The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)
NEUTRAL基本面
61
价格
$113.57
市值
$5.57B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
The Cheesecake Factory owns and operates full-service, sit-down restaurants under several brands, plus a bakery that supplies desserts to its own restaurants and to outside licensees and retailers. Its flagship chain, known for an unusually large menu and dozens of cheesecake varieties, remains the core of the business, while brands acquired from Fox Restaurant Concepts in 2019 — North Italia, Flower Child and about a dozen smaller concepts — give it several growth engines beyond the original one.
盈利方式
Almost all revenue comes from food and beverages sold at company-operated restaurants, recognised when the meal is served, plus a smaller stream from wholesale bakery sales and royalties on the roughly 30 restaurants run abroad by international licensees. Because restaurants are large, full-service and staff-intensive, profitability depends heavily on managing labour and food-ingredient costs, which move independently of the menu prices the company can charge.
分部营收
The flagship chain, with the highest average unit volume of any major U.S. restaurant brand thanks to a very large menu and dessert selection.
Flower Child fast-casual restaurants, Grand Lux Cafe and Social Monk, the wholesale bakery division, and royalties from international licensees.
Other Fox Restaurant Concepts brands such as Culinary Dropout, The Henry and Zinburger, acquired in 2019 to diversify beyond the core Cheesecake Factory brand.
An upscale Italian-inspired restaurant chain acquired with Fox Restaurant Concepts, one of the company's fastest-growing brands by new openings.
护城河
品牌 · 狭窄The Cheesecake Factory brand generates the highest average unit volume of any major U.S. restaurant chain — roughly $12.5 million per restaurant, well above casual-dining peers such as Maggiano's or Yard House — because its size and menu breadth draw consistent traffic. That advantage is tied to one mature brand, though, and does not automatically extend to the newer concepts the company has been adding.
需求驱动因素
周期性Full-service, sit-down dining is discretionary spending that households cut back on first when budgets tighten, so traffic and average check both feel the effect of a weaker economy. Growth increasingly comes from opening new restaurants across the brand portfolio rather than from more visits to existing ones, which ties results to real-estate availability and construction costs as much as to consumer demand.
主要风险
- Labor cost inflation — Labor expenses, including restaurant-level staff and bakery production, were 35.0% of revenue in fiscal 2025. Minimum wage increases, labor organizing and changes in employment law can push this cost higher.
- Commodity and supply chain cost volatility — Where commodities are not locked in by contract, their prices can swing significantly, and the company's reliance on fresh, perishable ingredients with rapid turnover makes it especially exposed to supply disruptions.
- Macroeconomic and geopolitical pressure on costs and demand — The company states that ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic events, including trade and tariff dynamics, could drive further wage and cost inflation, disrupt its supply chain, and shift consumer spending away from dining out.
看多理由
Buyers argue that The Cheesecake Factory's industry-leading average unit volumes and brand recognition support pricing power that smaller casual-dining chains lack, that faster-growing brands such as North Italia and Flower Child diversify the concept portfolio, and that steady new restaurant openings extend growth beyond the mature core brand.
看空理由
Sellers worry that labor and commodity cost inflation can compress restaurant-level margins faster than menu prices can be raised, that the flagship brand's unit growth has slowed as the concept matures, and that discretionary restaurant spending is among the first things households cut back in a downturn.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$3.88B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$179M
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$155M
股东权益合计
$436M
负债合计
$2.83B
流动比率
0.59
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
7.02
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$76.07
当前价格
$113.57
安全边际
-49.3%
公允价值区间
$59.89 - $92.25
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
31.14
ROE
34.0%
市净率(P/B)
10.99
P/FCF
27.64
毛利率
-
ROIC
6.3%
盈利能力雷达图
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
6.3%
WACC
7.5%
ROIC − WACC
-1.3 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
基本面分析标准
通过(16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 8.05%
- Price CAGR 6.59%
- ROIC 6.2%
- P/FCF 27.64
- Operating Margin 5.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 38.8%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 13.6%
- Earnings Surprise avg 7.8%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.98
- Share Dilution -1.0%
- Net Margin Trend 4.6% vs 4.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
未通过(8)
- P/B Ratio 10.99
- Debt/Equity ratio
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 33% Buy
不可用(4)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-评分
信号混杂:部分领域需关注
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. David M. Overton | Founder, Chairman & CEO | 79 |
| Mr. David M. Gordon | President | 60 |
| Mr. Matthew Eliot Clark | Executive VP & CFO | 55 |
| Ms. Scarlett A. May J.D. | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 59 |
| Ms. Ashley W. Hanscom | VP, Principal Accounting Officer & Controller | 47 |
| Mr. Etienne Marcus | Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Cheryl M. Slomann | Senior Vice President of Finance & Compliance | 59 |
| Mr. Donald Evans | Chief Marketing Officer & Senior VP | - |
| Ms. Dina R. Barmasse-Gray | Senior Vice President of Human Resources | - |
| Mr. Spero G. Alex | Executive Vice President of Operations - The Cheesecake Factory Restaurants | 61 |
审计风险
6
董事会风险
5
薪酬风险
3
股东权利风险
6
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
Latest News
Recent headlines for CAKE, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 7/20/2026POSITIVEPancakeSwap Releases ERC-8183 AI Settlement Agent As DeFi Automation Gets More Serious
Decentralized exchange aggregator PancakeSwap has launched its ERC-8183 AI Settlement Agent, a significant step towards automating Decentralized Finance (DeFi) operations. This new agent aims to streamline transaction settlements and enhance efficiency within the DeFi ecosystem. The development is expected to attract more institutional and retail users seeking advanced automation tools, potentially increasing trading volume and utility for the CAKE token. Investors may see this as a positive catalyst for PancakeSwap's growth and adoption in the competitive DeFi landscape.
- 5/14/2026POSITIVEAnalysts say this restaurant chain has figured out how to feed everyone — GLP-1 users included
J.P. Morgan has upgraded The Cheesecake Factory's stock, citing the company's perceived ability to navigate the evolving consumer landscape, including the impact of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs. While the broader restaurant industry faces anxieties from these drugs and cautious consumer spending, analysts believe Cheesecake Factory has found a strategic advantage. This upgrade suggests that the company's business model and customer base may be more resilient or adaptable than competitors, potentially leading to improved financial performance and investor sentiment.
- 3/5/2026NEGATIVEA Cheesecake Factory VP Sold Shares Worth $316,000. Is the Stock a Buy or Sell?
A Vice President at The Cheesecake Factory Inc. sold shares worth $316,000. While insider sales can be driven by various personal factors, a sale of this magnitude can sometimes be interpreted by the market as a signal of caution regarding the stock's future prospects. The company, a full-service dining leader known for its signature desserts and multi-brand reach, recently filed documents highlighting this transaction. For investors, it's crucial to analyze the full context, including recent financial results and industry outlook, before drawing definitive conclusions about the sale's impact on the stock price.
via Markets Gazette