返回排名列表

Adobe Inc. (ADBE)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

基本面

73

价格

$273.39

市值

$109.82B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Adobe makes the software that creative professionals, marketers and everyday users rely on to create, edit and manage digital content: Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere Pro and Acrobat are used by designers, video editors and anyone who opens a PDF. A second, smaller business sells software that helps large companies run marketing campaigns and personalize websites. Nearly all of this reaches customers as a paid, ongoing subscription rather than a one-time software purchase.

盈利方式

Adobe charges recurring subscription fees for access to its creative and document tools, billed monthly or annually, so revenue builds up as the installed base of paying subscribers grows rather than depending on new-version sales. Its enterprise marketing software is sold through longer, higher-value contracts with large companies. Because the software is built once and resold to millions of users, additional subscribers cost little to serve, so the business carries high margins.

分部营收

Digital Media74.3%

Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere Pro, Acrobat and the Creative Cloud and Document Cloud subscriptions built around them — Adobe's core business.

Digital Experience24.7%

Software that helps large companies manage marketing campaigns, personalize websites and analyze customer data, sold on multi-year enterprise contracts.

Publishing and Advertising1.1%

A small, shrinking mix of legacy publishing tools and remaining advertising services outside Adobe's two main businesses.

护城河

转换成本 · 宽阔

Creative professionals train for years on Photoshop and Premiere Pro, build workflows and file libraries around Adobe's formats, and work alongside colleagues who use the same tools. Switching an entire creative team, or an enterprise marketing stack, to a rival product means retraining people and rebuilding integrations most customers would rather avoid.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Subscription renewals make revenue fairly steady from quarter to quarter, but new subscriber growth follows the health of the creative, marketing and small-business economy, and enterprise contract renewals depend on corporate technology budgets that get squeezed in a downturn.

主要风险

  • Generative AI disruption — Rapid advances in generative AI let competitors and even free tools generate images, video and text that used to require Adobe's software, reducing the paid seats needed for the same creative work.
  • Faster-moving competitors — Faster-moving competitors built around AI and browser-based collaboration are winning share in design and video, particularly among smaller customers and price-sensitive segments.
  • Subscription churn — Adobe's business depends on customers renewing subscriptions rather than buying software once; price increases or a weaker economy can push customers to cancel or downgrade.
  • Cybersecurity and data breaches — A breach involving customer content, creative files or payment data stored in Adobe's cloud services could damage trust in a business built on recurring access.

客户集中度

Adobe states that no single customer accounted for 10% or more of revenue in any recent year; its subscriber base is broad enough that no one customer's decisions materially move results.

看多理由

Buyers argue that decades of entrenched workflows around Photoshop, Premiere and Acrobat, now paired with Adobe's own generative AI tools built into the same subscriptions, make switching costly enough that the company can keep raising prices and adding AI features without losing its base.

看空理由

Sellers fear that free or cheaper AI tools increasingly replace tasks that used to require a paid Adobe seat, that nimbler competitors are winning the youngest and most price-sensitive customers, and that a subscription business can lose ground quietly through cancellations before it shows up in growth numbers.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 27.1Score: 67Market cap: $3.62T

Named by Adobe among its Digital Media competitors, Microsoft bundles document, design and video tools (Microsoft 365 with PDF editing, Designer, Clipchamp) into subscriptions bought by the same business professionals and consumers who buy Acrobat and Adobe Express.

P/E: 40.6Score: 65Market cap: $11.95B

DocuSign's e-signature and agreement-workflow subscriptions compete head-on with Adobe Acrobat Sign for the document business that generates Adobe's Acrobat revenue.

Canva Pty LtdNot tracked

Canva's browser-based design platform targets the same everyday creators, marketers and small businesses that Adobe serves with Express and the lighter end of Creative Cloud, and its template-driven approach competes for the same subscription spend.

Figma, Inc.FIG

Figma sells collaborative interface- and product-design tools to the same professional design teams Adobe courts with Photoshop, Illustrator and its discontinued XD, a rivalry Adobe itself acknowledged with an attempted $20 billion acquisition.

Salesforce, Inc.CRM

Listed by Adobe as a Digital Experience competitor, Salesforce sells Marketing Cloud, Data Cloud and Commerce Cloud to the same enterprise marketing departments that Adobe Experience Cloud, Marketo Engage and Adobe Commerce are sold to.

