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Appian Corporation (APPN)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

ファンダメンタル

51

株価

$39.47

時価総額

$2.77B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Appian Corporation, headquartered in McLean, Virginia, sells a single software platform for process automation. Large enterprises and government agencies use it to design, automate and optimize the workflows that run their operations — combining visual low-code design tools, a business rules engine, robotic process automation, intelligent document processing, process mining and AI agents, all on top of a patented 'data fabric' that reads data across a customer's existing systems without forcing a migration. The company was founded over 25 years ago by four founders who still run it, led by CEO Matt Calkins. It serves financial services, government, life sciences, insurance, manufacturing, energy, healthcare, telecommunications and transportation, and typically targets organizations with more than 2,000 employees and $2 billion of revenue. In 2025 it reported total revenue of $726.9 million, net income of $1.2 million (after losses of $92.3 million in 2024 and $111.4 million in 2023), 2,149 employees, 28 granted patents, and roughly 38% of revenue from customers outside the United States.

収益の仕組み

Appian sells its software almost exclusively as subscriptions, priced per user or as non-user-based single-application licences, and bills in advance annually, quarterly or monthly. Cloud subscriptions — the hosted offering bundled with support and hosting — are recognised ratably over the contract term and were 75.9% of subscriptions revenue in 2025. On-premises licence subscriptions are recognised up front at delivery, which makes quarterly revenue lumpier; separate maintenance and support is sold alongside them. A fourth stream, professional services, comes from consulting fees for building and deploying applications and from training, and is billed as the work is delivered. Growth comes from adding customers, adding users inside existing customers, and spreading the platform to new processes and applications: cloud net ARR expansion — what the prior-year customer cohort spends now versus a year ago — was 114% in 2025. The company also notes heavy seasonality, with a significantly higher share of new and renewal agreements signed in the fourth quarter and in the final weeks of each quarter.

セグメント別売上高

Cloud subscriptions60.2%

Subscriptions to the hosted Appian platform, bundled with maintenance, support and hosting, sold per user or per application licence to enterprises and government agencies. Revenue of $437.4 million in 2025.

Professional services20.7%

Consulting fees for helping customers design, build and deploy applications on the platform, plus training. It exists to get customers live faster and to widen platform usage, not as a profit centre in its own right. Revenue of $150.5 million in 2025.

Licence subscriptions14.6%

Term licences for customers that run the platform on their own infrastructure rather than in Appian's cloud, typically organisations with data-residency or security constraints. Revenue of $105.8 million in 2025, recognised up front on delivery.

Maintenance and support4.6%

Technical support, bug fixes and product updates sold alongside on-premises licence subscriptions, including renewals of legacy perpetual licences. Revenue of $33.3 million in 2025.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Applications built on Appian run only on Appian, and only while the subscription is active — the company states this openly as a substantial incentive for customers to avoid the difficulty and cost of moving to another platform. Customers often start with one application and grow to dozens, each new one binding more people, processes and data into the platform. The 114% cloud net ARR expansion in 2025 is consistent with existing customers spending more rather than leaving. Against that, the moat has limits a beginner should weigh: Appian depends on a single product, competes against far larger vendors as well as customers' own internal IT departments, and its own risk factors warn that AI may reshape the market for its software in unpredictable ways.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Most of the revenue is recurring subscription revenue recognised over the contract term, which cushions reported results when spending slows: a bad selling quarter shows up in revenue only later. That is the defensive side. On the other side, Appian sells large, considered purchases to big organisations — the filing describes a long and unpredictable sales cycle, resource-intensive selling, and a marked seasonal pattern in which a significantly higher share of new and renewal agreements lands in the fourth quarter and in the last weeks of each quarter. Demand ultimately follows enterprise IT and automation budgets, and one quarter of revenue depends on US federal agency budgets, where the company explicitly flags that changes in administration and priorities can affect funding. The company also cites unfavourable conditions in the global economy or in the vertical markets it serves as a general risk.

