返回排名列表

Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalTravel ServicesUnited States

基本面

75

价格

$190.19

市值

$113.90B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Airbnb runs an online marketplace that connects travelers with hosts renting out rooms, homes and, increasingly, local experiences and services. It never owns the properties listed: hosts set their own prices and availability, and Airbnb's software handles search, booking, payment and reviews. The company takes a cut of each transaction from both the guest and the host, functioning more like a matchmaking platform than a traditional hotel operator.

盈利方式

Revenue is a service fee charged on each booking, split between a percentage taken from the host's payout and a separate fee added to the guest's price, so revenue rises directly with the total dollar value of trips booked on the platform. Because Airbnb owns no real estate, its costs are mostly software, marketing and customer support rather than property upkeep, letting incremental bookings convert to profit at a high rate once the platform is built.

分部营收

North America42.5%

Bookings across the United States and Canada, Airbnb's largest and most mature market, though growth here has slowed to single digits.

Europe, Middle East and Africa38.6%

Bookings across Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Airbnb's fastest-growing large region in the most recent year.

Latin America9.5%

Bookings across Latin America, a smaller region that has recently grown faster than Airbnb's home US market.

Asia Pacific9.4%

Bookings across Asia-Pacific markets, similarly small in dollar terms but growing quickly off a lower base.

护城河

网络效应 · 狭窄

More listings attract more travelers, and more travelers searching the platform attract more hosts to list, which is the classic two-sided network effect. But switching costs are low: a host can list the same property on a rival site with a few clicks, so the advantage depends on staying the largest marketplace rather than on any lock-in.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Travel spending is discretionary and among the first things households cut when budgets tighten, so bookings track consumer confidence and disposable income. Demand is also seasonal within each year and sensitive to currency swings that make international trips cheaper or more expensive for travelers from a given country.

主要风险

  • Regulation of short-term rentals — Cities and countries increasingly restrict or ban short-term home rentals, as New York City has done; if more major markets follow, Airbnb's inventory of listings and bookings would shrink.
  • Dependence on host supply — Airbnb depends on hosts choosing to list, and to keep listing, on its platform rather than a competitor's or a long-term rental market; anything that reduces host participation directly reduces the business.
  • Competition from hotels and platforms — Traditional hotel chains and other booking platforms compete for the same travelers, and hotels have the resources to lobby for regulation that favors licensed lodging over private rentals.
  • Sensitivity to travel spending — Because travel is discretionary spending, a recession or a shock to consumer confidence anywhere in the world can reduce bookings quickly and simultaneously across regions.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Airbnb's marketplace of millions of listings across almost every country gives it a scale advantage few rivals can match, and that expansion into experiences and services opens new revenue without needing new travelers.

看空理由

Sellers worry that city-by-city bans on short-term rentals could steadily shrink the available inventory of listings, that switching a listing to a competing platform costs a host almost nothing, and that travel spending is one of the first things households cut when money is tight.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 1.3Score: 78Market cap: $160.31B

Booking.com is the world's largest online travel agency and has built the biggest alternative-accommodation inventory outside Airbnb, so the two bid for the same hosts and the same travellers booking a home or an apartment, above all in Europe.

P/E: 21.2Score: 73Market cap: $38.82B

Through Vrbo, Expedia runs the other large whole-home rental marketplace in the United States, competing for the same property managers and the same family and group trips that Airbnb targets.

P/E: 37.2Score: 79Market cap: $93.93B

Marriott is the largest hotel group and, with Homes & Villas by Marriott Bonvoy, sells short-term home stays to the same leisure traveller, using its loyalty programme to keep the booking inside its own channel.

P/E: 1.0Score: 69Market cap: $28.98B

Trip.com Group is the dominant travel booking platform in China and across Asia-Pacific, competing with Airbnb for outbound Asian travellers and for accommodation supply in the region Airbnb is trying to expand into.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.HLT

Hilton competes for the same nights of paid lodging, especially in cities where a mid-range hotel room and an Airbnb listing are interchangeable choices for the same traveller.

GetYourGuide Deutschland GmbHNot tracked

GetYourGuide sells tours and local activities to travellers at destination, the same market Airbnb Experiences competes in and which Airbnb names among its competitors.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$13.16B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$2.69B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

$8.20B

负债合计

$14.01B

流动比率

1.41

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.90

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被高估

公允价值

$148.11

当前价格

$190.19

安全边际

-28.4%

公允价值区间

$110.27 - $185.96

估算方法

Analyst Target:$175.50
DCF:-
PE-based:$118.05
Graham Growth:$71.31
EPV:$32.20
分析师共识:买入 (28B / 20H / 2S)
最近财报超预期:+7.29%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

43.33

ROE

30.6%

市净率(P/B)

-

P/FCF

-

毛利率

82.9%

ROIC

20.3%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

20.3%

WACC

11.0%

ROIC − WACC

+9.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 20.3%
  • Gross Margin 82.9%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 20.8%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 33.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 29.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.81
  • Share Dilution -3.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(4)

  • Price CAGR 4.15%
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -7.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 20.4% vs 22.7%

