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H World Group Limited (HTHT)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalLodgingChina

基本面

71

价格

$37.82

市值

$116.86B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

H World operates and franchises hotels under brands spanning budget to upscale, mostly in China (HanTing, Ibis, Orange, Joya) and, since acquiring Deutsche Hospitality, in Europe under Steigenberger and related names. Rather than owning most of its properties, the company signs manachise and franchise agreements: hotel owners fund the building, and H World supplies the brand, reservation system, training and standards in exchange for fees. It runs one of China's largest hotel networks by room count.

盈利方式

Most rooms — 93% as of early 2026 — operate under the manachised and franchised model, where H World earns a fee based on a percentage of the franchisee's hotel revenue plus system and reservation charges, rather than paying for the building or the staff. That asset-light structure means franchise fee income grew faster than the company's overall revenue and now supplies most of its gross operating profit. A small remaining share of hotels is leased and directly operated, carrying real estate costs the franchised hotels do not.

分部营收

Legacy-Huazhu81%

The original China hotel business — HanTing, Ibis, Orange and other brands — operated mostly through manachise and franchise agreements.

Legacy-DH19%

Deutsche Hospitality's European hotels under Steigenberger and related brands, acquired to extend the group beyond China.

护城河

品牌 · 狭窄

A large membership loyalty program and a portfolio of recognized brands make H World hotels a default choice for repeat domestic travelers, and its scale gives it purchasing and system advantages a small independent hotel cannot match. Chinese hotel groups like Jinjiang and BTG offer similar loyalty programs and comparable scale, so the advantage is real but not unique.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Hotel demand tracks business and leisure travel, both of which contract sharply when the economy weakens or when travel restrictions return, as seen during the pandemic. The manachise model shifts some of that risk onto hotel owners rather than H World directly, but franchise fee income still falls when the hotels themselves see fewer bookings.

主要风险

  • VIE structure and Chinese regulatory risk — H World's structure relies on contractual arrangements rather than direct ownership of some China operations; a change in how Chinese authorities treat this structure could affect its validity or the company's control.
  • Cross-border data regulation — Hotel reservations involve cross-border data transfers subject to Chinese cybersecurity and data security approval requirements that could tighten or change with little notice.
  • US listing and audit access risk — Tensions over US regulators' access to audit work on China-based companies, and broader US-China friction, could affect the company's ability to remain listed on a US exchange.
  • Reliance on franchisees to protect the brand — With 93% of rooms now manachised or franchised, service quality and brand standards depend on independent hotel owners H World does not directly control.

看多理由

Buyers argue that the asset-light manachise model lets H World grow its hotel network and franchise fee income without funding real estate itself, and that a leading loyalty program and multi-brand portfolio in China's large domestic travel market support pricing power over time.

看空理由

Sellers fear that regulatory shifts around the VIE structure, cross-border data rules or US listing access could disrupt the business with little warning, and that ceding day-to-day control to thousands of franchisees makes consistent brand quality harder to guarantee as the network grows.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$25.91B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$5.00B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$7.37B

股东权益合计

$16.02B

负债合计

$34.23B

流动比率

1.21

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

3.85

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$36.08

当前价格

$37.82

安全边际

-4.8%

公允价值区间

$23.45 - $48.71

估算方法

Analyst Target:$47.62
DCF:$51.90
PE-based:$16.04
Graham Growth:$17.91
EPV:$20.76
分析师共识:强力买入 (20B / 1H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+836.93%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

34.55

ROE

38.1%

市净率(P/B)

7.29

P/FCF

15.85

毛利率

41.0%

ROIC

13.0%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.0%

WACC

6.9%

ROIC − WACC

+6.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(14)

  • ROIC 13.0%
  • Gross Margin 41.0%
  • P/FCF 15.85
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 40.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 95% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 207.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.73
  • Net Margin Trend 20.1% vs 12.8%

未通过(4)

  • Price CAGR 1.16%
  • P/B Ratio 7.29
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.73

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Qi JiFounder & Executive Chairman58
Mr. Hui JinChief Executive Officer47
Ms. Xinxin LiuPresident46
Mr. Junrui YuChief Financial Officer44
Mr. Dong LiChief Accounting Officer & Deputy CFO-
Ms. Ivy LuoHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Yao ChenCompany Secretary & Director of Legal Affairs-
Ms. Fei YeDeputy CFO & VP of Strategic Investment and Capital Market-
Ms. Jihong HeChief Strategy Officer53
Yu IdaSenior Manager of Investor Relations-

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for HTHT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/15/2026NEUTRAL
    H World Group Reports Q1 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript

    H World Group Limited has released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook, it does not contain specific financial figures or forward-looking statements that would indicate a significant immediate impact on the stock price. Investors should review the transcript for qualitative information regarding operational efficiency, market positioning, and management's commentary on industry trends.

via Markets Gazette