Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
POSITIVE基本面
72
价格
$1238.09
市值
$1.12T
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Eli Lilly discovers, develops and sells prescription medicines, concentrating on diabetes and obesity, oncology, immunology and neuroscience. Its current growth is dominated by tirzepatide, the molecule sold as Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for weight loss, which together now account for more than half of company revenue. Drugs reach patients through wholesalers, pharmacies and, increasingly, direct-to-consumer channels for the weight-loss franchise.
盈利方式
Revenue comes almost entirely from selling patented medicines at prices that reflect years of research and clinical-trial spending rather than manufacturing cost. A drug protected by patent can be priced with little direct competition; once patents expire, generic or biosimilar versions typically cut that product's sales sharply within a few years, which is why the pipeline behind today's bestsellers matters as much as the bestsellers themselves.
分部营收
Tirzepatide sold for type 2 diabetes, the single largest product and the fastest-growing major one in 2025.
The rest of the portfolio across diabetes, oncology, immunology and neuroscience, none individually broken out in the annual results.
The same molecule, tirzepatide, sold for chronic weight management — a newer indication already generating more than a fifth of total revenue.
A breast-cancer treatment and the largest product outside the tirzepatide franchise.
护城河
专利与许可 · 宽阔Patents on approved molecules give Lilly years of protection from direct competition, and the regulatory approval process itself is a barrier few companies can clear. The tirzepatide franchise adds a manufacturing edge too: building the capacity to produce injectable GLP-1 drugs at this scale takes years, which is currently limiting how fast even a well-funded rival like Novo Nordisk can respond.
需求驱动因素
防御型Most of the portfolio treats chronic conditions — diabetes, cancer, autoimmune disease — that patients keep treating regardless of the economic cycle. The newer weight-loss business is more exposed to household budgets since much of it is paid out of pocket or with limited insurance coverage, but it still sits on top of an otherwise defensive base.
主要风险
- Patent expiration and biosimilar competition — The company identifies the loss of intellectual-property protection on key products, and the entry of generic or biosimilar competitors once patents expire, as a risk to future revenue.
- Government and payer pricing pressure — Continued pricing pressure from governmental and private payers, including Medicare drug-price negotiation under U.S. law, affects pricing, reimbursement and patient access to Lilly's medicines.
- Concentration in a few products — The company depends on a relatively small number of products and a consolidated supply chain for a significant share of total revenue, so a manufacturing, safety or competitive setback for any one of them has an outsized effect.
看多理由
Buyers argue that the tirzepatide franchise still has years of volume growth ahead as obesity treatment expands globally, that manufacturing scale-up gives Lilly a lead over Novo Nordisk that is hard to close quickly, and that a broad pipeline beyond GLP-1 drugs reduces the company's dependence on any single therapeutic area.
看空理由
Sellers fear that more than half of revenue now rests on one molecule facing well-capitalized competition and looming price cuts from Novo Nordisk, that government price negotiation will keep compressing margins on older products, and that a business this concentrated in a handful of drugs is unusually exposed to a single clinical, manufacturing or pricing setback.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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资产负债表与流动性
营收
$79.67B
最近12个月（截至2026/6/30）
净利润
$26.71B
最近12个月（截至2026/6/30）
自由现金流
-
股东权益合计
$26.54B
负债合计
$85.94B
流动比率
1.35
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
1.32
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$1558.54
当前价格
$1238.09
安全边际
+20.6%
公允价值区间
$1051.34 - $2065.73
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率（P/E）
41.84
ROE
77.8%
市净率（P/B）
34.65
P/FCF
-
毛利率
83.4%
ROIC
-
盈利能力雷达图
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
7.7%
ROIC − WACC
-
基本面分析标准
通过（16）
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 32.81%
- Gross Margin 83.4%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 92.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 21.6%
- Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 24.8%
- PEG Ratio 1.56
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.05
- Share Dilution -0.6%
- Net Margin Trend 33.5% vs 25.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
未通过（4）
- P/B Ratio 34.65
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
不可用（7）
- ROIC NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-评分
财务状况强健
盈利质量
高质量：盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份，对股东友好
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. David A. Ricks | Chairman, President & CEO | 57 |
| Mr. Lucas E. Montarce | Executive VP & CFO | 48 |
| Dr. Daniel M. Skovronsky M.D., Ph.D. | Chief Scientific & Product Officer and President of Lilly Research Laboratories | 52 |
| Ms. Anat Hakim J.D. | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 56 |
| Mr. Jacob S. Van Naarden | Executive VP, President of Lilly Oncology & Head of Corporate Business Development | 40 |
| Mr. Donald A. Zakrowski | Senior VP of Finance & Chief Accounting Officer | - |
| Mr. Diogo Rau | Executive VP and Chief Information & Digital Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Michael Czapar | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Eric Dozier | Executive VP & Chief People Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Ilya Yuffa | Executive VP and President of Lilly USA & Global Customer Capabilities | 50 |
审计风险
8
董事会风险
5
薪酬风险
5
股东权利风险
9
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有：它帮助你在基本面说服你之后，选择何时买入。包含：技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
Latest News
Recent headlines for LLY, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 13d agoNEGATIVEEli Lilly is suing pharmacies and peptide vendors over early sales of the next big weight-loss drug: retatrutide
Eli Lilly and Company has initiated legal action against pharmacies and peptide vendors accused of prematurely selling compounded versions of its upcoming weight-loss drug, retatrutide. This move aims to protect the integrity of its intellectual property and ensure the drug's eventual regulated release. The lawsuit highlights the intense market anticipation for retatrutide, a drug poised to be a significant player in the lucrative obesity treatment market. For investors, while the legal action may create short-term noise, it underscores Lilly's commitment to safeguarding its pipeline and maximizing the commercial potential of its innovative therapies.
