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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsPaper & Paper ProductsUnited States

基本面

58

价格

$36.72

市值

$1.48B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Sylvamo, spun off from International Paper in 2021, manufactures uncoated freesheet paper — the kind used for copiers, printers and offset printing — plus market pulp, at seven mills in Brazil, France, Sweden and the U.S. It also manages roughly 250,000 acres of eucalyptus plantations in Brazil that feed its own mills. The products are largely commodities sold on price rather than brand.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling tons of paper and pulp at prices set by global supply and demand, not by the company. Because the product is largely a commodity, profitability depends on running mills close to full capacity and controlling input costs — wood fiber, chemicals, energy and transport — rather than on pricing power. Demand for the category has been shrinking for years as digital alternatives replace printed paper.

分部营收

North America52.3%

Imaging, commercial printing and converting papers from mills in South Carolina and New York, plus offtake volumes purchased from a former International Paper mill.

Latin America25.6%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from three integrated mills in Brazil, sold regionally and exported worldwide under brands including Chamex.

Europe22.1%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from integrated mills in France and Sweden.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

The company itself states that most of its products are commodities available from other producers, with competition based mainly on price rather than brand distinction. Brand recognition and service levels play a role, but do not amount to a durable pricing advantage over rival paper makers.

需求驱动因素

周期性

The company states that paper and pulp supply and demand are cyclical, tracking macroeconomic conditions and industry capacity, on top of a separate secular decline: global demand for uncoated freesheet paper fell at a 2.1% compound annual rate from 2019 to 2025 as digital communication and e-commerce replace print.

主要风险

  • Secular decline in paper demand — The company states that global demand for its core uncoated freesheet paper has been shrinking for years as email, e-billing and e-commerce replace print, and expects the decline to continue.
  • Commodity pricing and industry cyclicality — Prices for paper and pulp are set by global supply and demand rather than by the company, and industry overcapacity can prolong periods of weak pricing when competitors keep unprofitable mills running rather than close them.
  • Customer concentration — The top ten customers account for about 41% of net sales, with one customer alone at about 15%; losing a major customer or seeing distributor consolidation could hurt sales materially.
  • Raw material, energy and weather exposure — The business depends on a steady supply of wood fiber and energy; the company cites drought in Brazil that has already reduced timber yields and raised fiber costs, with further weather disruption a risk.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company states that tariffs imposed on imported goods have introduced additional competing products in some markets, pressured pricing, raised input costs and constrained its ability to import and sell certain products in the U.S.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的15%

The company states its top ten customers represent about 41% of net sales, including one single customer at about 15%. Losing that customer or a wave of consolidation among distributors could materially affect sales.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Sylvamo's low-cost, forest-integrated Brazilian mills give it a cost advantage in a shrinking industry, that industry-wide capacity closures should eventually balance supply and demand, and that the stock's cash generation supports a meaningful dividend even as volumes decline.

看空理由

Sellers fear that a structurally shrinking, commodity product with no pricing power is a poor long-term business regardless of cost position, that customer concentration and tariff exposure add near-term volatility, and that Brazilian drought and currency swings make earnings hard to predict.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$3.30B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$76M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$44M

股东权益合计

$966M

负债合计

$1.80B

流动比率

1.47

利息覆盖率

3.38

债务/EBITDA

2.21

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被低估

公允价值

$58.37

当前价格

$36.72

安全边际

+37.1%

公允价值区间

$37.94 - $78.80

估算方法

Analyst Target:$51.25
DCF:$187.88
PE-based:$17.91
Graham Growth:$13.99
EPV:$44.62
分析师共识:买入 (6B / 3H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-89.21%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

19.84

ROE

13.7%

市净率(P/B)

1.54

P/FCF

33.58

毛利率

-

ROIC

6.6%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.6%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

基本面分析标准

通过(17)

  • Price CAGR 5.70%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 1.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 10.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.75
  • Share Dilution -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(7)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -14.93%
  • P/FCF 33.58
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise avg -45.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.3% vs 6.1%

不可用(4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.75

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-3.1%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. John Van SimsCEO, President & Director62
Mr. Donald Paul DevlinSenior VP & CFO60
Mr. Matthew L. BarronSenior VP, Chief Administrative & Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary52
Mr. Rodrigo DavoliSenior VP & GM of North America45
Ms. Tatiana KalmanSenior VP & GM of Latin America47
Kevin W. FergusonVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Hans BjorkmanVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Marcie VargasSenior VP & Chief People Officer61
Mr. Patrick WilczynskiSenior Vice President of Operational Excellence55
Ms. Shawn LawsonSenior VP & GM of Europe48

审计风险

4

董事会风险

1

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

4

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for SLVM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for SLVM.