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Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG)

NEUTRAL
Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationUnited States

基本面

52

价格

$37.24

市值

$8.27B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Zillow runs the website and app most home shoppers in the United States use to browse listings, estimate what a home is worth, and find a real-estate agent. It does not buy or sell homes itself: it makes money by connecting the people looking at its site with agents, lenders and property managers who pay to reach them. The audience is the product; real estate transactions happen off Zillow's books.

盈利方式

Most revenue comes from real-estate agents and brokerages who pay for leads and advertising placement tied to Zillow's traffic, plus a growing slice from advertising sold to landlords and property managers listing rentals, and from fees earned originating mortgages. Because Zillow is paid for attention and leads rather than for closing a sale, its revenue rises and falls with how many people are actively browsing homes, not with home prices themselves.

分部营收

Residential66%

Advertising and software sold to real-estate agents and brokerages, plus new-construction listings — the core of the business.

Rentals24%

Advertising and listing tools sold to landlords and property managers for rental units, the fastest-growing part of the business.

Mortgages8%

Revenue from originating home loans and from advertising sold to mortgage lenders on Zillow's site.

Other2%

Mainly display advertising not tied to the other three lines.

护城河

网络效应 · 狭窄

More home shoppers on Zillow's site makes it more attractive for agents to advertise there, and more agent listings make the site more useful to shoppers — a loop that has made Zillow the largest audience in U.S. real estate search. It is not unbreakable: a large share of listing traffic depends on data-sharing agreements with brokers and portals, and a competitor like Google inserting listings directly into search results could intercept that audience before it reaches Zillow at all.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Zillow's revenue tracks the health of the housing market: low inventory, fewer new listings, and volatile mortgage rates reduce the transactions that fund agent advertising budgets, even if browsing traffic stays high. Rentals and mortgages add some diversification, but the core business still rises and falls with how active the housing market is.

主要风险

  • Sensitivity to housing market conditions — Low housing inventory, fewer new for-sale listings, and volatile mortgage rates can reduce both the number of transactions consumers complete and demand for advertising from agents.
  • Search platforms bypassing Zillow — Large search engines have begun showing home listings directly in their own results, which could divert the traffic Zillow depends on before it ever reaches Zillow's site.
  • Legal and regulatory disputes — The company faces litigation, including antitrust claims tied to a rentals partnership with a competitor, from consumers, industry participants and government bodies, which could result in costs or forced changes to its business practices.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Zillow's audience lead in real-estate search is difficult to replicate, that rentals and mortgages are diversifying revenue away from pure for-sale transactions and growing faster than the core business, and that full-year revenue growth well ahead of the housing industry's own growth shows Zillow taking share regardless of the market cycle.

看空理由

Sellers fear that a business built on advertising to agents remains hostage to housing transaction volumes it does not control, that large search platforms inserting listings directly into their own results could erode the traffic advantage Zillow relies on, and that ongoing litigation adds cost and uncertainty on top of an already cyclical business.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$2.81B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$55M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$235M

股东权益合计

$4.88B

负债合计

$801M

流动比率

1.92

利息覆盖率

0.67

债务/EBITDA

2.43

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

被高估

公允价值

$22.39

当前价格

$37.24

安全边际

-66.3%

公允价值区间

$14.56 - $30.23

估算方法

Analyst Target:$47.23
DCF:-
PE-based:$2.87
Graham Growth:$3.74
EPV:$0.27
分析师共识:买入 (17B / 13H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+13.14%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

172.50

ROE

0.5%

市净率(P/B)

0.36

P/FCF

6.09

毛利率

72.9%

ROIC

0.2%

盈利能力雷达图

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.2%

WACC

14.8%

ROIC − WACC

-14.6 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

基本面分析标准

通过(13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 72.9%
  • P/FCF 6.09
  • P/B Ratio 0.36
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 7.05
  • Net Margin Trend 2.0% vs -2.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(12)

  • Price CAGR 0.09%
  • ROIC 0.2%
  • Operating Margin 0.4%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 1.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -5.0%
  • Share Dilution 9.5%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

7.05

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

9.5%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Richard N. BartonCo-Founder & Co-Executive Chair57
Mr. Lloyd D. FrinkCo-Founder, Co-Executive Chairman & President60
Mr. Jeremy WacksmanCEO & Director48
Mr. Jeremy HofmannCOO & CFO39
Ms. Jennifer A. RockChief Accounting Officer43
Mr. David A. BeitelChief Technology Officer55
Mr. Bradley Allen BerningVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Dan SpauldingChief People Officer48
Mr. Errol G. SamuelsonChief Industry Development Officer59
Mr. Christopher RobertsChief Product Officer-

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ZG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/27/2026POSITIVE
    Zillow predicts major mortgage rate change, homebuying shift

    Real estate platform Zillow anticipates a significant turning point in the U.S. housing market, with mortgage rates expected to decline. This prediction suggests that affordability, long a distant dream for many homebuyers, could finally become a tangible reality. A drop in rates would make homeownership more accessible, stimulating demand and potentially revitalizing the sector. For investors, this outlook points to a potential strengthening of the real estate market, benefiting companies directly tied to the industry, such as Zillow itself, which would see increased transactions on its platform.

via Markets Gazette