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SJM Holdings Limited (SJMHF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosHong Kong

基本面

35

价格

$1.45

市值

$10.55B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

SJM Holdings operates casinos in Macau, the only place in China where casino gambling is legal, under one of just six gaming concessions the Macau government grants. Its flagship is the Grand Lisboa complex, alongside other self-run properties and, until their phased closure through 2025, a network of independently owned "satellite" casinos that operated under SJM's license in exchange for a share of revenue. Beyond gaming, it also runs hotels, restaurants and retail space attached to its casino properties.

盈利方式

Most revenue is gross gaming revenue — the amount players lose at the tables and slot machines, split between mass-market play and the smaller, lower-margin VIP baccarat segment — plus smaller amounts from hotel rooms, dining and retail. SJM has been shifting its mix toward mass-market and self-operated casinos and away from VIP and satellite arrangements, which historically carried a larger cut of revenue for its junket and satellite-casino partners. The company reported a net loss for 2025 as satellite-casino closures weighed on results.

护城河

专利与许可 · 狭窄

Macau limits casino gaming to six concessionaires, so SJM's license is a genuine barrier to new entrants — but that barrier is shared equally with five well-capitalized rivals, several of which operate newer, better-located resorts on the Cotai strip. SJM's own market share has been declining, down to 11.9% in 2025 from 13.1% a year earlier, suggesting the concession alone does not protect its competitive position.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Casino revenue follows tourism and disposable income in mainland China and the wider region, both of which swing with the broader Chinese economy and with government travel or currency-export policy toward Macau. Because fixed costs — casino floors, hotel staff, licensing fees — stay largely constant, a downturn in visitation compresses profit faster than it compresses revenue.

看多理由

Buyers argue that SJM's decades-old Macau concession and flagship Grand Lisboa property give it a protected position in a gaming market only six companies may operate in, and that its shift toward self-operated mass-market casinos should improve margins now that lower-margin satellite arrangements are being phased out.

看空理由

Sellers worry that SJM's market share has been shrinking against better-located rivals even as it posted a net loss in 2025, and that closing its satellite casino network removes revenue in the near term with no guarantee that self-operated growth will fully replace it.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$28.17B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$-430M

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$-955M

股东权益合计

$13.47B

负债合计

$30.28B

流动比率

0.27

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

10.39

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被低估

公允价值

$2.11

当前价格

$1.45

安全边际

+31.3%

公允价值区间

$2.00 - $2.21

估算方法

Analyst Target:$2.11
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$1.56
分析师共识:卖出 (1B / 9H / 10S)

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

-

ROE

-2.6%

市净率(P/B)

0.78

P/FCF

-

毛利率

56.6%

ROIC

1.6%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

1.6%

WACC

2.5%

ROIC − WACC

-0.9 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

基本面分析标准

通过(5)

  • Gross Margin 56.6%
  • P/B Ratio 0.78
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 48.9%

未通过(11)

  • Price CAGR -12.67%
  • ROIC 1.6%
  • Operating Margin 4.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -3.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 5% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend -1.5% vs 0.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(11)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Ms. On Kei LeongExecutive Co-Chairman64
Mr. Tsun Ting FokExecutive Co-Chairman79
Ms. Chiu Fung HoExecutive Chairman60
Mr. Hong Kuen ShumExecutive Director70
Dr. Un Chan ChanExecutive Director70
Mr. Sean Czoon TanChief Financial Officer46
Joseph TamAdministrative Manager of Finance & Accounts Department-
Mr. Jonathan Charles PyneChief Legal Counsel-
Dr. Shu Fai SoAdvisor74
Ms. Shuk Chong KwokCompany Secretary-

审计风险

5

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

8

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for SJMHF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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