Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc (CCEP)
NEUTRAL基本面
60
价格
$109.90
市值
$47.70B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners does not make Coca-Cola's recipe or set its marketing; it is the independent bottler that turns concentrate supplied by The Coca-Cola Company into finished drinks and gets them onto shelves and into fridges across Europe, Australia, the Pacific and Indonesia. It owns the factories, trucks and delivery routes, negotiates with individual retailers, and also bottles some Coca-Cola-owned brands like Costa Coffee alongside sparkling and still drinks under long-term bottling agreements.
盈利方式
Revenue is unit case volume multiplied by price, shaped by which brands, package sizes and sales channels each case comes from: a can sold through a vending machine or a bar earns a different margin than a large bottle sold in a supermarket. CCEP owns the manufacturing, packaging and delivery, letting it capture wholesale and retail margin, but it pays for concentrate and shares brand investment with The Coca-Cola Company, so its own pricing and product decisions stay bounded by the bottling agreement.
分部营收
Bottling and distribution across most of Western and parts of Central Europe, CCEP's original and largest geography.
Bottling and distribution in Australia, the Pacific islands, the Philippines and Indonesia, added through mergers that turned CCEP from a European into a global bottler.
护城河
规模效应 · 狭窄Owning the region's densest bottling plants and delivery routes for Coca-Cola brands is expensive to replicate, and the long-term bottling agreements give CCEP exclusivity in its territories. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because it depends entirely on The Coca-Cola Company continuing to want CCEP as its bottler and on Coca-Cola brands themselves staying popular; CCEP has no control over the product's formulation or brand strategy.
需求驱动因素
防御型Soft drinks are a low-ticket, habitual purchase that people keep buying through recessions, which makes overall volume fairly steady. The more variable part is mix: consumers can trade down from premium packages or immediate-consumption channels like bars and vending toward cheaper large-format packs at the supermarket, which lowers average price even if volume holds up.
主要风险
- Dependence on The Coca-Cola Company — Nearly all of CCEP's revenue comes from Coca-Cola-branded products, and it is the sole supplier of the concentrates and syrups needed to make them. Any strategic shift or reputational problem at The Coca-Cola Company affects CCEP directly, and CCEP does not control marketing or product formulation.
- Bottling agreement is not owned outright — CCEP's right to bottle Coca-Cola products rests on long-term agreements rather than owning the brand; the terms of those agreements, including territory and product scope, are negotiated with and can be changed by The Coca-Cola Company.
- Input cost and currency exposure — As a manufacturer operating across many currencies, CCEP is exposed to swings in packaging, sugar and energy costs and to foreign-exchange movements between its many European, Australian and Indonesian markets.
看多理由
Buyers argue that owning the exclusive bottling rights for the world's leading soft-drink brand across a large, diversified set of markets provides steady, recession-resistant cash flow, and that continued mix shift toward premium packaging and immediate-consumption channels can keep growing revenue even where volume growth is modest.
看空理由
Sellers fear that a business this dependent on a single brand owner has little room to diversify away from decisions made in Atlanta, that rising health consciousness and sugar taxes could weigh on sparkling-drink volumes over time, and that input-cost inflation can compress margins in a business with limited pricing power of its own.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
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资产负债表与流动性
营收
$18.99B
截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算
净利润
$1.96B
截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算
自由现金流
$1.58B
股东权益合计
$9.64B
负债合计
$12.19B
流动比率
0.89
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
3.45
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$105.25
当前价格
$109.90
安全边际
-4.4%
公允价值区间
$88.21 - $122.30
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
24.80
ROE
23.5%
市净率(P/B)
5.90
P/FCF
30.13
毛利率
36.3%
ROIC
10.3%
盈利能力雷达图
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
10.3%
WACC
6.4%
ROIC − WACC
+4.0 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
基本面分析标准
通过(13)
- Price CAGR 13.15%
- ROIC 10.4%
- Gross Margin 36.3%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 12.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 24.8%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 9.4%
- Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.55
- Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs 6.9%
未通过(8)
- P/FCF 30.13
- P/B Ratio 5.90
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -0.1%
- PEG Ratio 2.11
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
不可用(6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-评分
存在严重财务隐患
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Damian Paul Gammell | CEO & Executive Director | 55 |
| Mr. Ed Walker | Chief Financial Officer | - |
| Ms. Francesca Faure | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Sarah Willett | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Svetlana Walker | General Counsel & Company Secretary | - |
| Ms. Veronique Vuillod | Chief People & Culture Officer | - |
| Mr. Stephen Clifford Moorhouse | Chief Customer Service & Supply Chain Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Leendert den Hollander | Chief Strategy Officer | 56 |
| Mr. Stephen Lusk | Chief Commercial Officer | - |
| Joe Franses | Vice President of Sustainability of CCEP | - |
审计风险
1
董事会风险
7
薪酬风险
4
股东权利风险
9
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
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Latest News
Recent headlines for CCEP, sourced from Markets Gazette.