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NOV Inc. (NOV)

NEUTRAL
EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesUnited States

基本面

51

价格

$19.90

市值

$7.13B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

NOV designs, manufactures and services the equipment used to drill and produce oil and gas wells, from drill bits and drill pipe to complete land rigs and offshore production systems. It also rents tools and provides field services such as tubular inspection and solids control. A growing minority of its work — carbon capture equipment, offshore wind installation vessels, geothermal drilling tools — serves energy transition markets, though oil and gas activity still drives most of its revenue.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling and renting physical equipment and from services billed by the job, not from subscriptions. NOV recognizes revenue when equipment ships or a service is performed; large capital-equipment orders carry a backlog delivered over one to three years and often require customer down payments. About 66% of 2025 revenue came from outside the United States. Margins depend heavily on the volume of oil and gas drilling worldwide, since fixed manufacturing costs are spread over a swinging order book.

分部营收

Energy Equipment55.7%

Capital equipment for drilling and production — land rigs, offshore systems, fracturing and well-intervention equipment — sold under multi-year contracts, plus spare parts and repair for the installed base.

Energy Products and Services44.3%

Consumable and rented products for drilling and completion — drill bits, drill pipe, downhole tools — plus inspection, solids-control and digital services billed by the job.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

NOV competes with national, regional and foreign manufacturers across every product line, and states in its own filings that some rivals have greater financial and technical resources. Its business depends on winning individual contracts rather than on a durable structural advantage, and its scale in a fragmented industry offers no clear pricing power over well-funded competitors.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Demand tracks worldwide oil and gas drilling activity, which in turn follows oil and gas prices, capital budgets of exploration companies, and OPEC production decisions — all of which NOV says it cannot control. The industry has swung between shortage and oversupply repeatedly; a backlog of $4.34 billion in equipment orders can still be delayed or cancelled if customer economics deteriorate.

主要风险

  • Dependence on oil and gas drilling activity — NOV states that demand for its products and services depends primarily on the level of worldwide oil and gas drilling, which has historically been highly volatile and can swing sharply within a short period.
  • Revenue concentrated outside the United States — About 66% of 2025 revenue came from operations outside the United States, exposing NOV to political instability, sanctions, currency swings and expropriation risk in the many countries where it does business.
  • Fixed-price contract risk — NOV's capital-equipment backlog includes multi-year, fixed-price contracts. Cost overruns, supplier delays, tariffs or inflation in materials can erode margins on work already committed, and some customers cannot cancel for convenience but can still delay payment.
  • Supply chain and tariff exposure — The company depends on third-party vendors for raw materials and components; shortages, higher prices, shipping delays or new tariffs — including Section 232 steel tariffs — can raise costs or interrupt production.
  • Climate policy and sentiment pressure on oil and gas demand — Future laws restricting greenhouse gas emissions, carbon taxes, or negative investor and customer sentiment toward fossil fuels could reduce demand for oil and gas — and therefore for NOV's products — regardless of the company's own actions.

看多理由

Buyers argue that NOV's shift toward carbon capture, offshore wind and geothermal work diversifies it beyond oil and gas, that its $4.34 billion equipment backlog provides revenue visibility, and that consolidation among oilfield-equipment makers has left it with scale few competitors can match.

看空理由

Sellers fear that NOV's fortunes remain tied to volatile oil and gas capital spending it cannot influence, that intense competition from well-funded rivals limits its pricing power, and that fixed-price, multi-year contracts expose it to cost overruns if inflation or tariffs raise input costs faster than expected.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$8.69B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$91M

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$876M

股东权益合计

$6.27B

负债合计

$4.97B

流动比率

2.47

利息覆盖率

4.42

债务/EBITDA

2.76

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被低估

公允价值

$46.44

当前价格

$19.90

安全边际

+57.1%

公允价值区间

$30.18 - $62.69

估算方法

Analyst Target:$22.24
DCF:$146.73
PE-based:$4.65
Graham Growth:$4.40
EPV:$9.73
分析师共识:买入 (11B / 11H / 2S)
最近财报超预期:+86.30%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

79.04

ROE

2.3%

市净率(P/B)

1.14

P/FCF

9.66

毛利率

19.5%

ROIC

3.5%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.5%

WACC

8.2%

ROIC − WACC

-4.7 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

基本面分析标准

通过(11)

  • P/FCF 9.66
  • P/B Ratio 1.14
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 11.98
  • Share Dilution -6.3%

未通过(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -11.83%
  • Price CAGR -5.88%
  • ROIC 3.5%
  • Gross Margin 19.5%
  • Operating Margin 4.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 1.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 46% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -36.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 1.0% vs 6.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

4/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

11.98

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-6.3%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Jose A. BayardoPresident, CEO & Chairman53
Mr. Rodney C. ReedSenior VP & CFO44
Mr. Craig L. Weinstock J.D.Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary66
Mr. Joseph W. RovigPresident of Energy Equipment64
Ms. Christy H. NovakVP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer52
Mr. David ReidChief Marketing Officer & CTO-
Mr. Alex PhilipsChief Information Officer-
Ms. Bonnie HoustonChief Administrative Officer-
Amie D'AmbrosioDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Mike LoucaidesChief Health, Safety, Security & Environmental Officer-

审计风险

6

董事会风险

5

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

3

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for NOV, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/15/2026NEGATIVE
    Oil-Gear Maker NOV Cuts Earnings Guidance as Iran War Hikes Costs and Snarls Deliveries

    NOV Inc., a major US oilfield equipment manufacturer, has significantly lowered its first-quarter earnings forecast. The downward revision is attributed to escalating operational costs and disruptions in equipment delivery chains, directly impacted by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This development signals increased financial pressure on the company due to geopolitical instability and supply chain vulnerabilities, potentially affecting investor sentiment and future revenue projections.

via Markets Gazette