主なリスク

  • Dependence on a single product — Sales of the Appian platform account for substantially all subscriptions revenue and are the source of substantially all professional services revenue. The company expects to remain substantially dependent on it, so any decline in demand, failure to keep market acceptance, slower growth of the process-automation market, or the arrival of a product that replaces or substitutes for the platform would hit results directly.
  • AI could reshape the market unpredictably — The company lists AI as a disruptive set of technologies that may affect the markets for its software dramatically and in unpredictable ways, and cites among its risks the introduction of products and technologies, including AI technologies, that represent an improvement over or a replacement for its platform, as well as the need to compete in an AI-accelerated environment.
  • Concentrated customer base and US federal exposure — Appian states that its customer base is concentrated: revenue from US federal government agencies was 25.3% of total revenue in 2025 (23.9% in 2024, 21.3% in 2023). It warns that changes in the administration and its priorities may affect public-sector budgets and funding, and that losing one or more significant customers, or the timing of renewals, could materially affect results.
  • Significant competition — Appian faces four kinds of competitor: providers of custom software solutions, providers of development platforms, providers of individual automation technologies (business process management, case management, process mining, RPA), and customers' own internal technology departments building proprietary systems. It expects the market to attract more specialised vendors as well as larger vendors that may acquire or bundle products more effectively.
  • Reliance on AWS for the cloud offering — The cloud offering — the largest revenue line — runs on Amazon Web Services. Appian states that any disruption of, or interference with, its use of AWS would adversely affect its business, results of operations and financial condition.
  • Security breaches and handling of personal data — If security measures are breached — or are merely perceived to have been breached — or if unauthorised access to the platform or to customer data occurs, customers may reduce or stop their use of the platform and the company may incur significant liabilities. Because it collects and stores personal information, it is also exposed to complex and evolving privacy and data-protection laws in the US and abroad.
  • History of losses and pressure on growth — Appian has experienced losses in the past and states it may not be able to sustain profitability in the future. It also warns that if it cannot sustain its revenue growth rate it may not be able to achieve or maintain profitability, and that past growth should not be relied on as an indication of future growth.
  • Ratable revenue hides changes in sales — Because cloud subscription revenue is recognised ratably over the contract term, near-term changes in sales are not reflected immediately in reported results: a downturn in new sales or renewals may only show up in revenue in later periods. Conversely, licence subscriptions recognised up front add variability and reduce comparability between quarters.
  • Founder voting control and dual-class shares — The dual-class share structure and the stock held by founder and CEO Matt Calkins concentrate voting control with him for the foreseeable future, limiting the ability of other shareholders to influence corporate matters. Anti-takeover provisions in the charter documents and under Delaware law could also make an acquisition harder.

顧客集中度

主要顧客が売上高の3.9%を占める

No single end customer accounted for more than 10% of total revenue in 2025, 2024 or 2023. The concentration Appian does disclose is by channel rather than by name: revenue from US federal government agencies was 25.3% of total revenue in 2025, and the top three US federal government customers together generated 3.9% of total revenue — the figure reported here. Roughly 80% of subscriptions revenue came from five verticals (financial services, government, life sciences, insurance and manufacturing). At the end of 2025 the company had 140 customers paying more than $1 million of annual recurring revenue, up from 115 a year earlier under the same counting methodology.

強気材料

Buyers argue that 2025 was the year the model turned: revenue grew 17.8% to $726.9 million and the company posted net income of $1.2 million after losing $92.3 million in 2024 and $111.4 million in 2023, so growth and cost discipline arrived together rather than one at the expense of the other. They point to the recurring base — cloud subscriptions alone were $437.4 million and 75.9% of subscriptions revenue, with cloud net ARR expansion of 114%, meaning the existing customer cohort spends more each year — and to the customers paying over $1 million of annual recurring revenue rising from 115 to 140 in a single year. They see the lock-in as real, since applications built on the platform run nowhere else, and they read AI as a tailwind rather than a threat: Appian's argument is that AI needs process framework, guardrails and access to enterprise data to be useful, which is precisely what its platform and data fabric provide. They also note the runway — IDC sizes the business automation platform market at $27.8 billion in 2024 heading to roughly $70.2 billion in 2029 — plus 38% of revenue already outside the United States, a partner roster including Accenture, Deloitte, KPMG and PwC, and founders still running the company.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the profitability is too thin to lean on: $1.2 million of net income on $726.9 million of revenue is barely above break-even, and Appian itself says it may not be able to sustain profitability. They worry about a one-product company — substantially all subscriptions revenue and substantially all professional services revenue come from the same platform — competing against much larger vendors that can bundle, against specialised automation tools, and against customers' own IT departments, with no single-product cushion if demand shifts. They see AI as a double-edged sword the company acknowledges itself: a disruptive set of technologies that could affect the market for its software dramatically and unpredictably, and could produce products that improve on or replace low-code process platforms. They also flag the 25.3% of revenue riding on US federal agencies, where the filing warns that a change of administration and its priorities can move budgets and funding; the roughly 20.7% of revenue from professional services, a labour-based line that dilutes overall margin (gross margin was 72.5% in 2025 against 72.7% in 2024, partly on higher hosting and services costs); the reliance on AWS for the cloud offering; and a dual-class structure that leaves voting control with the founder-CEO, limiting outside shareholders' ability to force change if results disappoint.

