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Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveGrocery StoresUnited States

基本面

66

价格

$85.71

市值

$8.03B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Sprouts Farmers Market runs a chain of specialty grocery stores built around fresh produce, natural and organic foods, and a distinctive small-format layout — roughly a third the size of a conventional supermarket. It targets health-conscious shoppers with a curated selection rather than trying to stock everything a full-size supermarket does, and has been expanding its store count and private-label range faster than most traditional grocery chains.

盈利方式

Sprouts earns money the way any grocer does: buying products at wholesale and selling them at retail, with margin coming from pricing, private-label products and store-level efficiency rather than from any subscription or service fee. Its Sprouts-branded private label made up just over a quarter of 2025 sales and typically carries a fatter margin than national brands, while organic products made up more than 30% of sales and over half of fresh produce.

护城河

品牌 · 狭窄

Sprouts differentiates with a curated, produce-forward format and private-label products that shoppers cannot buy at a conventional supermarket, which builds some loyalty among health-focused customers. The advantage stays narrow, though: Whole Foods, Trader Joe's and ordinary grocery chains are all expanding their own natural and organic sections, and grocery shopping habits are notoriously easy to split across multiple stores.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Grocery spending is close to the definition of non-discretionary — people keep buying food in a downturn — which makes Sprouts' revenue fairly resilient to the economic cycle. Growth is driven less by the cycle and more by how many new stores Sprouts opens and how much existing stores can grow sales per square foot as private-label and organic offerings expand.

主要风险

  • Heavy reliance on two distributors — KeHE supplied about 52% of Sprouts' purchases in fiscal 2025 and UNFI another 12%; losing either relationship, or a disruption at either distributor, would be difficult to replace on short notice.
  • Intense grocery competition — Whole Foods, Trader Joe's, Kroger and Walmart are all expanding natural and organic offerings, competing for the same health-conscious shoppers Sprouts targets, often with far greater buying power and lower prices.
  • Comparable sales could decelerate — Recent comparable store sales growth has been unusually strong; sustaining that pace as the store base matures and gets larger is harder than it was when Sprouts was a smaller, faster-growing chain.
  • Thin grocery margins amplify cost pressure — Grocery retail runs on thin margins, so food cost inflation, wage increases or a promotional response from larger competitors can compress profitability faster than in higher-margin businesses.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Sprouts' produce-forward, small-format concept is winning share from conventional supermarkets, that its growing private-label range lifts margins as it expands, and that double-digit comparable sales growth shows the format still has room to run.

看空理由

Sellers worry that grocery is a low-margin, easily contested business where larger rivals can match Sprouts' organic and natural offerings, that heavy reliance on two distributors for the bulk of its supply chain is a structural vulnerability, and that today's strong comparable sales growth will be hard to repeat as the chain matures.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$9.00B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/28)

净利润

$503M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/28)

自由现金流

$468M

股东权益合计

$1.40B

负债合计

$2.76B

流动比率

0.99

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.50

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被低估

公允价值

$125.49

当前价格

$85.71

安全边际

+31.7%

公允价值区间

$81.57 - $169.41

估算方法

Analyst Target:$94.64
DCF:$209.13
PE-based:$78.60
Graham Growth:$194.50
EPV:$69.60
分析师共识:买入 (13B / 8H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+1.08%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

16.47

ROE

37.3%

市净率(P/B)

5.35

P/FCF

22.51

毛利率

38.7%

ROIC

14.9%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

14.9%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

+8.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 15.67%
  • ROIC 14.9%
  • Gross Margin 38.7%
  • P/FCF 22.51
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 34.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.91
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.34
  • Share Dilution -2.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(7)

  • P/B Ratio 5.35
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.6% vs 5.8%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.34

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-2.8%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Jack L. SinclairCEO & Director64
Mr. Nicholas KonatPresident & COO47
Mr. Curtis ValentineChief Financial Officer45
Mr. James H. BahrenburgChief Technology Officer60
Mr. Stacy W. HilgendorfVP, Controller & Principal Accounting Officer55
Ms. Susannah LivingstonVice President of Investor Relations & Treasury-
Mr. Brandon F. Lombardi Esq., J.D.Chief Legal & Sustainability Officer and Corporate Secretary48
Ms. Timmi ZalatorisChief Human Resources Officer48
Mr. David M. McGlincheyChief Development Officer52
Ms. Kim CoffinSenior Vice President & Chief Forager56

审计风险

2

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

6

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for SFM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Is Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Going to $100?

    Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is experiencing a potential rebound after halving in price since the summer. The question of whether the stock can reach $100 is now a key focus for investors. While the journey has been volatile, the recent performance suggests a renewed confidence in the grocery retailer's business model. For investors, this presents an opportunity to assess whether the upward trajectory can be sustained by solid fundamentals or if it's a speculative bounce.

via Markets Gazette