益の仕組み
Almost all revenue comes from food and drink sold at company-owned restaurants, recognized as guests pay their bill; franchise royalties and fees, based on a percentage of franchisee sales, are a small addition on top. Because Texas Roadhouse owns most of its stores, its economics look more like a traditional restaurant operator than an asset-light franchisor: it captures more revenue per location than franchise-heavy chains, but also carries the real-estate, labor and food-cost risk that a franchise model would push onto operators.
セグメント別売上高
Food and beverage sales at company-owned Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers restaurants, plus gift-card and other incidental revenue.
Ongoing royalties and one-time opening fees paid by franchisees who operate Texas Roadhouse restaurants under license, mostly outside the US.
競争優位性(moat)
ブランド · 狭いTexas Roadhouse has built a loyal following around consistent quality, large portions and value pricing, which shows up in one of the industry's longest streaks of positive comparable sales. That loyalty supports steady traffic, but the moat is narrow: diners can switch to any of dozens of other casual-dining chains with little friction, and Texas Roadhouse must keep earning repeat visits through execution rather than any structural lock-in.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性Restaurant spending is discretionary and tends to soften when consumers feel financially stretched, but Texas Roadhouse's value positioning — large portions at moderate prices — has historically made it a relative beneficiary when diners trade down from pricier restaurants rather than stop eating out altogether, softening the swings compared with fine dining.
主なリスク
- Beef and commodity cost volatility — Steaks are the core menu item, and beef prices are volatile and largely outside the company's control; a sustained spike in beef costs compresses restaurant-level margins faster than menu prices can be raised.
- Labor cost and availability — Restaurants depend on a large hourly workforce, and rising minimum wages, tight labor markets or high turnover push up costs and can limit how many hours a location can stay open.
- Ownership model concentrates capital and risk — Because most restaurants are company-operated rather than franchised, Texas Roadhouse carries the lease and buildout costs of every new location itself, so a slowdown in new-store performance affects results more directly than at an asset-light franchisor.
- Discretionary consumer spending — Dining out is one of the first expenses households cut when they feel financial pressure, so a broad economic downturn or reduced consumer confidence can reduce visit frequency even at a value-priced chain.
強気材料
Buyers argue that decades of consistent comparable-sales growth show Texas Roadhouse has built real customer loyalty around value and quality, that owning most of its restaurants lets it capture more of each location's economics than franchise-heavy peers, and that continued store growth gives a long, visible runway for the model to keep compounding.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that beef-cost volatility and rising labor costs squeeze restaurant-level margins in a business with limited pricing power, that owning most locations concentrates real-estate and buildout risk on the company's own balance sheet, and that a full-priced stock leaves little room for error if comparable-sales growth slows from its current pace.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$6.23B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$422M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$342M
自己資本合計
$1.46B
負債合計
$2.07B
流動比率
0.46
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
1.60
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$331.87
現在株価
$203.05
安全マージン
+38.8%
適正価値レンジ
$215.72 - $448.02
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
32.79
ROE
28.4%
P/B レシオ
8.65
P/FCF
33.16
粗利益率
-
ROIC
13.2%
収益性レーダー
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
13.2%
WACC
8.3%
ROIC − WACC
+4.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 14.80%
- Price CAGR 15.54%
- ROIC 13.2%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 7.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 28.2%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 19.6%
- Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.50
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.90
- Share Dilution -1.1%
不合格(9)
- P/FCF 33.16
- P/B Ratio 8.65
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
- Net Margin Trend 6.8% vs 7.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
データなし(3)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Gerald L. Morgan | CEO & Executive Vice Chairman | 64 |
| Ms. Regina A. Tobin | President | 60 |
| Mr. Michael S. Lenihan | Chief Financial Officer | 52 |
| Mr. Keith V. Humpich | Chief Accounting & Financial Services Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Hernan E. Mujica | Chief Technology Officer | 62 |
| Mr. Christopher C. Colson | Corporate Secretary and Chief Business & Administrative Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Travis C. Doster | Chief Communications Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Lloyd Paul Marshall | Chief Growth Officer | 55 |
| Michael Bailen | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Sean G. Renfroe | General Counsel | 44 |
監査リスク
6
取締役会リスク
1
報酬リスク
4
株主権利リスク
1
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for TXRH, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/7/2026POSITIVETexas Roadhouse Sales Hold as Diners Pick Cheaper Beef Cuts
Texas Roadhouse Inc. reported in-line first-quarter results, with shares seeing a positive reaction. The casual dining chain indicated that sales momentum is expected to persist. This resilience is attributed to diners adapting to elevated prices and a slight moderation in commodity-cost inflation. The company's ability to maintain sales through strategic adjustments in menu offerings, such as diners opting for more economical beef cuts, suggests a robust operational strategy. Investors will be watching for continued margin management and sales growth in the upcoming quarters.
via Markets Gazette