- 14d agoPOSITIVEEli Lilly Surges, Novo Nordisk Slips in Weight-Loss War
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) has reported a significant 48% surge in second-quarter revenue, reaching US$23 billion, driven by its blockbuster GLP-1 weight-loss and diabetes treatments. Sales of Mounjaro and Zepbound combined accounted for nearly 65% of total revenue, with Mounjaro alone seeing a 91% jump. The company has consequently raised its full-year revenue forecast to US$85-87 billion. This strong performance, coupled with a 7% stock increase in early trading, highlights Lilly's robust market position and growth potential in the highly competitive weight-loss drug sector, outperforming rivals like Novo Nordisk.
- 20d agoPOSITIVELilly’s revenue soars 48%, driven by demand for its GLP-1s
Eli Lilly and Company reported a remarkable 48% surge in revenue, significantly exceeding expectations. This growth was primarily fueled by robust demand for its GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which are indicated for Type 2 diabetes and weight loss respectively. The strong performance underscores the increasing market penetration and therapeutic success of Lilly's innovative treatments in high-demand areas. Investors will likely view this as a strong indicator of sustained future earnings growth and market leadership for the pharmaceutical giant.
- 21d agoPOSITIVEEli Lilly Ripe for Stock Split After Obesity Drug-Fueled Rally
Eli Lilly and Company's stock has surged past the $1,000 mark, driven by the sustained success of its weight-loss drugs over the last four years. This significant rally has led to speculation on Wall Street about the possibility of a stock split. A stock split, if enacted, would make the shares more accessible to a broader range of investors by lowering the per-share price, potentially increasing liquidity and demand. This development signals strong underlying business performance and positive future outlook for the pharmaceutical giant.
- 27d agoPOSITIVEInvestors are overlooking healthcare stocks and should consider these top picks, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analysts highlight healthcare stocks as an overlooked investment opportunity, naming Eli Lilly and Company as a top pick. The bank's analysis suggests that the sector's potential is not fully priced into current valuations. Eli Lilly, a major player in pharmaceuticals with a strong pipeline and recent product successes, is positioned to benefit from this favorable outlook. Investors seeking growth and stability may find healthcare stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals like Eli Lilly, an attractive addition to their portfolios.
- 27d agoNEUTRALOne of the market’s ‘most durable growth’ sectors has been passed over for AI, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analysts note that while the market's attention has shifted to Artificial Intelligence, the healthcare sector, particularly pharmaceuticals, remains a 'most durable growth' area. Eli Lilly, AbbVie, and Danaher Corporation are highlighted as top picks within this resilient sector. Despite the broader market's focus on AI, these companies represent established growth opportunities with strong fundamentals. Investors may find these healthcare giants attractive for their stability and long-term growth potential, even if they are currently overshadowed by the AI investment frenzy.
- 7/21/2026NEGATIVENovo Nordisk sues Eli Lilly over ads comparing GLP-1 medications
Novo Nordisk has filed a lawsuit against Eli Lilly, alleging that Lilly's advertisements for its GLP-1 medications fail to include the most current clinical data. This legal action introduces uncertainty and potential reputational risk for Eli Lilly, which could impact investor sentiment and its stock performance. The dispute centers on the accuracy and completeness of comparative drug information, a critical area in the highly competitive pharmaceutical market. Investors will be monitoring the legal proceedings closely for any potential financial or market share implications.
- 7/1/2026POSITIVEEli Lilly just placed a $40 million bet on the next injectable boom
Eli Lilly and Company, a leading GLP-1 maker, has invested $40 million in artificial intelligence to accelerate drug discovery and innovate in consumer medicine. This strategic investment underscores the company's commitment to leveraging cutting-edge technology to enhance its pipeline and market position. The focus on AI in drug discovery could lead to faster development cycles and the identification of novel therapeutic targets, potentially boosting future revenue streams and solidifying its leadership in the pharmaceutical sector. Investors may view this as a positive indicator of future growth and innovation.
via Markets Gazette