不可用(8)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.81

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-3.3%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Brian CheskyCo-Founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board43
Mr. Nathan BlecharczykCo-Founder, Chief Strategy Officer & Director41
Mr. Joseph GebbiaCo-Founder & Director43
Ms. Elinor B. MertzChief Financial Officer48
Mr. Gus FuldnerHead of Global Operations-
Mr. David C. BernsteinChief Accounting Officer63
Mr. Ahmad Al-DahleChief Technology Officer-
Ms. Angela YangDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Ronald A. Klain J.D.Chief Legal Officer-
Mr. Jay CarneyGlobal Head of Policy & Communications-

审计风险

9

董事会风险

10

薪酬风险

9

股东权利风险

10

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ABNB, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 19d agoPOSITIVE
    Airbnb Jumps After Raising Its 2026 Revenue Outlook Again

    Airbnb Inc. shares experienced a significant surge, marking their largest gain in 16 months following a second upward revision of the company's annual revenue forecast for 2026. This optimistic outlook is underpinned by sustained strong demand observed in both the US and European markets. The repeated enhancement of its revenue projections signals robust business performance and positive market reception, likely encouraging investors and analysts to re-evaluate the company's growth trajectory and future earnings potential.

  • 7/16/2026NEGATIVE
    Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky’s X account was hijacked in an AI slop hack pushing crypto tokenization

    Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky's X (formerly Twitter) account was reportedly compromised in an "AI slop hack" that promoted cryptocurrency tokenization. While the hack targeted the CEO's personal account and not Airbnb's corporate systems, such incidents can erode trust and raise concerns about digital security. Investors may view this as a reputational risk, potentially impacting consumer confidence in the platform's security measures. The incident highlights the growing threat of AI-driven cyberattacks and their potential to affect high-profile individuals and their associated companies.

  • 5/9/2026POSITIVE
    Airbnb Reveals AI Agents Now Handle 60% Of New Coding— CEO Brian Chesky Says That Allows One Engineer To Do Work Of 20

    Airbnb reported that AI generated 60% of its new code in the first quarter, a significant leap in operational efficiency. This advancement, coupled with strong revenue growth and expanding AI-driven operations, suggests a substantial increase in productivity. CEO Brian Chesky highlighted that this allows one engineer to perform the work of twenty. For investors, this indicates a potential for significant cost savings and accelerated development cycles, positioning Airbnb for enhanced profitability and competitive advantage in the travel technology sector.

  • 5/7/2026POSITIVE
    Airbnb is seeing some of its fastest growth from this surprising segment

    Airbnb is experiencing robust growth in a previously unexpected segment: hotel bookings. This strategic pivot, launched recently, is showing early signs of significant demand, potentially diversifying its revenue streams beyond traditional short-term rentals. While the company navigates geopolitical disruptions like the Iran war, the success of its hotel offering suggests a strong market reception and could lead to increased bookings and revenue. Investors will be watching this segment closely as it represents a key area of future expansion and potential market share gains.

  • 4/22/2026NEUTRAL
    Performance Comparison: Airbnb And Competitors In Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Industry

    The article provides a performance comparison of Airbnb against its competitors within the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While specific financial figures or market share data are not detailed in the provided snippet, the focus on comparative performance suggests an analysis of market positioning and competitive dynamics. Investors should note that such comparisons are crucial for understanding a company's strategic standing and potential for future growth or market share erosion. The lack of explicit positive or negative catalysts indicates a neutral stance pending further details on the performance metrics.

  • 3/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Airbnb Stock Falls As Inflation, Energy Costs Pressure Travel Outlook

    Airbnb shares declined Friday, mirroring a broader downturn in travel stocks. The slump is attributed to escalating energy costs, persistent inflation concerns, and a dip in consumer confidence, all of which can dampen discretionary spending on travel. Investors are weighing the potential impact of these macroeconomic headwinds on future booking volumes and profitability for companies in the travel and hospitality sector. The current environment suggests a cautious outlook for the industry.

  • 3/12/2026NEGATIVE
    Airbnb Stock Slides As Middle East Tensions Threaten Global Travel Demand

    Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) experienced a significant decline in its stock value as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated, casting a shadow over global travel demand. Investors are closely monitoring the situation, as disruptions to international travel could directly impact booking volumes and revenue for the company. The uncertainty surrounding the conflict's duration and scope poses a risk to Airbnb's forward-looking guidance and growth projections, leading to a cautious market sentiment.

  • 3/12/2026NEUTRAL
    Airbnb Kicks Off Debut Bond Sale as Convertibles Come Due

    Airbnb Inc. has initiated its first-ever offering of high-grade debt, a move that coincides with the approaching maturity of its outstanding convertible notes. This debut bond sale aims to refinance existing obligations and potentially strengthen its balance sheet. While the issuance itself is a standard corporate finance activity, its success and terms will be closely watched by investors for indications of Airbnb's creditworthiness and future capital management strategies. The market impact is expected to be neutral in the short term, pending further details on the bond's pricing and investor demand.

via Markets Gazette