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LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalAuto PartsUnited States

基本面

62

价格

$25.55

市值

$6.52B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

LKQ collects, recycles and distributes vehicle parts — recycled parts pulled from salvaged cars, aftermarket parts made by third parties as OEM alternatives, and specialty equipment like truck accessories — to body shops, mechanics and retailers. Its scale as a buyer of salvage vehicles and a distributor with a dense network of warehouses lets it offer body shops a cheaper, faster alternative to ordering new parts directly from carmakers.

盈利方式

LKQ buys wrecked and end-of-life vehicles, strips them for reusable parts, and sells those parts alongside aftermarket components through its distribution network, earning a margin on each part sold. Demand for its lower-cost parts rises when insurers push to keep collision-repair costs down, since many will not pay for a new original part when a cheaper recycled or aftermarket equivalent is available.

分部营收

Europe46.2%

Distribution of mechanical and collision aftermarket parts across several European countries, LKQ's largest segment by revenue.

North America (Wholesale)41.4%

Recycled, aftermarket and refurbished collision parts sold to U.S. and Canadian body shops, LKQ's original core business.

Specialty12.4%

Aftermarket accessories and equipment for recreational vehicles, trucks and off-road vehicles, a segment the company has said it is exploring selling.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Being the largest buyer at salvage auctions and running the densest distribution network for alternative parts lets LKQ source and deliver more cheaply than smaller rivals, and gives insurers confidence to route repair work its way. The advantage is narrow because the market for alternative parts remains fragmented and carmakers actively contest LKQ's right to sell some parts at all.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Demand tracks the number of vehicle collisions and how many miles people drive, which softens in a weak economy as driving falls, but has a floor because cars keep needing repair regardless of new-vehicle sales. Growing use of driver-assistance technology, which reduces accident rates over time, is a separate, longer-running headwind on volume.

主要风险

  • Insurance industry practices — LKQ's volumes depend heavily on insurers continuing to specify or approve alternative parts in claims; a shift back toward preferring new original parts would reduce demand.
  • OEM and intellectual property restrictions — Carmakers and regulators can restrict the sale or import of certain aftermarket or salvage parts through intellectual property or import enforcement, narrowing what LKQ is allowed to sell.
  • Portfolio restructuring execution — The company has already sold its Self Service segment and is exploring a sale of Specialty; executing these divestitures while keeping the remaining business running smoothly carries operational and financial risk.
  • Falling accident rates from safety technology — Wider adoption of driver-assistance and collision-avoidance features in newer vehicles reduces the frequency of accidents over time, a structural drag on the volume of collision repair work.

客户集中度

LKQ sells to a large, fragmented base of independent and franchised body shops; the company does not disclose a top-customer figure, but insurers exert outsized influence by steering repair work toward alternative parts.

看多理由

Buyers argue that LKQ's unmatched scale in sourcing and distributing alternative parts gives it a durable cost edge that smaller rivals cannot match, and that simplifying the portfolio by exiting Self Service and possibly Specialty will sharpen focus and margins on the core wholesale business.

看空理由

Sellers fear that structurally falling accident rates from safer vehicles are shrinking the pool of repair work LKQ competes for, and that ongoing legal and regulatory pressure over alternative parts could narrow what the company is allowed to sell.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$13.69B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$461M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$847M

股东权益合计

$6.54B

负债合计

$8.58B

流动比率

1.58

利息覆盖率

4.00

债务/EBITDA

3.77

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$32.45

当前价格

$25.55

安全边际

+21.3%

公允价值区间

$21.09 - $43.81

估算方法

Analyst Target:$32.50
DCF:$76.40
PE-based:$12.81
Graham Growth:$21.04
EPV:$29.31
分析师共识:强力买入 (11B / 4H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-6.85%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

14.46

ROE

9.3%

市净率(P/B)

1.01

P/FCF

10.42

毛利率

38.3%

ROIC

5.9%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.9%

WACC

6.5%

ROIC − WACC

-0.6 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

基本面分析标准

通过(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.29%
  • ROIC 5.9%
  • Gross Margin 38.3%
  • P/FCF 10.42
  • P/B Ratio 1.01
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
  • Share Dilution -2.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(9)

  • Price CAGR -1.72%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 7.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -2.4%
  • PEG Ratio 5.67
  • Net Margin Trend 3.4% vs 5.4%

不可用(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.79

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-2.2%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Justin L. JudePresident, CEO & Director50
Mr. Rick GallowaySenior VP & CFO46
Mr. Matthew J. McKaySenior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary47
Mr. Andy HamiltonSenior VP and President & MD of LKQ Europe50
Mr. John R. MeyneSenior VP & President of Wholesale North America64
Mr. Michael S. ClarkSenior Vice President of Policy & Administration50
Mr. Joseph P. BoutrossVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Genevieve L. DombrowskiSenior Vice President of Human Resources48
Mr. Walter P. HanleySenior Vice President of Business Development & Strategy59
Mr. Yanik CantieniChief Financial Officer of LKQ Europe-

审计风险

3

董事会风险

1

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for LKQ, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/6/2026NEGATIVE
    Kettle Hill Dumps 777,000 LKQ Shares Worth $23.4 Million

    Kettle Hill Capital Management has divested 777,000 shares of LKQ Corporation, a significant sale valued at approximately $23.4 million. This substantial sell-off by a major shareholder suggests a potential loss of confidence or a strategic shift by Kettle Hill. LKQ, a global distributor of automotive replacement parts, faces scrutiny following this large transaction. Investors will be watching for any official statements from LKQ or Kettle Hill to understand the rationale behind the divestment, which could impact the stock's short-term performance.

via Markets Gazette