Corel Corporation (Alludo)Not tracked

Named by Adobe in its own competition disclosure, Corel offers CorelDRAW, Painter and Pinnacle Studio as lower-priced, often perpetual-licence alternatives to Illustrator, Photoshop and Premiere Pro for illustrators, photographers and video editors.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$25.20B

最近12个月(截至2026/5/29)

净利润

$7.23B

最近12个月(截至2026/5/29)

自由现金流

$9.85B

股东权益合计

$11.62B

负债合计

$17.87B

流动比率

0.75

利息覆盖率

34.83

债务/EBITDA

0.74

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$269.31

当前价格

$273.39

安全边际

-1.5%

公允价值区间

$179.79 - $358.83

估算方法

Analyst Target:$270.61
DCF:$367.28
PE-based:$164.44
Graham Growth:$407.94
EPV:$146.20
分析师共识:持有 (18B / 23H / 5S)
最近财报超预期:+0.36%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

15.81

ROE

61.3%

市净率(P/B)

9.53

P/FCF

10.68

毛利率

89.4%

ROIC

40.2%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

40.2%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

+28.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 15.70%
  • Price CAGR 10.34%
  • ROIC 40.2%
  • Gross Margin 89.4%
  • P/FCF 10.68
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 36.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 62.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.1%
  • PEG Ratio 1.68
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.45
  • Share Dilution -5.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(7)

  • P/B Ratio 9.53
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 28.7% vs 30.4%

不可用(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.45

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-5.1%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Shantanu NarayenChairman & CEO61
Ms. Adele Louise PentlandEVP of Legal & Government Relations, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary53
Mr. David WadhwaniPresident of Creativity & Productivity Business53
Dr. Anil S. ChakravarthyPresident of Customer Experience Orchestration Business57
Mr. Steven DayInterim CFO and Senior VP of Finance, Technology, Security & Operations57
Ms. Jillian ForuszSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller50
Mr. Douglas G. Clark C.F.A.Vice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Lara H. BalazsChief Marketing Officer & Executive Vice President of Global Marketing55
Ms. Gloria ChenChief People Officer & Executive VP of Employee Experience60
Mr. Shanmugh NatarajanMD of India & VP of Products-

审计风险

1

董事会风险

6

薪酬风险

10

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ADBE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 11d agoPOSITIVE
    Le azioni Adobe decollano: un possibile buyout di Workday potrebbe spingerle più in alto?

    Adobe Inc. shares have surged, reaching their highest point since June 2nd, marking a 42% increase from their annual low. This rally is fueled by persistent rumors of a potential acquisition of Workday Inc. Adobe's business has shown resilience despite broader investor concerns about the 'SaaSpocalypse'. The company, known for its creative software suite including Photoshop and Illustrator, had previously seen its stock plummet from a record high of $698 to a low of $190 earlier this year. The potential buyout speculation is driving significant investor interest and could signal a further upward trajectory for ADBE.

  • 7/21/2026NEGATIVE
    Adobe, Salesforce Downgrades Are Latest Show of AI Fears

    Wall Street analysts are increasingly recommending a sell on Adobe Inc. and Salesforce Inc. stock, driven by growing concerns over the potential impact of artificial intelligence on software companies. This sentiment shift, amplified by recent downgrades, suggests a re-evaluation of growth prospects for established software providers in an AI-driven landscape. Investors are advised to monitor how these companies adapt their business models and product offerings to integrate AI effectively, as failure to do so could lead to sustained pressure on their valuations.

  • 7/7/2026NEUTRAL
    Adobe’s stock is temptingly cheap. Should investors bite?

    Adobe Inc. is currently trading at a valuation that some analysts consider 'temptingly cheap,' sparking debate among investors regarding its future prospects. The company's stock has become a point of polarization due to ongoing questions surrounding its strategic positioning and competitive advantages within the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence landscape. While the current price may present a buying opportunity for some, the uncertainty surrounding its AI integration and market share could deter others. Investors are weighing the potential upside against the risks associated with technological disruption and competitive pressures in the creative software and AI sectors.

  • 7/2/2026POSITIVE
    This Adobe analyst is going against the grain by telling investors to buy the stock

    HSBC has upgraded Adobe Inc. to 'Buy' from 'Hold', setting a price target of $650. This contrarian view comes despite recent analyst concerns about the company's AI strategy and competitive pressures. The upgrade suggests HSBC sees significant untapped potential and undervaluation in Adobe's stock. Investors are likely to interpret this as a signal of potential upside, potentially driving increased buying interest and a positive re-evaluation of Adobe's market position and future growth prospects.

  • 6/19/2026NEGATIVE
    Citi resets Adobe stock price target

    Citi analyst Tyler Radke has revised his price target for Adobe, reducing it to $228 from $264. This adjustment follows Adobe's mixed earnings report, which has cast uncertainty over the software company's near-term growth prospects. Investors are closely watching for further clarification on Adobe's strategic direction and its ability to navigate the evolving market landscape, particularly concerning its AI integration and subscription revenue streams. The lowered target suggests a more cautious outlook from one of Wall Street's key observers.

  • 6/12/2026NEGATIVE
    Adobe’s CFO is departing for Marvell. And it’s one more reason for investors to choose chips over software.

    Adobe's Chief Financial Officer, Dan Durn, is departing the company to join Marvell Technology. This executive move comes as the software sector faces headwinds, with concerns about its ability to thrive in the AI era. Investors are increasingly favoring semiconductor companies, often referred to as 'picks and shovels' for the AI gold rush, over traditional software providers. This departure adds to existing investor sentiment that may weigh on Adobe's stock performance as it navigates a challenging market landscape and seeks new leadership.

via Markets Gazette