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Evolution AB (publ) (EVGGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalGamblingSweden

基本面

58

价格

$839.00

市值

$155.01B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Evolution supplies live-dealer casino games and computer-generated (RNG) casino games to online gambling operators around the world, rather than running its own casino or taking bets from consumers directly. It builds and staffs television-style studios where real dealers run roulette, blackjack and game-show-style formats streamed live to players on partner websites, and separately develops slot-style games generated entirely by software. Its customers are the licensed gambling operators who put Evolution's games on their own platforms.

盈利方式

Evolution is paid a share of the betting revenue its games generate for the gambling operators that license them — a business-to-business model with no direct consumer transactions or marketing spend of its own. Most of that revenue still comes from live-dealer games, the format the company pioneered and where its studio scale is hardest to replicate; a smaller and growing share comes from RNG games following recent studio acquisitions. Full-year 2025 group revenue was essentially flat at €2.07 billion.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Running live-dealer studios profitably requires enough volume across many tables and languages to spread fixed costs like staffing, real estate and broadcast technology — a scale advantage the largest live-casino supplier holds over smaller rivals. It is not unassailable: RNG games face lower barriers to entry, and gambling operators can and do work with more than one games supplier at once.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Demand follows overall online gambling activity, which grows steadily with internet penetration and the legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets, but is less tied to the broader economic cycle than most consumer sectors since gambling spending persists in downturns. Regulatory swings in individual countries — new taxes, advertising limits or market restrictions — can move revenue faster than the economic cycle does.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Evolution's live-dealer studio scale and first-mover advantage are difficult for smaller suppliers to replicate, that legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets extends its growth runway, and that a business-to-business licensing model without direct consumer acquisition costs supports high margins.

看空理由

Sellers worry that 2025's roughly flat revenue points to a maturing core live-casino market in its largest regions, that regulatory tightening in individual European markets can remove revenue with little warning, and that RNG games face lower barriers to entry than the live-dealer format that built the company's lead.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$2.00B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$997M

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$915M

股东权益合计

$4.09B

负债合计

$90M

流动比率

2.04

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.07

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$791.37

当前价格

$839.00

安全边际

-6.0%

公允价值区间

$514.39 - $1068.35

估算方法

Analyst Target:$735.17
DCF:$378.85
PE-based:$639.34
Graham Growth:$3026.51
EPV:$61.98
分析师共识:持有 (5B / 8H / 12S)
最近财报超预期:-1.86%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

155.41

ROE

26.7%

市净率(P/B)

37.90

P/FCF

169.34

毛利率

100.0%

ROIC

22.3%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.3%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(12)

  • Price CAGR 30.74%
  • ROIC 22.3%
  • Gross Margin 100.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 58.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.4%
  • PEG Ratio 0.44
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23

未通过(9)

  • P/FCF 169.34
  • P/B Ratio 37.90
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 20% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 51.4% vs 60.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.23

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Jens von BahrCo-Founder, Chairman & President54
Mr. Martin CarlesundGroup Chief Executive Officer55
Mr. Fredrik ÖsterbergCo-Founder & Director55
Mr. Joakim AnderssonChief Financial Officer51
Amy RichesHead of Marketing-
Ms. Louise Wivén-NilssonChief Human Resources Officer53
Mr. Todd HaushalterChief Product Officer & Games Operations47

审计风险

8

董事会风险

3

薪酬风险

6

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for EVGGF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for EVGGF.