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IRPC Public Company Limited (IRPSY)

POSITIVE
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingThailand

基本面

68

价格

$2.42

市值

$51.43B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

IRPC refines crude oil into fuels and turns some of that output into petrochemicals, at an integrated site in Thailand that is the country's second-largest refinery, with capacity of about 215,000 barrels a day. It also sells lubricants, asphalt and plastics such as polyethylene and polypropylene. The company is majority-linked to Thailand's national oil company PTT, which owns roughly 45% of it and supplies its crude oil.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling refined fuels, petrochemicals and related products at market prices, so profit depends on the spread between the cost of crude oil and the price of what comes out the other end — a margin that swings with global oil and petrochemical markets rather than being set by the company. PTT supplies essentially all of its crude, but at market price rather than at a discount, so ownership does not translate into a lower input cost.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

IRPC buys its main input, crude oil, at market price even from its own parent company, and sells fuels and basic petrochemicals that are largely undifferentiated commodities priced on global markets. Being Thailand's second-largest refiner gives it local scale, but not a cost or pricing advantage over other refiners exposed to the same crude and product prices.

需求驱动因素

周期性

As a refiner and petrochemical producer, results move with global crude oil prices and refining margins, which swing with the broader economy, energy demand and regional refining capacity — not with any steady, non-discretionary consumption pattern.

看多理由

Buyers argue that being tied to PTT, Thailand's national oil company and a roughly 45% owner, gives IRPC funding support and credit-rating uplift in stressed periods, and that its position as the country's second-largest, fully integrated refining-and-petrochemical complex is not easily replicated.

看空理由

Sellers fear that buying crude at market price even from its own parent leaves IRPC with no cost advantage, that refining and petrochemical margins are set by volatile global markets outside its control, and that a commodity business with no pricing power offers little protection when those margins compress.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

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资产负债表与流动性

营收

$283.23B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$5.52B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$20.46B

股东权益合计

$76.40B

负债合计

$67.55B

流动比率

1.36

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.77

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被低估

公允价值

$5.93

当前价格

$2.42

安全边际

+59.2%

公允价值区间

$3.86 - $8.01

估算方法

Analyst Target:$2.03
DCF:$11.69
PE-based:$6.69
Graham Growth:$8.47
EPV:$2.36
分析师共识:卖出 (2B / 5H / 12S)
最近财报超预期:+8.21%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

9.32

ROE

14.8%

市净率(P/B)

0.70

P/FCF

2.51

毛利率

5.8%

ROIC

4.9%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.9%

WACC

5.9%

ROIC − WACC

-1.0 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

基本面分析标准

通过(12)

  • P/FCF 2.51
  • P/B Ratio 0.70
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 8.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 37.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -1.3% vs -1.6%

未通过(7)

  • Price CAGR -7.06%
  • ROIC 4.9%
  • Gross Margin 5.8%
  • Operating Margin 3.0%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Analyst Consensus 11% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Terdkiat PrommoolPresident, CEO, Secretary & Director58
Ms. Torsang ChaipravatSenior EVP of Corporate Accounting & Finance49
Mr. Lersak ThongruangSenior Executive Vice President of Operation58
Ms. Wanida UtaisomnapaSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Commercial & Marketing59
Mr. Kraisit AnukoolutaiwongExecutive VP of Corporate People & Organization Effectiveness63
Mr. Thammasak PanyowatkoolExecutive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness58
Mr. Rathapol UnakanpornExecutive VP of Infrastructure Logistics & Operation Excellence62
Mr. Pranarch KosayanontSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy Planning & Business Development58
Mr. Poramet JunwichitSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness60
Mr. Apichit WongpanitActing Senior Executive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness and Digital-

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

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