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Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (STBFY)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicJapan

基本面

63

价格

$4602.00

市值

$1.41T

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Suntory Beverage & Food makes and sells non-alcoholic drinks and some food products under a portfolio of brands rather than one global name: Suntory Tennensui water and Boss coffee in Japan, Orangina and Lucozade in Europe, and Pepsi bottling and BRAND'S health drinks in parts of Asia. It is majority-owned by Japan's Suntory Holdings and sells in around 120 countries, with manufacturing spread across each region it serves rather than centralised in Japan.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling packaged drinks — bottles, cans, cartons — through retailers, vending machines and food service, region by region. Because beverages are heavy and perishable relative to their price, bottling and distribution happen close to where products are sold, so each region largely funds its own plants and logistics. Profitability depends on brand strength letting the company charge a premium over private-label alternatives, and on raw material and packaging costs that move with commodity prices.

分部营收

Japan42.86%

Mineral water, coffee, tea, carbonated and sports drinks sold domestically under the Suntory brand — the largest single market.

Asia Pacific22.96%

Soft drinks, energy drinks and health products across Vietnam, Thailand, Oceania and other Asian markets, including Pepsi bottling in some countries.

Europe22.75%

Orangina and Schweppes carbonated drinks, Oasis and Ribena juices, and Lucozade energy and sports drinks, sold mainly in France, the UK and Spain.

Americas11.43%

The group's smallest geographic segment, covering beverage sales across North and South America.

护城河

品牌 · 狭窄

Suntory Beverage & Food's portfolio includes well-established regional brands — Tennensui, Boss, Orangina, Lucozade — built over decades of advertising and shelf presence, which lets it charge more than unbranded alternatives in each market. The moat is narrow rather than wide because it competes region by region against equally entrenched local brands and global rivals like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, none of which it can dislodge everywhere at once.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Non-alcoholic drinks and everyday food items are habitual purchases that hold up better than discretionary categories during downturns. Volume can still soften when consumers trade down to cheaper brands, and currency swings across four regions add another layer of variability, but underlying demand for water, coffee and soft drinks does not disappear in a recession the way demand for durable goods can.

看多理由

Buyers argue that a geographically diversified portfolio of strong regional beverage brands gives Suntory Beverage & Food pricing power and resilience that a single-market bottler lacks, and that its exposure to growing Asian markets offers upside beyond its mature Japanese base.

看空理由

Sellers fear that operating bottling and distribution separately in four regions keeps margins structurally thinner than a truly global platform, and that currency swings across those regions can erase local operating gains once results are translated back into yen.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

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资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.81T

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$89.66B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$90.17B

股东权益合计

$1.35T

负债合计

$16.01B

流动比率

1.31

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.07

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

合理估值

公允价值

$5886.30

当前价格

$4602.00

安全边际

+21.8%

公允价值区间

$4054.60 - $7718.00

估算方法

Analyst Target:$4820.91
DCF:$8956.00
PE-based:$4281.02
Graham Growth:$7887.64
EPV:$4821.27
分析师共识:持有 (2B / 10H / 6S)
最近财报超预期:-0.61%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

15.73

ROE

8.0%

市净率(P/B)

1.04

P/FCF

15.64

毛利率

36.9%

ROIC

9.9%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

9.9%

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

+2.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

基本面分析标准

通过(14)

  • ROIC 9.9%
  • Gross Margin 36.9%
  • P/FCF 15.64
  • P/B Ratio 1.04
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.5%
  • PEG Ratio 1.41
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.12

未通过(7)

  • Price CAGR -0.49%
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 6.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 11% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 5.2% vs 5.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.12

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Josuke KimuraPresident, CEO & Representative Director64
Mr. Naoto OkinakaSenior Managing Executive Officer, Chief Strategy, Finance & Business Growth Officer and Director58
Haruhisa InadaManaging Executive Officer-
Akiyo SatoManaging Executive Officer-
Shigeki KogisoManaging Executive Officer-
Mr. Shigeaki KazamaManaging Executive Officer and Head of SBF Japan's Production & SCM Headquarters-
Pierre DecroixSBF Europe CEO-
Makoto FujimotoSenior Managing Executive Officer-
Yuji MoriManaging Executive Officer-
Jahanzeb KhanCEO of SBF Asia Pacific-

审计风险

1

董事会风险

7

薪酬风险

1

股东权利风险

5

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

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