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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW)

POSITIVE
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

基本面

63

价格

$151.82

市值

$16.55B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

C.H. Robinson arranges the movement of other companies' freight without owning any trucks, ships or planes itself. It matches shippers who need cargo moved with a network of independent carriers, handling booking, pricing, paperwork and tracking in between, and earns the spread between what it charges shippers and what it pays carriers. Most of its business is trucking within North America, with a smaller international ocean and air freight arm.

盈利方式

Revenue is the total price charged to shippers for arranging their freight, but profitability comes from the gross margin between that price and what C.H. Robinson pays the carrier — a spread that widens when trucking capacity is tight and narrows when there are more trucks chasing loads than freight to move. Because it owns no transportation assets, its costs scale with volume rather than with fixed fleet ownership, but its margins ride the freight market's boom-and-bust cycle.

分部营收

North American Surface Transportation71.7%

Truckload, less-than-truckload and intermodal freight brokerage across the United States, Canada and Mexico, the company's core business.

Global Forwarding19%

International ocean and air freight forwarding, including customs brokerage, for shippers moving goods across borders.

All Other Segments9.3%

Smaller businesses including produce sourcing and managed transportation services that fall outside the two core segments.

护城河

网络效应 · 狭窄

A large base of both shippers and carriers gives C.H. Robinson more freight to match and more capacity to draw on than a smaller broker, which can mean better pricing and reliability for both sides. The advantage is narrow because freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is increasingly contested by digital freight-matching platforms that compete on the same basic function.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Freight volumes move closely with industrial production, retail sales and global trade, so spot rates and margins compress in an economic downturn and expand when the economy and trade are strong. The business is a fairly direct read on broader economic activity rather than a source of steady, non-discretionary demand.

主要风险

  • Freight market cyclicality — Freight demand tends to move with industrial production, retail sales and global trade; volumes and spot rates fall in a downturn, compressing the spread the company earns between shipper and carrier pricing.
  • Dependence on third-party carriers — The company owns no trucks, ships or planes and relies on independent carriers for capacity; an inability to secure enough capacity can push customers toward competitors.
  • Technology disruption — Digital freight-matching platforms and automated routing tools can intensify competition and pressure the fees C.H. Robinson earns for the same brokerage function.
  • International and trade-policy exposure — The Global Forwarding business is exposed to shifts in trade policy, tariffs and geopolitical disruption to shipping routes, and the company recently exited its Europe Surface Transportation business, reflecting ongoing portfolio adjustments abroad.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的2%

The company states its largest customer accounted for approximately 2% of 2025 consolidated total revenues, out of roughly 75,000 customers served — an unusually low concentration for the industry.

看多理由

Buyers argue that an unusually diversified customer base, with no single client above roughly 2% of revenue, and a large carrier network give C.H. Robinson resilience and pricing flexibility that smaller brokers lack, positioning it to gain share as freight volumes recover.

看空理由

Sellers fear that freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is being reshaped by digital freight-matching technology that erodes the value of a traditional broker's network, while the business remains exposed to the full swing of the freight cycle.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$17.00B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$633M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$895M

股东权益合计

$1.85B

负债合计

$3.21B

流动比率

1.58

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.20

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

General case合理估值

公允价值

$162.72

当前价格

$151.82

安全边际

+6.7%

公允价值区间

$105.76 - $219.67

估算方法

Analyst price target:$199.84
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$225.52
Earnings multiple (P/E):$110.53
Graham growth formula:$88.72
Earnings power value (EPV):$56.38
Justified P/B:$86.83
Dividend discount (Gordon):$46.02
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$176.01
Revenue multiple:$393.79
分析师共识:买入 (23B / 8H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+3.54%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

27.42

ROE

31.8%

市净率(P/B)

10.31

P/FCF

25.10

毛利率

-

ROIC

18.3%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

18.3%

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

+9.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.44%
  • Price CAGR 6.82%
  • ROIC 18.3%
  • P/FCF 25.10
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 36.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
  • Share Dilution 0.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(7)

  • P/B Ratio 10.31
  • Operating Margin 4.9%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.0%
  • PEG Ratio 5.13

不可用(3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.08

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

0.7%

股份数量稳定

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. David P. BozemanPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Damon J. LeeChief Financial Officer47
Ms. Dorothy G. CapersChief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary63
Mr. Michael J. ShortPresident of Global Freight Forwarding55
Mr. Arun D. RajanChief Strategy & Innovation Officer56
Mr. Michael W. NeillChief Technology Officer53
Mr. Charles S. IvesSenior Director of Investor Relations53
Mr. Duncan BurnsChief Communications & Marketing Officer48
Ms. Angela K. FreemanChief Human Resources & ESG Officer57
Mr. Jordan T. KassPresident of Managed Services52

审计风险

1

董事会风险

3

薪酬风险

7

股东权利风险

8

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for CHRW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/14/2026POSITIVE
    The secrets of an unheralded AI success story

    Logistics giant C.H. Robinson has achieved a remarkable 45% productivity increase through the strategic deployment of AI agents, according to CEO Dave Bozeman. This significant operational improvement demonstrates a clear return on investment (ROI) from artificial intelligence initiatives within the company. The success highlights how AI can be effectively integrated into traditional industries like logistics to drive substantial efficiency gains, potentially setting a new benchmark for the sector and signaling strong future performance for C.H. Robinson.

  • 7/6/2026POSITIVE
    C.H. Robinson’s CEO is running his AI transformation on Lean principles: ‘It’s been a game-changer for this company’

    C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is implementing Lean principles to drive its AI transformation, a strategy described as a 'game-changer' by its CEO. This approach focuses on efficiency and continuous improvement, aiming to optimize processes and resource allocation within the company's artificial intelligence initiatives. By integrating Lean methodologies, C.H. Robinson seeks to enhance the effectiveness and speed of its AI development and deployment, potentially leading to significant operational advantages and competitive differentiation in the logistics sector. Investors may view this strategic focus on operational excellence within AI as a positive indicator for future growth and profitability.

via Markets Gazette