Allianz SE (ALIZF)
NEUTRAL基本面
65
价格
$510.00
市值
$195.01B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Allianz sells insurance and manages investments. Its Property-Casualty arm insures cars, homes and businesses against accidents and damage; its Life/Health arm sells savings and protection policies, often bundled with long-term investment products; and its Asset Management arm, which includes PIMCO, invests money for institutional and retail clients worldwide in exchange for a fee, largely independent of Allianz's own insurance results.
盈利方式
The insurance businesses collect premiums upfront and pay claims later, aiming for an underwriting profit and earning investment income on the funds held in between. The asset management business instead earns fees on the assets it manages for others, a stream of income that does not depend on Allianz's own underwriting results and grows or shrinks with market values and net client inflows.
分部营收
Insurance for cars, homes, businesses and other property and liability risks; the largest segment by business volume.
Savings, protection and health insurance policies, many with a long-term investment component tied to interest rates.
Fee-based investment management for institutional and retail clients, including through PIMCO; the smallest segment by revenue but a distinct, less capital-intensive business.
护城河
规模效应 · 狭窄A global brand, a large capital base and decades of claims data give Allianz pricing and distribution advantages that smaller insurers cannot match easily. But insurance is not a business with high switching costs for the customer, and Allianz competes against other large composite insurers with similar scale in most of its markets.
需求驱动因素
防御型Most insurance policies are renewed out of necessity — cars must be insured, mortgages often require it — so premium volumes hold up reasonably well through economic cycles. The asset management business is more cyclical, since fee income moves with the market value of the assets it manages.
主要风险
- Underwriting risk — The group's capital requirements under its Solvency II model are driven in significant part by underwriting risk — the chance that claims, whether from catastrophes or from life and health policies, come in higher than priced for.
- Market risk on invested assets — Premiums held to cover future claims and long-term life savings guarantees are invested in bonds, equities and other assets, so interest-rate and capital-market swings affect both investment income and the value of liabilities.
- Credit and counterparty risk — The group is exposed to the risk that bond issuers, reinsurers or other counterparties in its investment and reinsurance arrangements fail to meet their obligations, tracked as a distinct capital-requirement category.
看多理由
Buyers argue that a record operating profit and growth across all three segments show the diversified insurance-plus-asset-management model working, that scale gives Allianz pricing discipline smaller rivals cannot match, and that a fee-based asset management arm adds a stream of income that does not depend on underwriting results.
看空理由
Sellers fear that a large, long-duration life and health book leaves Allianz exposed to interest-rate swings over decades, that a run of severe natural catastrophes could push underwriting losses well above pricing assumptions, and that regulatory capital requirements under Solvency II could tighten in ways that constrain how the group deploys capital.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Europe's other full-line insurance group, selling property & casualty, life and health cover to retail and corporate customers in the same core markets of France, Germany, Italy and Asia.
Competes head-on for global corporate and commercial property & casualty programmes, the segment Allianz serves through Allianz Commercial, as well as for retail motor and home business in Europe.
Fights for the same life and property & casualty policyholders across continental Europe, above all in Italy, Germany and Central and Eastern Europe, through a comparable agent-led distribution network.
Through its ERGO primary-insurance arm it competes for the same German life, health and property customers Allianz depends on, while both groups also underwrite large industrial risks.
Rival underwriter of large commercial, specialty and high-net-worth property & casualty risks, bidding for the same multinational corporate accounts as Allianz Commercial.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$132.70B
截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算
净利润
$18.27B
截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算
自由现金流
$9.31B
股东权益合计
$73.70B
负债合计
$33.71B
流动比率
1.51
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
1.57
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$576.57
当前价格
$510.00
安全边际
+11.5%
公允价值区间
$374.77 - $778.37
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
10.59
ROE
19.6%
市净率(P/B)
2.94
P/FCF
20.95
毛利率
25.0%
ROIC
12.0%
盈利能力雷达图
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
12.0%
WACC
7.2%
ROIC − WACC
+4.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
基本面分析标准
通过(15)
- Price CAGR 12.16%
- ROIC 12.0%
- P/FCF 20.95
- P/B Ratio 2.94
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 5.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 28.1%
- Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.8%
- PEG Ratio 0.80
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.78
- Net Margin Trend 5.8% vs 5.5%
未通过(6)
- Gross Margin 25.0%
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y -5.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
不可用(6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-评分
存在严重财务隐患
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Oliver Bate | Chairman of the Management Board & CEO | 60 |
| Ms. Claire-Marie Thomas Coste-Lepoutre | CFO & Member of Management Board | 50 |
| Dr. Gunther Thallinger | Member of the Management Board | 53 |
| Dr. Klaus-Peter Rohler | Member of the Management Board | 61 |
| Madam Renate Wagner | Member of the Management Board | 49 |
| Mr. Christopher George Townsend | Member of the Management Board | 57 |
| Dr. Barbara Karuth-Zelle Ph.D. | COO & Member of the Management Board | 55 |
| Dr. Andreas Georg Wimmer | Member of the Management Board | 51 |
| Ms. Sirma Gencheva Boshnakova | Member of the Management Board | 54 |
| Euler Hermes | Member of the Management Board | - |
审计风险
9
董事会风险
3
薪酬风险
3
股东权利风险
1
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
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Latest News
Recent headlines for ALIZF, sourced from Markets Gazette.