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 19.5Score: 71Market cap: $5.52B

Pegasystems sells the closest rival product to Appian — a low-code business process and case management platform aimed at the same large banks, insurers and government agencies — and the two have fought head-to-head in that market for over a decade.

P/E: 27.1Score: 67Market cap: $3.62T

Microsoft's Power Platform (Power Apps and Power Automate) competes directly for enterprise low-code and workflow-automation spending, with the added advantage of being bundled into agreements customers already have.

ServiceNow, Inc.NOW

ServiceNow's App Engine and workflow platform is named by Appian as a low-code competitor and targets the same enterprise and U.S. federal buyers looking to automate end-to-end processes on a single platform.

OutSystems, S.A.Not tracked

OutSystems is a specialist enterprise low-code application platform, named by Appian in its 10-K, competing for the same budgets when a large organisation decides to build custom business applications without traditional coding.

Mendix Technology B.V. (a Siemens company)Not tracked

Mendix, owned by Siemens, is the other pure-play enterprise low-code platform Appian names, and it is evaluated alongside Appian in the same application-development deals in Europe and North America.

Salesforce, Inc.CRM

Salesforce Platform lets enterprises build custom low-code applications and automated processes on top of their existing Salesforce estate, taking the same projects Appian bids for.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$795M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$-11M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$60M

自己資本合計

$-47M

負債合計

$738M

流動比率

1.00

利払い倍率

0.56

負債/EBITDA

28.63

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

割高

適正価値

$23.49

現在株価

$39.47

安全マージン

-68.0%

適正価値レンジ

$15.27 - $31.72

推定方法

Analyst Target:$34.00
DCF:$16.92
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$1.18
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (1B / 8H / 4S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+3511.11%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

1935.50

ROE

-2.6%

P/B レシオ

-

P/FCF

36.65

粗利益率

72.4%

ROIC

4.6%

収益性レーダー

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.6%

WACC

8.9%

ROIC − WACC

-4.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 72.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.0%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1026.5%
  • Share Dilution -15.8%
  • Net Margin Trend -1.3% vs -2.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(10)

  • Price CAGR 2.20%
  • ROIC 4.6%
  • P/FCF 36.65
  • Operating Margin 1.3%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -140.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 8% Buy

データなし(6)

  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

-15.8%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Matthew W. CalkinsFounder, Chairman, CEO & President52
Mr. Michael BeckleyFounder, CTO & Director50
Mr. Robert C. KramerFounder, GM & Director50
Mr. Srdjan TanjgaChief Financial Officer46
Mr. Pavel Zamudio-RamirezChief Customer Officer58
Mr. Mark DorseyChief Revenue Officer56
Mr. Marc WilsonFounder & Chief Executive Ambassador50
Mr. Myles WeberChief Information Officer47
Ms. Jaye S. CampbellGeneral Counsel & Secretary44
Mr. David CrozierChief Marketing Officer-

監査リスク

3

取締役会リスク

10

報酬リスク

8

株主権利リスク

10

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for APPN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/27/2026NEGATIVE
    This Fund Sold $38 Million in Appian Stock Last Quarter. Shares Have Fallen Over 25% This Year

    A recent move by a fund, offloading $38 million worth of Appian stock last quarter, casts a shadow of uncertainty over the stock's future. This significant selling operation comes amidst an already challenging period for the software firm, whose shares have plummeted over 25% year-to-date. Appian, renowned for its innovative low-code automation tools for enterprise clients, plays a crucial role in digital transformation across various industries. However, the divestment by such a large institutional investor, coupled with the stock's negative performance, could signal a reassessment of growth prospects or significant profit-taking. Investors should closely monitor upcoming developments and market reactions to these signals, which may foreshadow further fluctuations for APPN shares.

via Markets Gazette