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Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesInsurance BrokersUnited States

基本面

68

价格

$260.89

市值

$13.85B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Erie Indemnity does not sell insurance policies itself. It manages the day-to-day operations — underwriting, claims handling, marketing, IT — for Erie Insurance Exchange, a separate policyholder-owned insurer that actually writes the auto, home and business coverage and carries the underwriting risk. Erie Indemnity is paid a fee for running the Exchange, not for the insurance itself.

盈利方式

The great majority of revenue is a management fee calculated as a percentage of the premiums the Exchange writes, capped at 25% and set each year by Erie Indemnity's own board. Because the fee is a share of premiums rather than of the Exchange's underwriting profit, Erie Indemnity's revenue does not depend on whether the Exchange's policies turn out to be profitable — only on how much premium the Exchange writes and on the fee rate the board chooses. A smaller stream reimburses the company for administrative services it also performs for the Exchange.

护城河

转换成本 · 宽阔

Erie Indemnity's relationship with the Exchange is set by a long-standing subscriber's agreement, not a contract that gets rebid: the Exchange has no practical way to replace its manager, and Erie Indemnity's own board sets the fee it earns. The advantage is structural rather than competitive — it does not depend on out-competing a rival for the business.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Auto, home and business insurance are recurring necessities, so the premium base the management fee is calculated on tends to grow steadily rather than swing with the economic cycle. The main variable is not consumer demand but the fee rate the board sets each year and how much premium growth the Exchange achieves.

主要风险

  • Dependence on one client — Management fees from the Exchange are the company's principal source of revenue. A reduction in the fee rate, or a significant drop in the premiums the Exchange writes, would directly hurt revenue and profitability.
  • Fee rate set at the board's discretion — The management fee rate, while capped at 25%, is set each year by Erie Indemnity's board and can be changed. A lower rate in a future year would reduce revenue even if the Exchange's premium volume keeps growing.
  • No control over underwriting outcomes — Erie Indemnity manages underwriting and claims for the Exchange but does not own the underwriting risk itself; a period of poor claims experience at the Exchange can still pressure the relationship and future fee-setting decisions even though it does not directly hit Erie Indemnity's own balance sheet.

看多理由

Buyers argue that a fee tied to premium volume rather than underwriting profit gives Erie Indemnity a more stable, capital-light revenue stream than a traditional insurer, that the structural relationship with the Exchange has no practical competitive threat, and that steady growth in the Exchange's premiums supports steady growth in fee revenue.

看空理由

Sellers fear that revenue depends entirely on a single counterparty and on a fee rate the company's own board could choose to lower, that Erie Indemnity has essentially no other business to fall back on, and that its fortunes are tied to how well the Exchange manages a book of insurance risk it does not directly control.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$4.12B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$577M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$571M

股东权益合计

$2.28B

负债合计

$1.07B

流动比率

1.25

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.00

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$227.48

当前价格

$260.89

安全边际

-14.7%

公允价值区间

$147.86 - $307.10

估算方法

Analyst Target:-
DCF:-
PE-based:$204.72
Graham Growth:$398.96
EPV:$124.27
分析师共识:强力买入 (6B / 2H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+0.19%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

20.96

ROE

24.5%

市净率(P/B)

5.03

P/FCF

22.43

毛利率

-

ROIC

22.5%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.5%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.5 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • Price CAGR 8.95%
  • ROIC 22.5%
  • P/FCF 22.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 24.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.28
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.21

未通过(6)

  • P/B Ratio 5.03
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -7.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.0% vs 15.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

不可用(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

3/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.21

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Timothy Gerard NeCastro C.I.C., CPAPresident & CEO65
Ms. Julie Marie Pelkowski CPAExecutive VP & CFO55
Mr. Parthasarathy SrinivasaExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer53
Mr. Brian William Bolash Esq.Executive VP, Corporate Secretary & General Counsel59
Mr. Douglas Edward Smith C.P.C.U., FCAS, MAAAExecutive Vice President of Sales & Products51
Mr. Bill MatrogranVice President of Construction Management & Operations-
Mr. Ronald Steven Habursky C.F.A.Senior VP & Chief Investment Officer-
Mr. Scott W. BeilharzVice President of Capital Management & Investor Relations-
Mr. Charles Michael Fletcher C.I.C.Senior Vice President of Sales & Marketing-
Mr. Sean David Dugan AU, C.I.C., C.P.C.U.Executive VP of Human Resources & Corporate Services56

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ERIE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    Erie Indemnity has announced the release of its Q4 2025 earnings transcript. While this is a routine event for publicly traded companies, the current lack of specific content means investors are still awaiting crucial information. The analysis of these details is vital for assessing the insurance company's financial performance and anticipating any potential impact on its stock value. Market participants will closely monitor the full release to identify growth trends, profit margins, and future outlooks that could influence investment decisions, keeping the stock in a holding pattern.

via Markets Gazette