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VNV Global AB (publ) (VSTKF)

NEGATIVE
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementSweden

ファンダメンタル

25

株価

$17.70

時価総額

$2.27B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

VNV Global does not run an operating business of its own. It is a Swedish investment company that buys minority stakes — mostly single-digit to mid-teens percentages — in privately held, fast-growing internet companies with network effects, such as the ride-sharing marketplace BlaBlaCar and the e-scooter operator Voi, and sells them later, typically to a strategic buyer or through a public listing. Its own reported result is the change in the estimated fair value of those stakes, not the sales of the companies it invests in.

収益の仕組み

VNV does not earn revenue in the conventional sense: it holds equity stakes recorded at estimated fair value, and its profit or loss each period is simply the change in that valuation, driven by portfolio companies' own funding rounds, market comparables and eventual sale prices. About 97% of the investment portfolio consists of such equity stakes rather than interest-bearing assets, so results can swing sharply with venture-capital sentiment even before any company is sold.

主なリスク

  • Execution risk inside portfolio companies — The company states that all portfolio companies carry the risk of losses from deficient procedures, failure to improve products, failure to renew licensing agreements or failure to stay competitive.
  • Valuation of unlisted holdings — The company states that a 10% decrease in the price of its non-quoted shares would have affected post-tax profit and equity by about USD 63 million at the end of 2024, illustrating how sensitive results are to estimated fair value.
  • Exposure to early-stage companies — The company states that most of its portfolio consists of startups and other early-stage companies that typically generate negative cash flow and may need additional capital to keep operating.
  • Disposal risk — VNV states it has an explicit exit strategy of selling holdings to strategic investors or through the market, and that there is a risk it will not succeed in selling at the price recorded on its balance sheet.
  • Dependence on key individuals — The company states it is dependent on its senior executives, naming its Managing Director as of particular significance, and that it could be seriously affected if a senior executive left.

強気材料

Buyers argue that VNV's network and experience let it back internet companies with strong network effects before they are widely recognized, that several holdings such as BlaBlaCar and Voi have reached positive EBITDA, and that the stock has historically traded at a discount to its own reported net asset value.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that most of the portfolio is unlisted and internally valued, making reported results hard to verify, that early-stage companies can need repeated capital injections that dilute value, and that a discount to net asset value can persist for years without closing.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

0

2025/12/31に終了した会計年度

純利益

$-259M

2025/12/31に終了した会計年度

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-84M

自己資本合計

$461M

負債合計

$27M

流動比率

8.28

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割安

適正価値

$23.63

現在株価

$17.70

安全マージン

+25.1%

適正価値レンジ

$22.45 - $24.81

推定方法

Analyst Target:$23.63
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (5B / 1H / 0S)

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-24.8%

P/B レシオ

5.23

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

0.0%

ROIC

-2.1%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-2.1%

WACC

10.0%

ROIC − WACC

-12.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(4)

  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.8%
  • Current Ratio
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy

不合格(9)

  • Price CAGR -26.04%
  • ROIC -2.1%
  • Gross Margin 0.0%
  • P/B Ratio 5.23
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -25.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -69.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(14)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Per BriliothCEO, MD & Board Member56
Mr. Bjorn Von SiversChief Financial Officer37
Ms. Elise KlackenbergGeneral Counsel32
Mr. Dennis MohammadInvestment Manager-

監査リスク

5

取締役会リスク

5

報酬リスク

10

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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