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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA)

POSITIVE
EnergyOil & Gas MidstreamUnited States

基本面

64

价格

$24.83

市值

$17.36B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Plains All American gathers, transports, stores and markets crude oil and natural gas liquids across the United States and Canada, mostly out of the Permian Basin in West Texas. It owns pipelines, storage terminals, rail and trucking assets that move oil from wellheads to refineries and export docks. It is structured as a master limited partnership, so unitholders receive its earnings mostly as large periodic cash distributions rather than through share buybacks or dividend growth in the ordinary sense.

盈利方式

Two very different revenue streams sit inside the same segments. Pipeline transportation earns a contracted fee per barrel moved, largely independent of the oil price. Alongside it, Plains buys crude oil from producers and resells it to refiners at close to market price — a business that books enormous revenue because it passes through the full commodity price, but keeps only a thin margin. That mix is why segment revenue figures look dominated by trading rather than by the pipeline economics that actually drive profit.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Building a new pipeline network across the Permian Basin requires billions of dollars, years of permitting and secured rights of way, so an established gathering system is hard to replicate quickly. But several large rivals have built competing pipelines out of the same basin, so the advantage protects Plains' existing footprint more than it keeps competitors from entering new corridors.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Pipeline volumes follow how much oil producers are pumping, which follows the price of oil — when producers cut drilling, less crude needs moving. Long-term contracts and minimum-volume commitments cushion the tariff business from quarter-to-quarter swings, but the marketing side is directly exposed to oil price moves, so overall results still rise and fall with the commodity cycle.

主要风险

  • Revenue concentrated in one customer — ExxonMobil accounted for 30% of 2024 revenue and the share has grown each of the prior two years; a change in that single relationship would move results materially.
  • Exposed to crude oil prices and drilling activity — Pipeline volumes and the marketing business both depend on how much crude producers extract and ship, which falls when oil prices or drilling economics weaken.
  • Concentrated in the Permian Basin — A large share of assets and growth sits in one producing region; a slowdown, infrastructure bottleneck or regulatory setback there affects the company more than a diversified peer.
  • Regulatory and permitting opposition — New pipeline capacity requires government permits and rights of way that face growing environmental and community opposition, which can delay or block projects the company is counting on.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的30%

In its 2024 fiscal year, ExxonMobil and its subsidiaries alone accounted for 30% of revenue, up from 26% in 2023 and 20% in 2022 — a concentration that has been rising, not falling.

看多理由

Buyers argue that long-term contracts and minimum-volume commitments make the tariff business more stable than the headline commodity exposure suggests, and that Permian production growth keeps filling a pipeline network that would cost billions to replicate.

看空理由

Sellers fear that a slowdown in Permian drilling would leave pipeline capacity underused, that a large share of revenue riding on one customer's decisions is a structural weakness, and that the thin margins on the commodity marketing side leave little room for error.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$52.31B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$2.77B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$2.29B

股东权益合计

$9.84B

负债合计

-

流动比率

1.12

利息覆盖率

2.59

债务/EBITDA

3.62

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$31.40

当前价格

$24.83

安全边际

+20.9%

公允价值区间

$20.41 - $42.39

估算方法

Analyst Target:$24.94
DCF:$84.16
PE-based:$18.06
Graham Growth:$19.05
EPV:$20.70
分析师共识:买入 (12B / 10H / 2S)
最近财报超预期:+12.95%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

14.45

ROE

11.8%

市净率(P/B)

-

P/FCF

7.42

毛利率

8.7%

ROIC

5.5%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.5%

WACC

7.0%

ROIC − WACC

-1.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • ROIC 5.6%
  • P/FCF 7.42
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
  • Net Margin Trend 5.3% vs 2.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(5)

  • Price CAGR -2.68%
  • Gross Margin 8.7%
  • Operating Margin 3.1%
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)

不可用(7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.08

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Wilfred C.W. ChiangPresident, CEO & Chairman of Plains All American GP LLC64
Mr. Al P. SwansonExecutive VP & CFO of Plains All American GP LLC61
Mr. Christopher R. ChandlerExecutive VP & COO of Plains All American GP LLC53
Mr. Richard Kelly McGeeExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary of Plains All American GP LLC64
Mr. Gregory L. ArmstrongSenior Advisor to the CEO & Director of Plains All American GP LLC67
Mr. Harry N. PefanisSenior Advisor to CEO & Director of Plains All American GP LLC68
Mr. Jeremy L. GoebelExecutive VP & Chief Commercial Officer of Plains All American GP LLC47
Mr. Chris HerboldSenior VP of Finance & Chief Accounting Officer of Plains All American GP LLC53
Mr. Blake Michael FernandezVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Scott SillSenior VP of Operations - Plains Midstream Canada Ulc - Plains All American Gp Llc-General Partner62

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for PAA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/8/2026POSITIVE
    Plains All American Banks On Oil Strength, Raises Profit Outlook

    Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) has raised its profit outlook, signaling strong confidence in its business performance and the prevailing oil market conditions. While Q1 2026 results showed a revenue beat at $12.47 billion, the EPS figure fell short of expectations. However, the company's decision to increase its profit forecast suggests that management anticipates robust operational execution and favorable commodity prices to more than offset any short-term earnings discrepancies. This forward-looking guidance is a key indicator for investors, pointing towards potential future value creation and stability.

  • 5/8/2026NEUTRAL
    Plains All American Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call

    Plains All American Pipeline is set to report its Q1 earnings on May 8th. Analysts project earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42 on revenue of $12.02 billion. Recent analyst ratings show a generally positive sentiment, with Raymond James maintaining an 'Outperform' rating in February 2022 and Bernstein upgrading the stock to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' in January 2022. While these ratings suggest a favorable outlook, the upcoming earnings report will be crucial for confirming investor expectations and potentially driving future stock performance. The market will be closely watching the company's financial results and forward guidance.

via Markets Gazette